Welcome to Week 11 Start ‘Em, Sit ‘Em.
This game-by-game article breaks down every player that is relevant for fantasy football. As always, please use our projections to make your start/sit decisions every week. The analysis in this piece provides color – and a lot of stats – behind the projections.
Unless stated otherwise, all of the data in this article is from Fantasy Points Data and specifically curated from the Data Suite. Our collection team has charted every play from every game over the last three seasons, and we will have fresh, weekly data imported into the tools on Monday after the games.
The Start’ Em, Sit ‘Em key
Must Start — Don’t take them out of your lineup, even if there is a fire.
Start ‘Em — The top-12 at QB and TE; top-20 plays at RB; top-25 at WR.
FLEX Plays — All of the best RB2/WR3 plays.
Stream ‘Em — The best one-week plays at QB and TE for streaming off of the waiver wire.
Sit ‘Em — Don’t play them in your lineups. This could be due to a poor role, matchup, or performance.
Stash ‘Em — Step 1: Hold them on your bench. Step 2: Profit.
Good luck this week!
Washington Commanders at Philadelphia Eagles (TNF)
Must Start
Saquon Barkley
A.J. Brown – Excluding the Week 9 contest where he left early (knee), Brown has 26/517/3 receiving for 19.1 PPR points per game (WR4) in his five full games this season. He’s commanded a whopping 41% of the first-read targets in these games. CB Marshon Lattimore (hamstring) will not make his debut for the Commanders this week.
Jalen Hurts – Has caught fire in his last five games since their bye week for a stellar 72% completion rate, 209.2 passing yards per game (10.2 YPA), and an 8:1 TD-to-INT ratio. Hurts is on pace to score an absurd 18-20 rushing touchdowns. The tush push remains automatic, and it’s elevating Hurts to a point where he’s providing a 5-10 point weekly advantage over “replacement” – just like Lamar Jackson. Dating back to the beginning of last season, he’s finished as a top-10 scoring QB in fantasy football at an unbelievably consistent rate: 21 of his last 25 starts (84%).
Start ‘Em
Jayden Daniels – Since he injured his ribs/chest three weeks ago, Daniels’ carries per game have been cut down by -33% from 10.5 carries/game to 6.3. Hopefully, we see him start running more again soon. Both things can be true: the Eagles have been playing significantly better defense lately, but they’ve also faced an incredibly soft quarterback schedule besides Week 8 vs. Joe Burrow. This will be a huge test for Philadelphia. They’re allowing just 0.31 passing FP per dropback (fourth-fewest).
Terry McLaurin – Through 10 games, Scary Terry has broken free from purgatory as fantasy’s WR15 in PPR points per game (15.3). He shook loose from Joey Porter – who covered McLaurin on 71% of routes – for a strong 5/113 receiving last week. This is another tough draw. The Eagles have found a stud in rookie CB Quinyon Mitchell, and since Mitchell sticks to the right side of the defense, he will primarily line up against McLaurin. Philadelphia is holding opposing outside wide receivers to just 1.5 yards per route run (second-fewest).
FLEX Plays
Brian Robinson – After missing the last two weeks with a hamstring injury, Robinson is off the injury report, and he will suit up for Week 11. Austin Ekeler and Robinson have played in six games together this season, in which Robinson holds a huge lead in carries (80 to 30), but Ekeler (42% route share, 16 targets) plays way more in the passing game (Robinson – 24% route share, 8 targets). Overall, B-Rob has way more TD upside. He has 13 carries to Ekeler’s three inside-the-10 (red-zone). His 13.1 PPR points per game make him the RB27, just ahead of Rachaad White (12.7 FPG).
DeVonta Smith – In his five full games with Brown this season, Smith has 19/145/2 receiving (11.1 PPR points per game). Smith (23 targets) is getting “big brothered” by Brown (36) to a large extent.
Sit ‘Em
Austin Ekeler – Averaging just 9.8 PPR points per game (RB36) in six outings with Robinson healthy.
Dallas Goedert – Over his last 15 games with Brown and Smith both healthy, Goedert is third on the Eagles in targets (87) behind Brown (143) and Smith (94). He has 64/644/4 receiving (9.8 PPR points per game – TE12) in this span. Goedert’s 17.6% first-read target share with Brown/Smith ranks TE12, just behind Hunter Henry (17.9%). Ideally, you’re looking for more upside.
Noah Brown – He’s earned six or more targets in 4 out of his last 5 games, but it’s not enough to crack the FLEX radar.
Zach Ertz – No defense is giving up fewer schedule-adjusted FPG (-4.9) to TEs than the Eagles.
Los Angeles Rams at New England Patriots
Must Start
Kyren Williams – In his 21 games as the Rams starter, Williams has scored 25 touchdowns. His snap rate hasn’t dipped below 79% in a single game this season. New England has allowed at least 110 rushing yards in seven out of their last 8 games.
Puka Nacua – On his 96 routes, he’s earned 31 targets for a strong 21/250 receiving result. Nacua has received 7/106 and 9/98 in his last two full games, with the Week 9 ejection for throwing a punch mixed in. This offense is trending back towards Nacua as the primary first-read. His 41.9% first-read target share in his last two full games easily leads Kupp (26%).
Start ‘Em
Cooper Kupp – Excluding the game where he got injured in Week 2 (ankle), Kupp is averaging a strong 21.1 PPR points per game in his four full outings this season. However, that’s largely driven by two games where Nacua’s day was cut short due to injury in Week 1 vs. Lions (Kupp went for 14/110/1 receiving) and an ejection in Week 9 vs. Seahawks (Kupp: 11/104). Kupp has been replaced by Nacua as the primary first-read in their last two full games together. This makes him more of a high-end WR2 moving forward after he’s tallied 5/51/1 and 7/80 receiving while working as the secondary receiver (26% first-read target share) to Nacua (41.9% FR share) in Weeks 8 and 10.
Rhamondre Stevenson – His fantasy stock is trending upwards with Maye under center. The Patriots have scored a TD on 19% of their possessions with Maye under center (19th) vs. just 9.4% with Brissett (second-worst). We’re far from setting the world on fire, but this uptick in offensive quality breathes life into what was a dormant offense. Stevenson has retaken his bell-cow role, too. He’s played on at least 72% of the snaps in three straight games. He is a volume-based RB2.
FLEX Plays
Demario Douglas – In four full games with Maye under center, Douglas leads the team in targets (25) over Kayshon Boutte (20) and Hunter Henry (19) for a 19/189/1 receiving result (11.0 PPR FPG).
Stream ‘Em
Drake Maye – Once again, Maye grades out as the best streamer for 1-QB leagues. Maye has finished as a top-15 scoring QB in fantasy football in four full starts, largely because he’s an incredible runner. The rookie has scrambled 21 times for 222 yards (10.6 YPC!!) and a TD since becoming a starter. Los Angeles is very zone-heavy (75% frequency), and they’re giving up tons of efficiency (0.49 fantasy points per dropback | second-most) in those coverages.
Matthew Stafford – He’s right on the fringe for 1-QB leagues. In four games with Nacua/Kupp active, Stafford is averaging a league-high 296.8 yards per game. The problem is that he owns a mediocre 7:4 TD-to-INT ratio (17.8 FPG – QB13) in this span. Stafford has done his best work against man-to-man coverage, which is what the Patriots run 39% of the time (second-most). In four games with his top wideouts, Stafford is averaging +89% more fantasy points per dropback when facing man coverage (0.51 FP/DB) vs. zones (0.27 FP/DB).
Sit ‘Em
Hunter Henry – It was Austin Hooper (3/63 receiving) – not Henry! – who took advantage of the matchup last week. Henry was left with one catch for 14 yards vs. Chicago. Over the last five weeks, Hooper (0.22 TPRR) has earned more targets on his routes than Henry (0.19). This is another good matchup – the Rams allow 58.3 yards per game to tight ends (ninth-most). Henry is still the better option, but Hooper earning targets cannibalizes his upside.
Kayshon Boutte
Demarcus Robinson
Davis Allen – Has overtaken Colby Parkinson as the Rams top TE. Over the last two weeks, Allen has run a route on 67% of the pass plays (9 targets, 6/46 receiving). Parkinson has zero targets on his 26 routes.
Stash ‘Em
Blake Corum
Las Vegas Raiders at Miami Dolphins
Must Start
De’Von Achane – In four games with Tua starting, Achane is second on the Dolphins in targets (27) behind Hill (29). If we just isolate his receiving stats (26/199/2), his 14.5 PPR points per game would make him the WR18 – just behind Jayden Reed (14.8 FPG). Achane has earned a ridiculous 16 designed targets – like screens – in these four games. His 74% snap rate last week marked a new career-high.
Brock Bowers – Averaging 14.2 PPR points per game, which would beat Sam LaPorta’s mark (14.1) last season as the most FPG by a rookie TE all-time.
Start ‘Em
Tyreek Hill – Playing through a wrist injury. Over the last three weeks, Hill has 13/168/1 receiving on 18 targets (11.9 PPR FPG). We’re a long way off from his usual ceiling. Tua’s average depth of throw has sunk to a league-low 5.9 yards downfield because this offense is running more through Achane, and opposing defenses have figured out the Dolphins code – timing and rhythm throws over the middle. Tagovailoa is a middling 27th in passer rating (85.7) on throws over the middle. Last year, he was nearly perfect on throws in the middle of the field with a league-best 132.1 rating.
Jakobi Meyers – Remains underrated. In their four games played together without Davante Adams on the field, Meyers leads the Raiders in targets (36) over Bowers (26) and Tre Tucker (20). The results have been WR2 worthy in fantasy football – Meyers has tallied up 25/278/1 receiving (14.7 PPR FPG – WR18). The first-read target share numbers are really good. Meyers’ 36.8% first-read target share easily leads Bowers (21%).
Sit ‘Em
Alexander Mattison – Over the last three games before their bye week, Mattison (46) easily leads the Raiders in carries over Zamir White (11). Mattison (3.3 YPC) and White (2.9 YPC) are the Spiderman meme. This backfield has become a compartmentalized split, with Ameer Abdullah (33 routes, 4 targets) cutting into Mattison’s workload (39 routes, 8 targets) on passing downs. Mattison is an uninspiring FLEX option as a +7.5 road underdog in Miami.
Jaylen Waddle – In four games with Tua under center, Waddle has 14/207/1 receiving (10.2 PPR FPG – WR46). Tyreek Hill leads Miami in first-read target share (28%) followed by Achane (19%), Waddle (17%), and Jonnu Smith (16%). Achane’s emergence has pushed Waddle down as a shaky WR3 in fantasy. Las Vegas has done a terrific job at limiting opposing outside wide receivers to a league-low -7.9 schedule-adjusted FPG below average and 69.6 yards per game (third-fewest).
Tua Tagovailoa – Across four full starts, Tua has finished as QB10, QB23, QB18, and QB19 in weekly scoring. He’s plugged into SuperFlex lineups, but you’re looking for way more upside in 1-QB leagues.
Jonnu Smith – In four games with Tua under center, Smith has 13 receptions for 118 yards on 18 targets (6.2 PPR FPG).
Raheem Mostert – Over the last three games, Mostert’s snaps have fallen from 45% (Week 8) > 22% (Week 9) > 13% (Week 10).
Tre Tucker
Gardner Minshew
Green Bay Packers at Chicago Bears
Must Start
Josh Jacobs – Quietly ranks ninth in scrimmage yards per game (98.9), just behind Aaron Jones (101.2) and Jahmyr Gibbs (103.2). Jacobs will get subbed off of the field occasionally, but the crucial bit is that he’s handled 80% of the Packers snaps inside-the-10 (RB7). For reference, that’s just behind Joe Mixon (82% snap rate inside-the-10). Chicago is getting cracked for 4.9 YPC (fifth-most).
Start ‘Em
Jordan Love – Dating back to last year, Love has finished as a top-15 scoring QB in fantasy football and thrown for at least 2 TDs in 14 of his last 17 contests (82%). He hasn’t met that mark in either of his last two starts due to injury (hurt groin in Week 8 vs. Jaguars) and the weather (rainy Week 9 vs. Lions). Chicago continues to play strong pass defense overall, limiting opposing QBs to a league-low 9.9 passing FPG. So, it’s not a great spot on paper. However, it is a pretty good schematic matchup. Love shreds Cover-3 zone to the tune of 0.49 FP/DB (fifth-best). Chicago utilizes Cover-3 on 38% of opponents’ dropbacks (fifth-most).
D’Andre Swift – The OC change from Shane Waldron to Thomas Brown will likely result in a more run-heavy attack from Chicago. Brown took over play-calling from Frank Reich in Carolina in Week 8 last year. From that point on, the Panthers were the second-most run-heavy team in this span from Week 8-18 (-5.9% pass rate under expectation). Swift remains a volume-based RB2 with 16 or more carries in six straight games.
Jayden Reed – Over his last 15 regular season games with Love under center, Reed has tallied up 71/1021/8 receiving (on 93 targets) while adding 16/154/3 rushing. That’s 16.9 PPR points per game (WR10). This is a worst-possible matchup against a Bears secondary that’s allowing a league-low -3.8 schedule adjusted FPG below average to slot receivers.
Tucker Kraft – In his six games with Love on the field, Kraft is tied with Evan Engram as the TE3 in route share (76%). The target competition is real, though. Kraft is earning 0.12 targets per route run, which is 38th at the position. While the volume will never be great, Kraft does get a nice matchup here. Chicago is great against opposing wide receivers, but they’ve struggled as of late against tight ends to the tune of 28/357 receiving (15.9 PPR FPG) over their last four games.
FLEX Plays
Romeo Doubs – In their six games together with Love under center, the Packers WR/TE targets are: Doubs (40), Reed (33), Wicks (30), Kraft (25), and Watson (25). This is the definition of a nightmare in fantasy where we have five players between a 11-18% target share. Jayden Reed will always be more valuable because he gets all of the designed targets like screens, but Doubs’ 11.9 PPR points per game (in this six game sample with Love) is just one-tenth of a point ahead of Marvin Harrison (11.8). Doubs has earned a team-high 30% of the first-read targets vs. Cover-3 zone followed by Reed (15%).
Sit ‘Em
D.J. Moore, Keenan Allen, and Rome Odunze – In their seven games together, Moore leads the way in targets (45 total | 22% share), followed by Allen (43 total | 21% share) and Odunze (33 total | 16% share). On a per-game basis, Moore is the WR45 (10.4 fantasy points per game), Allen is WR60 (8.9), and Odunze the WR86 (6.9). Their quarterback delivers a catchable pass just 66.7% of the time (37th-of-38 QB). Only Anthony Richardson (61%) is worse. What a disaster.
Christian Watson and Dontayvion Wicks – These two are splitting work to the point where they’re both unusable. Watson (47%) and Wicks (44%) are both part-time players with Doubs (82%) and Reed (71%) leading the Packers in route share. Watson and Wicks have accounted for 62% of the end-zone targets with Doubs (14.2% EZ target share) in third.
Caleb Williams
Cole Kmet – Targets earned in his seven games with Moore, Allen, and Odunze – 1, 3, 4, 5, 1, 0, and 4.
Roschon Johnson
Jacksonville Jaguars at Detroit Lions
Must Start
Jahmyr Gibbs and David Montgomery – In their nine games together, Gibbs is RB7 in PPR points per game (18.1) – tied with Kyren Williams. Gibbs is the only RB that has finished as a top-24 weekly scorer in every game that they’ve played this season. Meanwhile, his running mate David Montgomery is RB16 with 15.5 PPR FPG. He has scored 23 TDs in 25 full games with the Lions (including playoffs). Detroit is implied to score 30.3 points vs. Jacksonville, which honestly might be too low.
Amon-Ra St. Brown
Start ‘Em
Evan Engram – At the very least, Engram (6/40 receiving on 8 targets) turned in a usable fantasy game as the TE10 in scoring in last week’s disaster. He has earned 35% and 31% of the Jaguars' first-read targets in their last two games without Christian Kirk (groin).
FLEX Plays
Jameson Williams – Especially if Sam LaPorta (shoulder) is out/limited this week, then Williams is one of the highest upside WR3/FLEX options on the Week 11 slate. The Jaguars allow the fourth-most yards per game (117.8) to opposing outside wide receivers. No defense is giving up more yardage (80.7 per game) on deep passes of 20+ air yards.
Travis Etienne – After a rough patch in their previous three games, Detroit absolutely stonewalled Joe Mixon to 46 yards on 25 carries last week. The Jaguars are implied to score a league-low 16.8 points. Etienne’s 67% snap rate in Week 10 is his biggest workload since Week 3.
Sit ‘Em
Brian Thomas – QB Trevor Lawrence (shoulder) missed Week 10, and he’s certainly at risk of being shut down for the rest of the season. It was a disaster for the Jaguars offense after their first-quarter TD last week. Mac Jones finished with 111 yards on 22 attempts with 2 INTs. Jacksonville was so inept that they managed just 17 minutes (!!) time of possession vs. Minnesota, and they converted a pitiful 10 first downs on 43 offensive plays. Brian Thomas couldn’t survive the train wreck (2/12 receiving on 3 targets). This is a tough matchup against a Lions secondary that has really clamped down lately. They’re allowing just 1.6 yards per route run allowed to outside wide receivers (third-fewest).
Jared Goff – This is obviously an amazing matchup, but how many times will the Lions need to throw the ball this week? Goff just hasn’t shown much of a ceiling this season – he has finished as a top-8 scoring QB just once. He has five weeks outside of the top-16 scorers entirely. If you do need to use him in 1-QB leagues this week, I will never turn my nose up at attacking this spot. Jacksonville is allowing the third-most passing FP per game (18.0), and they’ve allowed a top-12 scoring QB in fantasy football in 8-of-10 games.
Sam LaPorta – Out with a shoulder injury.
Tank Bigsby – Out with an ankle injury.
Gabe Davis and Parker Washington
Mac Jones – Stream the Lions D/ST.
Cleveland Browns at New Orleans Saints
Must Start
Alvin Kamara – Over the last two weeks without Jamaal Williams (groin) and Kendre Miller (IR), Kamara has handled 78% of the Saints snaps while piling up 46/210 rushing and 11/114 receiving. Kamara is averaging a league-high 132.3 scrimmage yards per game in six starts with Derek Carr vs. 70 YPG in three starts with Rattler. For reference, Barkley (127.7) and Henry (121.6) lead all RBs in scrimmage yards/game.
David Njoku – In the three games since the Browns traded away Amari Cooper to the Bills, Njoku has 20/166/2 receiving (on 28 targets). That’s 16.2 PPR points per game. Now that he’s fully over a high ankle injury that cost him Weeks 2-4, Njoku has been involved on 77% of the Browns pass plays over his last three games. That’s just behind Travis Kelce (78%) for the third-best route share among tight ends.
Start ‘Em
Cedric Tillman – In his two starts with Winston under center, Tillman has 13/174/3 receiving for WR3 and WR11 finishes. Not bad. He’s emerging as the top target here. Tillman’s 25.4% first-read target share leads the Browns, followed by Jeudy (23.9%), Moore (23.9%), and Njoku (16.9%).
Nick Chubb – In their three games before the bye week, Chubb rushed for 42/113/1 (2.7 YPC). This is the best his outlook has been since returning midseason. New Orleans is allowing a league-high 5.2 YPC to opposing ball carriers. He has 15 and 16 carries in two starts with Winston under center. This is the healthiest that the Browns offensive line has been all season after dealing with a slew of injuries in Weeks 1-9.
Taysom Hill – Since returning from a midseason ribs/chest injury, Hill’s route participation has increased (39% > 42% > 59%) in every game. Across his last four contests, Hill has 19/77/3 rushing and 8/98 receiving (10.9 PPR points per game – TE7). The Saints are so desperate for pass catchers that Hill actually tied for the team lead in routes run with Marquez Valdes-Scantling last week.
FLEX Plays
Jerry Jeudy – He’s come to life for WR36 (5/79 receiving) and WR24 (7/73 receiving) scoring weeks in fantasy with Winston under center. Unsurprisingly, the Saints shifted away from their usual high rate of man coverage last week without their top three CBs Lattimore (traded), Adebo (injured), and McKinstry (injured). Instead, the Saints went to far more zone coverage (66%). It’s a tiny sample size, but Jeudy leads the Browns in targets (16) ahead of Tillman (11), Moore (11), and Njoku (10) vs. zone coverage in their last two games. Drake London (8/97 receiving) and Darnell Mooney (5/96) both had nice days in this matchup a week ago.
Sit ‘Em
Jameis Winston – After he shredded the Ravens for 334 yards and 3 TDs in a best-possible matchup, Winston immediately crashed back down to earth in a far more difficult matchup against the Chargers (235 yards, 1 TD, 3 INT, 6 sacks). If you like to party – and desperately need a streamer with a ceiling – there is definitely some upside in this spot. He should know this defense well, and the Saints just allowed 308 yards on 38 attempts (8.1 YPA) to Kirk Cousins last week. New Orleans’ secondary is in shambles after trading Lattimore away and losing CB Paulson Adebo (IR).
Derek Carr – SuperFlex only.
Marquez Valdes-Scantling – Never go chasing ghosts.
Elijah Moore – In theory, he gets the easiest matchup here out of the slot. No defense is giving up more yards per route run (2.2) to slot wideouts than the Saints. However, that’s the problem here. The theory of playing Moore in fantasy is always better than the reality. I can’t imagine that Njoku continues to see fewer targets than Moore.
Jerome Ford
Mason Tipton
Juwan Johnson
Minnesota Vikings at Tennessee Titans
Must Start
Justin Jefferson
TJ Hockenson – As expected, the Vikings took the training wheels off last week. Hockenson’s route involvement shot up to 67% after he made his debut with a 53% route share in Week 9. The result from the increased role was 8/72 receiving (on 9 targets) last week. We should see Hockenson finish his ramp-up to his usual 75-80% route share moving forward. The Titans have allowed 31/273/2 receiving (14.1 PPR FPG – 13th-most) over the last five weeks to tight ends.
Start ‘Em
Aaron Jones – Was able to return on the Vikings' final drive after suffering an injury to his ribs/chest in the third quarter last week. He missed two drives with the issue, and finished his day with 101 scrimmage yards vs. Jaguars. Post-game X-rays were clean, and he should be good to play. Jones has cleared 80 scrimmage yards in 7-of-8 games this season (excluding Week 5 where he left early due to a minor hip injury). The Titans are allowing just 3.8 YPC (third-fewest).
Calvin Ridley – Over the last three weeks, Ridley has exploded for 20/300/2 receiving (on 32 targets) without DeAndre Hopkins. The Titans are doing an excellent job at scheming up looks for Ridley, and that continued with Will Levis under center. Ridley sliced the Chargers for 5/84/2 receiving, and his remaining schedule is outrageously good – vs. Vikings, Texans, Commanders, Jaguars (2x – once in Week 17), Bengals (Week 15), and Colts (Week 16). Levis will have his ups and downs, but Ridley’s volume and output is WR1 worthy. Only Ja’Marr Chase has scored more FP than Ridley over the last three games. Minnesota is giving up +4.6 schedule-adjusted FPG above average to opposing receivers (fifth-most).
FLEX Plays
Tony Pollard – As expected, this backfield shifted back towards a committee now that Spears is over a midseason hamstring strain. In their five games together, Pollard leads the backfield in carries (70 to 34) by a wide margin, but this duo is splitting passing down work. Pollard has been involved on 46% of the pass plays (19 targets), while Spears is cutting in for 34% of the route share (15 targets). It’s enough to ding Pollard down. In Weeks 5-9, when Spears was out with an injury, Pollard’s snap rate shot up to 82%. His snap rate is 62% in games with Spears. This is a tough matchup against a Vikings defense that’s limiting opposing RBs to just 70.9 yards per game (third-fewest).
Sit ‘Em
Sam Darnold – Just when it seemed like we were beginning to trust Darnold a little bit as a fantasy QB1, he had an absolutely disastrous outing against the league’s worst secondary. It was only matched by Mac Jones’ ineptitude. Darnold threw three INTs – all of which were horrific decisions – and were “targets” for Justin Jefferson. You could literally see the disgust on Jefferson’s face after the third pick. This collapse from Darnold against the Jaguars (241 yards on 38 attempts, 0 TD) comes right after he threw 2 INT against the Colts in Week 9, and took three back-breaking sacks in Week 8’s loss vs. Rams. LT Christian Darrisaw’s loss looms large. The Vikings will moonwalk into the NFC playoffs, but confidence in their QB is wearing thin.
Jordan Addison – WR47 in FPG (10.1) with 21/298/2 receiving across seven games. Last week was just a sign of the future here. Jefferson and Hockenson co-led the Vikings in first-read target share (22%) with Addison (15%) left as the third option.
Will Levis – Only Deshaun Watson (4.4) and Spencer Rattler (4.4) are averaging fewer yards per pass attempt when blitzed than Levis (5.3). The Vikings blitz opposing quarterbacks 38% of the time (second-most). DC Brian Flores will pin his ears back here. Levis has only been blitzed on 19% of his dropbacks across his five full starts (29th).
Nick Westbrook-Ikhine
Stash ‘Em
Tyjae Spears – One of the most valuable handcuffs in fantasy. If Pollard were to miss time, Spears would become a volume-based RB2 at worst. The Titans have blocked well all year and their remaining schedule is great.
Baltimore Ravens at Pittsburgh Steelers
Must Start
Lamar Jackson – At his current pace, Jackson’s 26.5 fantasy points per game are second-most all-time by a quarterback. Who is first, you’re wondering? Oh, that’d be Lamar. He posted the best scoring season by a QB (27.7 FPG) in 2019.
Derrick Henry
George Pickens – In three games with Wilson at quarterback, Pickens has erupted for 14/276/2 receiving (18.0 PPR FPG – WR6). He’s earning 34.4% of the first-read targets this season, which is also sixth among WRs. The Ravens are getting absolutely blasted for a league-high 139.6 yards per game to opposing outside wide receivers.
Start ‘Em
Zay Flowers – The Ravens move Flowers all over the formation, so he will largely avoid Steelers top CB Joey Porter this week. Flowers runs 37% of his routes lined up in the slot, and Porter (6%) rarely goes inside. The Steelers are one of the rare teams that almost never play two-high coverage. In fact, they exclusively play one-high safety coverage – either Cover-1 (man) or Cover-3 (zone) – 71% of the time (most). Flowers is absolutely shredding single-high coverages to the tune of 3.36 yards and 0.63 fantasy points per route run. By comparison, his efficiency has fallen off of a cliff against two-high safety coverages (1.42 YPRR | 0.32 FP/RR).
Mark Andrews – Welcome back. Andrews has rejoined the Ravens' passing offense over the last six weeks with 24/292/5 receiving for 13.9 PPR FPG (TE4). Isaiah Likely (hamstring) missed last week, which resulted in Andrews running a season-high 86% route share. That’s way more like it.
FLEX Plays
Najee Harris and Jaylen Warren
Stream ‘Em
Russell Wilson – Across his three games as a starter, Wilson has completed 59% of his throws for 737 yards (8.7 YPA) and a 6:1 TD-to-INT ratio. His 19.6 fantasy points per game would make him QB7 on the season. Moon balls are back in fashion. Wilson is attacking deep with a 10.4-yard average depth of throw (second-highest) as 18% of his throws are traveling 20+ air yards. Only Anthony Richardson (13.0 aDOT | 21% deep throw rate) is chucking deep more often. This is the best matchup running for opposing quarterbacks now – Baltimore (+6.0) is allowing more schedule-adjusted FPG above average to opposing quarterbacks than Jacksonville (+5.5).
Sit ‘Em
Rashod Bateman – Will see a ton of Steelers CB Joey Porter on Sunday.
Mike Williams – Caught a huge 32-yard TD last week in his debut, but Williams will need to ramp up his involvement before rejoining the fantasy radar. He only ran eight routes last week.
Calvin Austin
Pat Freiermuth – Has just seven targets in his last 3 games. Darnell Washington has 8 targets on 41 fewer routes run in this span.
Justice Hill
Diontae Johnson – Ran two routes last week.
Indianapolis Colts at New York Jets
Must Start
Jonathan Taylor – The Colts are the most run-heavy team in the league (-8.3% pass rate under expectation) in Richardson’s starts this season. Even though his quarterback has struggled, Taylor has piled up 435 scrimmage yards and 3 TDs (17.9 PPR FPG – RB9) in four games with Richardson. It’s much easier to run on the Jets than throw. In fact, New York has allowed at least 125 rushing yards in four out of their last 5 games.
Garrett Wilson – Over the last month, Wilson (24/305/2 receiving | 17.1 PPR FPG) has sharply outproduced Davante Adams (20/206/1 | 11.7 FPG) despite the duo seeing nearly even target volume. Adams has earned 36 targets to Wilson’s 33. Adams’ addition has allowed Wilson to start working deeper downfield – his 11.3-yard average depth of target is way up from 8.2 in Weeks 1-6. The Colts are allowing the third-most yards per game to opposing outside receivers (118.5).
Start ‘Em
Breece Hall
Davante Adams – The Jets pushed Adams into the slot on 70% of his routes last week, which is easily a season-high. Just six of Adams’ 13 targets were actually catchable vs. Arizona. Ideally, that was just a one-week blip on the radar, and the Jets continue to use Wilson and Adams interchangeably. Wilson is so good in the slot, too.
FLEX Plays
Josh Downs – In three games with Richardson under center, Downs leads the Colts in first-read targets (29% share) over Pittman (24%). That’s the good news. The bad news is that just 10 of his 16 targets have actually been catchable in those three games, and he’s produced just 8/115/1 receiving (9.6 PPR FPG) as a result. By comparison, Downs averaged 8.2 catchable targets per game with Flacco under center for 37/349/2 receiving (16.8 PPR FPG).
Sit ‘Em
Anthony Richardson – The Colts have botched this entire situation, but there were some clear on-field reasons to bench Richardson in favor of Flacco. No quarterback has a higher off-target throw rate (29%) than Richardson. Yes, he’s being asked to complete some of the most difficult passes out of any system in the league. His 13-yard average depth of throw and 21% deep ball rate are easily league-highs. The thing is, his accuracy has been extremely poor on throws closer to the line of scrimmage. Just 75% of his passes on all throws at 10 yards or shorter have been catchable, which is easily another league-low. We’ve got to see some measurable improvement this week before we can put him back into lineups in 1-QB leagues.
Aaron Rodgers – SuperFlex only.
Michael Pittman – Returned to full practice on Wednesday. Pittman has been battling a back injury for weeks.
Adonai Mitchell – The Colts have to find a way to get Mitchell a much larger role down the stretch. It should come at the expense of Alec Pierce and Pittman.
Tyler Conklin
Alec Pierce
Stash ‘Em
Braelon Allen
Seattle Seahawks at San Francisco 49ers (4:05p ET)
Must Start
Christian McCaffrey – In his first game of the season after missing Weeks 1-9 with Achilles tendonitis, CMC returned to his usual bell cow role (87% of snaps). He was held in check on the ground (13/39 rushing) but looked like his usual self as a receiver (6/68 on 7 targets). This is an amazing spot – the 49ers are -9 home favorites over a Seahawks defense that’s allowing the third-most scrimmage yards per game to opposing running backs (154.9).
Ken Walker – As expected, Walker returned to his usual role with a season-high 76% of snaps in Week 9 before Seattle’s bye. His snaps were cut in Week 7 due to an illness and in Week 8 because they got blown out by Buffalo. The uptick in receiving work is huge. He’s fifth among RBs in targets per game (4.9) behind Achane (5.2), Hall (5.4), Kamara (6.9), and CMC (7.0). Walker is averaging 4.3 receptions and 31 receiving yards per game after he was extremely limited in the passing game in his first and second seasons (1.9 receptions, 14.1 yards per game).
DK Metcalf – Welcome back. After missing two games with a knee injury, Metcalf is off of the injury report and will play. In his seven games this season, Metcalf leads the Seahawks in targets (61) over Smith-Njigba (54) and Lockett (41). He’s having his best year yet attached to the second-most pass-heavy offense in the league. Only the Bengals (+10.1%) have a higher pass rate over expectation than the Seahawks (+6.4%). Metcalf has 35/568/3 receiving (15.4 PPR FPG – WR14) this season. He should have scored 20+ FP in this matchup back in Week 6. San Francisco played a season-high 62% two-high safety coverage when these two sides met in that game. This season, Metcalf ranks eighth among all WRs in yards per route run (2.69) against 2-hi looks.
Brock Purdy – Has finished as a top-15 scoring fantasy QB in weekly output in 23-of-30 games as the 49ers starter. That’s 77%. Nothing about this matchup is imposing. Seattle allows the 10th-most passing FP per game (14.8). Purdy is scrambling way more this season (5.1 carries, 25.2 rushing yards per game), which adds to his floor in fantasy.
Start ‘Em
Deebo Samuel – Has 29/468/1 receiving and 26/80/1 rushing (13.7 PPR FPG – WR25) across the 7 games that he’s played this season.
Jauan Jennings – His usage last week couldn't have been more bullish. Jennings led the 49ers in targets (11) and routes (88% share) for 7/93 receiving as he took over the vacated Aiyuk role. He lined up outside on 72% of his routes – which was a season-high – and earned a whopping 39% of the first-read targets followed by Pearsall (23%) and Samuel (19%). Seattle allows the seventh-most schedule-adjusted FPG above average (+2.4) to opposing outside wide receivers.
FLEX Plays
Jaxon Smith-Njigba – As always, JSN is on the board as a WR3/FLEX option. Smith-Njigba absolutely hammered the Rams in Week 9 before their bye as their featured receiver. However, he has 37/319/1 receiving (10.9 PPR FPG) in seven outings with Metcalf this season. Seattle’s first-read target share is led by Metcalf (26%) then JSN (21%) and Lockett (19%) in their seven games played together. This is an ideal matchup for Smith-Njigba against a 49ers secondary that’s giving up 2.1 yards per route run to opposing slot receivers (third-most).
Ricky Pearsall – The rookie was third among the 49ers WR rotation in routes (68% share) last week behind Samuel (81%) and Jennings (88%). Even though he’s the third or fourth option in targets, this game environment (48 over/under) and his quarterbacks recent play gives Pearsall upside as a WR3/FLEX option.
Stream ‘Em
Geno Smith – Even though he owns a mediocre 11:10 TD-to-INT ratio, volume has propelled Geno to lower-end QB1 numbers in fantasy. Smith’s 18.0 fantasy points per game ranks QB12 just ahead of Sam Darnold (17.3). At the very least, we know that he’ll be able to rack up passing yardage. Geno leads all QBs in attempts (38) and passing yards per game (284.4).
Sit ‘Em
George Kittle – Unlikely to play with a hamstring injury. The TE1 has opened up a +3.4 fantasy point advantage on a per game basis over TE2 Brock Bowers.
Tyler Lockett
Noah Fant – Questionable (foot).
Stash ‘Em
Zach Charbonnet
Jordan Mason
Atlanta Falcons at Denver Broncos (4:05p ET)
Must Start
Bijan Robinson
Start ‘Em
Drake London and Darnell Mooney – You’re not pulling London out of lineups by any means, but he should see a ton of Broncos CB Pat Surtain on Sunday. Atlanta does move London inside to the slot 39% of the time, and Surtain (9% slot) rarely moves inside. This duo is just dominating targets here. London (33%) and Mooney (30%) account for over 60% of Kirk Cousins’ first-read targets. Mooney (25) has earned one more target than London (24) when Cousins has been blitzed this season. Denver is holding opposing wideouts to -5.0 schedule-adjusted FPG below average (seventh-fewest).
Courtland Sutton – With a whopping 32% of the first-read targets and 41% of the air yards, Sutton remains the only show in town. Improved QB play from Nix has unlocked Sutton’s season. Over their last six games, Sutton has 27/377/2 receiving (13.5 PPR FPG) because 83% of his targets have been catchable. This duo struggled to open the year. In Weeks 1-4, just 54% of Sutton’s targets were charted as catchable. Atlanta allows +3.9 schedule-adjusted FPG above average to opposing receivers (sixth-most).
Kyle Pitts – As always, Pitts is a low-end TE1. He has not earned more than 15% of the first-reads in a single game yet this season. Denver does allow the ninth-most receptions per game (5.5) to tight ends.
Stream ‘Em
Bo Nix – Over the last six weeks, Nix has emerged as a legitimate low-end weekly option with 20.6 FPG (QB6) in this span. He’s taking steps to improve as a passer, but the main appeal for our game is Nix’s rushing upside. He’s 8th among quarterbacks in rushing yards per game (29.0) behind Kyler Murray (37.1). Absolutely nothing about this matchup is imposing. Atlanta is allowing the sixth-most passing FPG (15.4).
Sit ‘Em
Audric Estime and Javonte Williams – It took a few weeks, but HC Sean Payton wasn’t lying when he said that he wanted to get the rookie Estime more involved. Estime led the backfield in carries (14/53 rushing) over Williams (1 carry, 1 yard) last week. This is headed towards a compartmentalized split, with Estime working on early downs and Williams and Jaleel McLaughlin mixing in on passing downs.
Kirk Cousins – SuperFlex only. Through 10 starts, Cousins has four top-12 scoring weeks among QBs, and he has 6 games outside of the top-18 entirely. Denver is blitzing opposing quarterbacks on 36% of their dropbacks (third-most) to try and generate pressure. Cousins is averaging -24% fewer FP per dropback (0.37) when blitzed as opposed to non-blitz dropbacks (0.49 FP/DB). Cousins’ completion rate is +6.1% above expectation when he’s not blitzed (fourth-best), but that drops to -3.5% CPOE (22nd-of-28) when opposing defenses blitz.
Devaughn Vele
Ray-Ray McCloud
Stash ‘Em
Tyler Allgeier
Kansas City Chiefs at Buffalo Bills (4:25p ET)
This is the eighth meeting of Mahomes vs. Allen. In their last seven games, the Bills and Chiefs have combined to average 53.2 total points scored. This over/under (46 points) looks a little bit light. These matchups are 4-3 towards the over. The Bills have won each of the last three regular-season meetings, while the Chiefs have taken all three matchups in the playoffs.
Must Start
Josh Allen – Over the last month, the Bills have emerged as one of the most pass-heavy teams with a massive +10.3% pass rate over expectation. It’s a huge change. Buffalo was balanced in their opening six games. As a result, Allen is averaging 35.8 pass attempts and 280 passing yards per game in his last four outings. In Weeks 1-6, Allen averaged just 26 passes and 193.3 yards per game.
Travis Kelce – Since Rashee Rice (knee, hamstring) was lost for the season in Week 4, Kelce leads all tight ends in target share (28.3%) and targets per game (10.3). The next closest TE is Brock Bowers (8.1 targets per game). It’s borne out of necessity, but we’re back to the Turbo Kelce role, where he just vacuums short receptions and generates first downs. He’s averaging 17.7 PPR fantasy points per game in Weeks 4-10 after putting up just 5.0 FPG in Weeks 1-3 when they ran the offense around Rice (RIP). His recent production is right in line with Kittle’s TE1 pace (17.6 FPG). Kelce has continued to dominate first-reads (34% share) over Hopkins (21%) over the last two weeks.
Start ‘Em
Kareem Hunt – As expected, Isiah Pacheco (broken leg) will not make his return in Week 11 as he continues to ramp up. In his six games as the Chiefs starting RB, Hunt has piled up 16, 28, 24, 22, 28, and 21 touches with 60 or more scrimmage yards in every outing. Most importantly, Hunt has all of the TD equity in this backfield. Hunt leads the Chiefs in red-zone carries (29) over Steele (1) and Perine (1).
James Cook – You’re not taking Cook out of your RB2 slot, but this is clearly not a great matchup. The Chiefs haven’t allowed more than 60 yards to a single running back all season. Jordan Mason (14/58 rushing) and Audric Estime (14/53) are the two “best” performances vs. Kansas City.
Khalil Shakir – Injuries have absolutely cleaned out the Bills in this spot. Keon Coleman (wrist) is already out, and Dalton Kincaid (knee) is very iffy. Meanwhile, Amari Cooper is still limited with a wrist injury of his own. Cooper was unable to play in Weeks 9-10 and he was spotted still wearing a cast in practice on Wednesday. This all leaves Khalil Shakir as the lone man left standing. He’s going to dominate targets. Shakir led the Bills in targets (9) for 6/58 receiving last week while earning a whopping 36% of the first-read targets. The Chiefs remain a huge funnel for production in the short, middle areas of the field because they play two-high safety coverage 61% of the time (third-most). As a result, the Chiefs allow the fourth-fewest yards per route run (1.6) to opposing outside receivers, but the fourth-most YPRR (2.0) to slot options.
DeAndre Hopkins – Over the last two weeks, Hopkins has 12/142/2 receiving while Xavier Worthy has one catch for 11 yards. Yikes. Nuk gets moved into the slot 40% of the time, so at the very least, he’ll have some opportunities underneath this week. Once again, Buffalo is not allowing much production to outside receivers (73 yards per game – fourth-fewest).
Patrick Mahomes – After finishing as a top-12 scoring fantasy QB in back-to-back games, I’m cautiously optimistic that Mahomes can return to the low end of QB1 radar for the remainder of the season. At the very least, the Chiefs have ramped up their pass rate over their last three games (+7.3% over expectation) after being fairly balanced in their first six outings (+2.6% PROE). If that trend continues, then we’ll at least have more volume here. Mahomes’ 3.9 TD% is easily a career-low, and it’s two full points below his previous career average (6.2 TD%).
Stream ‘Em
Dawson Knox – If Kincaid (knee) is out, then Knox will get a full-time role in an ideal matchup. No defense allows more yards (77.6) or receptions (6.7) per game to tight ends than Kansas City.
Sit ‘Em
Curtis Samuel – He has a pulse! Samuel set season-highs in routes (78% share) and targets (8) last week for 4/35 receiving. Unfortunately, this is the worst possible matchup. The Chiefs are giving up the second-fewest yards per game (69) and schedule-adjusted FPG below average (-6.7) to opposing outside receivers. Buffalo used Samuel (78%) and Mack Hollins (71%) as their primary outside wide receivers last week, while Shakir (85% slot) remained inside.
Amari Cooper – Still limited with a wrist injury. Cooper has been unable to play in Weeks 9-10 with the injury.
Dalton Kincaid – Suffered a knee injury last week. He didn’t practice on Wednesday. Kincaid briefly tried to return in the third quarter vs. Colts, but ultimately decided that he couldn’t go. It has been a season to forget for the second-year TE. He’s slipped to TE21 in PPR fantasy points per game (8.2).
Keon Coleman – Out with a wrist injury.
Xavier Worthy – Bust city.
Mack Hollins – Leads the Bills WR group in routes in each of his last two games, which has resulted in 5/30/1 receiving (vs. Dolphins) and 4/86 (vs. Colts).
JuJu Smith-Schuster
Stash ‘Em
Ray Davis
Cincinnati Bengals at Los Angeles Chargers (SNF)
Must Start
Joe Burrow – After a predictable slow start, Burrow has caught fire with 278.7 passing yards per game (7.6 YPA) and a pristine 24:4 TD-to-INT ratio over his last nine outings. Only two quarterbacks are scoring more fantasy points per game in this stretch than Burrow (23.1) – they are Lamar Jackson (26.5 FPG) and Jalen Hurts (24.6). Getting Tee Higgins (quad) back only boosts his outlook.
Ja’Marr Chase – No defense runs more zone coverage than the Chargers (81%). Chase is absolutely obliterating zones to the tune of 3.45 yards (WR4) and 0.70 fantasy points (WR1) per route run.
Chase Brown – Over the last two weeks without Zack Moss (neck, I.R.), Brown has become a full blown bell cow with 86% of the snaps and 85% of the team’s carries. Khalil Herbert will eventually have to mix in a bit more here to keep Brown alive, but this is as good of a role that you could ask for in fantasy. Brown’s workload is worth a ridiculous 27.5 expected PPR points per game across Weeks 9-10. He’s actually scored 25.1 FPG.
FLEX Plays
J.K. Dobbins – Gus Edwards returned to the field in Week 10, and he looked as explosive as he’s been all season (10/55 rushing). Edwards immediately cut way into Dobbins' workload (15/50 rushing | 3/5 receiving) in his return. Dobbins still played on 67% of the Chargers snaps, but this backfield is headed towards a two-way committee for the rest of the season. Dobbins has been held to a sluggish 3.8 yards per touch over his last seven games after he waxed the Raiders and Panthers soft run defenses for 270 total yards in Weeks 1-2. Annoyingly, backup Hassan Haskins took the goal-line TD to seal the win in the fourth quarter. Rookie Kimani Vidal was made a healthy scratch. Overall, the backfield red-zone snaps were Dobbins 59%, Edwards 29%, and Haskins 18% in Week 10. Dobbins losing early-down carries is one thing to live with, but losing work at the goal line is a huge concern moving forward. The Bengals have really tightened up their run defense over their last five games (3.37 YPC allowed in this span).
Tee Higgins – In his five games played, Higgins leads the Bengals in targets (43) and has 29/341/3 receiving (16.2 PPR FPG). Meanwhile, his running mate Ja’Marr Chase has turned his 36 looks into a stellar 29/523/6 receiving (23.7 FPG) in their games together. Injuries have continued to slow him down throughout his career, but if he’s back after missing three weeks with a quad issue, then I’m going right back to Higgins as a WR3 at worst. He is earning more first-reads (38% share) than Chase (28%).
Ladd McConkey and Quentin Johnston – In their six games together, McConkey leads Johnston in total targets (33 to 25) and first-reads (27% to 25%) by a slim margin. Despite seeing fewer looks, Johnston (17/284/5 receiving | 12.7 PPR FPG) has produced more than McConkey (22/298/2 | 10.6 FPG). Both of these wideouts are viable as WR3/FLEX options in what could be the highest scoring game of the week (48 over/under). The Bengals are allowing the second-most yards per game (119.0) to opposing outside receivers, which makes this a slightly better matchup for Johnston (92% of routes out wide) than McConkey (69% slot).
Stream ‘Em
Justin Herbert – Over the last five weeks, Herbert has re-emerged onto the fantasy radar with a clean 67% completion rate, 262.2 passing yards per game (8.7 YPA), and a 6:0 TD-to-INT ratio. Herbert’s 18.3 fantasy points per game ranks QB11 in this span. He’s finished as a top-15 scorer on a weekly basis in four straight games, and he has a great chance to make it 5 straight here. The Bengals allow 15.5 passing fantasy points per game (fifth-most). Now that he’s fully over foot/ankle injuries that slowed him down in Weeks 1-4, we should expect Herbert to continue scrambling a bit more. He has 11 scrambles for 91 yards over the last month of action and he had a sick designed rushing TD last week.
Sit ‘Em
Will Dissly – If you’re desperate for a streamer this week, Dissly is in play on the lower end. Over the last five weeks, Dissly is averaging 4.8 receptions and 37.4 yards per game. The issue is that he’s a part-time player. His route share has dropped down to 60% in his last two games with Hayden Hurst back. The main appeal is the matchup – the Bengals allow the sixth-most receptions (5.8) and seventh-most yards (59.8) per game to tight ends.
Mike Gesicki – If Higgins is back, feel free to drop Gesicki. In five contests with Higgins active, Gesicki has seen just 6% of the targets (8 receptions for 71 yards).
Josh Palmer
Jermaine Burton
Andrei Iosivas
Stash ‘Em
Gus Edwards
Houston Texans at Dallas Cowboys (MNF)
Must Start
Nico Collins – Welcome back. Collins returned to practice on Thursday, and he’ll play on Monday Night. Apparently, Collins was healthy and ready to go last week – but the Texans played it safe with their star receiver. Why wouldn’t they? The rest of the AFC South has collapsed. Houston will easily win the division. In his last 12 games with CJ Stroud under center, Collins has racked up 84 receptions for 1,366 yards and 7 TDs on 111 targets. That’s 21.8 PPR points per game. Dallas has deployed single-high safety coverage on at least 58% of their opponents dropbacks in 7-of-9 games. The only wide receiver that’s averaging more yards per route run against single-high coverages than Collins (4.0 YPRR)? Yeah, that’d be Justin Jefferson (4.2 YPRR vs. 1-hi).
Joe Mixon
Start ‘Em
C.J. Stroud – With Nico Collins back on the field, we’re back in on Stroud as a QB1. We liked the spot last week for him against Detroit even without Collins – that looked great in the first half, not so much in the second. Stroud finished as the QB14, QB29, QB25, QB19, and QB18 on a weekly basis over the last five weeks without Nico. In his career, Stroud has played 19 games with Collins, in which he’s averaged 270.4 yards (8.0 YPA) and 18.0 fantasy points per game. Both of those marks are top-12 among quarterbacks. Without Collins healthy, Stroud has sunk to 233.7 yards (6.8 YPA) and 14.0 fantasy points on a per game basis.
CeeDee Lamb – The Cowboys offense was an absolute catastrophe against the Eagles. Without Dak Prescott (hamstring; I.R.) under center, Cooper Rush was totally inept. Rush was eventually replaced in the fourth quarter after throwing for just 45 yards on 23 attempts. This was just the sixth time since 2000 that a QB threw more than 20 passes but was held under 50 yards. Yikes. The Cowboys will want to take a longer look at Trey Lance soon. Unfortunately, this all bumps Lamb’s outlook down as more of WR2/FLEX moving forward. Lamb still commanded 39% of the first-read targets last week, but his average depth of target (6.1 yards) was lower than usual (9.5 yards).
FLEX Plays
Tank Dell – Now that Collins is back, we’ll see Dell settle in as the secondary receiver. We’re just back to where we were with this duo to start last season. Of course, the big caveat here is that Nico Collins has just continued to get better since the start of last year. He’s a game-changer. Dell’s projection changes to a WR3/FLEX option for the rest of the way. In their nine games together last season, Collins earned 26% of the first-read targets while Dell was at 21%.
Rico Dowdle – As expected, the Cowboys have ditched the whole washed veteran RB bit with Ezekiel Elliott and Dalvin Cook. This is Dowdle’s backfield now. Over the last two weeks, Dowdle has played on 64% of the snaps and he has 24/128 rushing and 8/35/1 receiving (on 9 targets). It’s just so hard to get excited about this offense, though. Dallas’ implied point total (17.3) is third-lowest on the slate.
Sit ‘Em
Jake Ferguson – Was held to 4/24 receiving on four targets with a lost fumble last week. Houston is holding opposing tight ends to a league-low 24.7 yards per game.
Dalton Schultz
Jalen Tolbert
John Metchie
Cooper Rush – Stream Texans D/ST.
