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2025 NFL Draft Props: Quarterbacks and Running Backs

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2025 NFL Draft Props: Quarterbacks and Running Backs

If you’re anything like me, you’ve been itching for betting opportunities since Super Bowl LIX concluded with the Philadelphia Eagles defeating the Kansas City Chiefs. I’ve already broken down Super Bowl LX odds and 2025 Season Win Totals for the upcoming season, and I’ll continue to add to my NFL Futures Best Bets throughout the off-season. The 2025 NFL Draft is quickly approaching on April 24-26, our one chance to bet on an actual NFL event before preseason action gets underway in August.

Unfortunately, my home state of Pennsylvania doesn’t allow betting on the NFL Draft since it’s not an actual sporting competition. Hopefully, you live in or near one of the states that are allowed to offer betting lines on this year’s draft or you have access to an off-shore betting account.

Since I don’t have access to draft lines in Pennsylvania, I’m using lines that are offered in New Jersey for this article. Make sure to shop around for the best lines and odds if possible. There’s a lot more volatility in odds between sportsbooks with an event like the NFL Draft than you’ll see on game lines or player props during the season.

I plan on updating my NFL Draft Prop articles and my NFL Draft Best Bets multiple times before the end of April so check back throughout the month.

We’re thrilled to offer rookie scouting reports from Brett Whitefield from our 2025 NFL Draft Prospect Guide. I’ve included a small piece of his analysis for each player listed below. Be sure to sign up for a FREE account to get Brett’s complete analysis of over 150+ players.

2024 NFL Draft Results

OVERALL +6 units

NFL Draft Quarterback Props

Cam Ward, Miami

Latest Mock Drafts

  • Daniel Jeremiah, NFL Network (March 18): First overall (Tennessee Titans), QB1

  • Dane Brugler, The Athletic (March 4): First overall (Tennessee Titans), QB1

  • Todd McShay, The McShay Report (March 20): First overall (Tennessee Titans), QB1

Consensus Mock Drafts

Fantasy Points Prospect Guide Analysis

Ward is the classic type of toolsy QB who still needs a lot of work on the details of the position. He has unteachable arm talent and playmaking ability that gives him an extreme amount of upside as a prospect — he is fully on the Caleb Williams and Drake Maye spectrum of QB. While there are some massive red flags in his profile, I see the vision with Ward and buy into the potential. The top of this QB class is competitive, with all three of my top guys scoring similarly but all offering very different skill sets and play styles as players. Officially, Ward scores as my QB3, but it's a tight race for those top spots, and none of them are the standout "can’t-miss" type of prospect.

Draft Prop to Consider

Number 1 Overall Pick: Cam Ward (-1200, Bet365) — Ward opened at +1500 odds to be the first player selected at the conclusion of last year’s draft. He went on to win the Davey O’Brien Award after throwing for 4313 yards and 39 TDs in 13 games during his only season at Miami. He’s now the massive favorite to be the first player selected with April 24 quickly closing in. Shedeur Sanders and Carson Beck each spent time as favorites last year before Ward jumped into the lead spot at the end of the NFL regular season. Travis Hunter and Abdul Carter each challenged to be the #1 overall pick in recent months, especially after Titans GM Mike Borgonzi said they “won’t pass on a generational talent” with the top pick in late January

Ward distanced himself from the field to become the heavy favorite in March. The Titans signed just Brandon Allen and Tim Boyle at the quarterback position and loaded up along the offensive line by inking Dan Moore and Kevin Zeitler. Ward also thought he’d be the top overall pick when he was seen speaking to Tennessee’s front office at his pro day in late March. Ward said after his workout, “[I told them] ‘I’m solidifying it today. They finally got to see me throw in person. That should be all they need to see.” Barring a dramatic turn of events, the time to bet Ward as the top overall pick has come and gone.

Shedeur Sanders, Colorado

Latest Mock Drafts

  • Daniel Jeremiah, NFL Network (March 19): Third overall (New York Giants), QB2
  • Dane Brugler, The Athletic (April 17): 21st overall (Pittsburgh Steelers), QB2
  • Todd McShay, The McShay Report (March 25): Second overall (Cleveland Browns), QB2

Consensus Mock Drafts

Fantasy Points Prospect Guide Analysis

Sanders is a very polarizing QB prospect. On one hand, you have a handful of mouth-watering, high-floor QB traits in his accuracy, toughness, experience and decision making. On the other hand, you have what appear to be legitimate concerns about his ceiling (arm strength + athleticism). When you consider how murky the waters were at Colorado, it is really hard to put a thumb on just how limited his ceiling is. He overcame a lot as is, but we really didn’t get a clean look at him in a stable environment. It is also worth noting that QBs can develop as they mature physically, especially regarding arm strength — I think of Tom Brady right away. In conclusion, Sanders brings such excellent, high-level high-floor traits to the table that even with a potentially limited ceiling, he scores worthy of a top-10 selection for me.

Draft Prop to Consider

Shedeur Sanders Draft Position: Over 8.5 (-130, Bet365) — The son of Deion Sanders opened as the +100 favorite to be the first player selected at the end of last year’s draft. He finished his Colorado career as the all-time FBS leader in completion percentage (71.8%) on his way to winning the Big 12 Offensive Player of the Year award. He spent eight straight months as the favorite before Cam Ward overtook him at the end of the NFL season. Sanders is in danger of falling outside of the top three spots despite three QB-needy teams picking at the top of the board. His draft position prop opened at 3.5 and his since slipped to 8.5 right in front of the Saints at the ninth selection.

The Titans appear set to select Cam Ward first overall, while the Browns and Giants could go in the direction of the top two overall defensive prospects in Abdul Carter and Travis Hunter. The Browns traded for Kenny Pickett and are still in the mix for Kirk Cousins, while the Giants signed both Russell Wilson and Jameis Winston. A trade in the top three can’t be ruled out, but both franchises seem likely to draft potentially generational defensive players before selecting quarterbacks later in the draft. Sanders is the fourth player off the board with no consensus team and his expected draft position sits at 7.3, and it’s looking like he could slide a bit the closer we get to draft day.

Jaxson Dart, Ole Miss

Latest Mock Drafts

  • Daniel Jeremiah, NFL Network (March 19): 21st overall (Pittsburgh Steelers), QB3
  • Dane Brugler, The Athletic (April 17): N/A
  • Todd McShay, The McShay Report (March 25): 19th overall (New York Giants), QB3

Consensus Mock Drafts

Fantasy Points Prospect Guide Analysis

Dart brings a lot of my preferred traits to the table. He can operate a play as designed and is mostly a good decision-maker. He has a nice toolbox at his disposal, which includes good arm talent, accuracy, and athleticism. His overall playstyle and game remind me of a mix of Bo Nix and Jayden Daniels. Dart isn’t quite on Daniels’ level of athleticism but thrives in the quick-hitting rhythm-based system, attacking defenses deep, and using his legs. Among my top three passers in the 2025 class, I believe he plays the QB position the most like an NFL QB while possessing enough positive traits to give him a high ceiling, and therefore ranks as my QB1.

Draft Prop to Consider

2nd QB Drafted: Jaxson Dart (+600, Bet365) — Cam Ward has lifted and separated from the rest of the field to be the first quarterback selected at -5000 odds (98.0% implied odds). Shedeur Sanders is comfortably ahead of Dart to be the second quarterback selected, and he holds a significant advantage over him in expected draft position (7.3>28.4). Sanders has lost some momentum as draft day nears while Dart has surged from a potential third-round pick before the Combine to a first-round pick in recent weeks. Dart is coming off a season in which he took home first-team All-SEC honors by throwing for 4279 yards and 29 TDs.

Dane Brugler wrote in early March that it wouldn’t be a shock if Sanders is selected in the top six or falls out of the first round entirely. Our Brett Whitefield has Dart ranked as his top quarterback prospect and 10th overall, slightly ahead of Shedeur Sanders (QB2, 12th) and Cam Ward (QB3, 13). He believes all three bring different skill sets to the NFL and are attractive for different reasons, but Dart is the “slightly cleaner evaluation.” Dart also won’t bring the circus to town like Sanders and his father will, which could serve as a tiebreaker for some teams. Dart is a longshot to be selected ahead of Sanders, but it takes just one QB-needy team to value Dart more than Sanders for this prop to hit.

NFL Draft Running Back Props

Ashton Jeanty, Boise State

Latest Mock Drafts

  • Daniel Jeremiah, NFL Network (March 19): Sixth overall (Las Vegas Raiders), RB1

  • Dane Brugler, The Athletic (April 17): Sixth overall (Las Vegas Raiders), RB1

  • Todd McShay, The McShay Report (March 25): Sixth overall (Las Vegas Raiders), RB1

Consensus Mock Drafts

Fantasy Points Prospect Guide Analysis

Jeanty officially scores as the 5th highest RB I have ever evaluated, right between Saquon Barkley (2nd overall pick) and Jahmyr Gibbs (12th overall). In Jeanty, teams are getting a rare combo of bell-cow back with extremely explosive playmaking upside. He checks all three boxes of my "premium" traits for running backs: vision, burst, and the ability to create beyond blockers. He also has shown extreme toughness, considering the absurd workload he endured in college without a hiccup. Jeanty is a stud.

Draft Prop to Consider

Ashton Jeanty draft position: Under 9.5 (-180, Caesars) — Jeanty took home the Doak Walker Award after leading the FBS in rushing attempts (374) and rushing yards (2601) last season. He finished behind only Travis Hunter for the Heisman Trophy and could find himself selected shortly after Hunter at the top of the draft. Jeanty headlines what could be one of the best RB classes in recent memory. It features nine RBs inside the top 75 players on Brett Whitefield’s Big Board and 21 RBs inside his top 150 players. The position has been devalued in recent years but the group has some momentum heading into 2025. Saquon Barkley and Derrick Henry powered their teams to the top of the league after being allowed to hit free agency.

Bijan Robinson was the last RB selected inside the top-9 picks in 2023, which ended a five-year drought since Barkley last did it in 2018. Jeanty appears poised to do it this year with his expected draft position sitting at 7.7. The Raiders have been the most popular landing spot for Jeanty in mock drafts at 54%, and Las Vegas GM John Spytek told SiriusXM he’ll face some heat from his family if he doesn’t select Jeanty. Spytek said, “My son has made it no secret that if we don’t pick Ashton Jeanty at No. 6 that he’s walking out of the family…He basically told Mark Davis if my dad doesn’t take him he’s doing a bad job.” The Saints have been another popular landing spot for Jeanty, which would sneak him under this total with the ninth overall pick.

Omarion Hampton, North Carolina

Latest Mock Drafts

  • Daniel Jeremiah, NFL Network (March 19): 20th overall (Denver Broncos), RB2
  • Dane Brugler, The Athletic (April 17): 20th overall (Denver Broncos), RB2
  • Todd McShay, The McShay Report (March 25): 10th overall (Chicago Bears), RB2

Consensus Mock Drafts

Fantasy Points Prospect Guide Analysis

In a typical running back class, Hampton would be the RB1. In fact, he scores a whole round higher than any back in last year's class, albeit 2024 was a down year at the position. Hampton is a mutant-like runner who is tailor-made to benefit from the running renaissance that is happening in the NFL right now. Defenses don’t want the smoke he has to bring to the table. He is the type of runner who will haunt second-level players the day before games. In Hampton, teams are getting a versatile, bell-cow runner with untapped potential in the pass-game. Simply put, he is a stud and I have to wonder if his presence in the class will lead to teams playing "chicken" with Ashton Jeanty a bit.

Draft Prop to Consider

Omarion Hampton draft position: Under 19.5 (-110, Bet365) — Hampton would be the top RB prospect in most classes in the last decade, but he’s been overshadowed by Ashton Jeanty. He led the ACC in rushing yards in back-to-back seasons, scoring 15 rushing TDs in each campaign. The Raiders, Bears, and Cowboys are each looking for a running back early in the draft and pick inside the top-12 selections. The Lions traded D’Andre Swift during the 2022 draft after they surprisingly selected Jahmyr Gibbs with the 12th overall pick. Ben Johnson served as Detroit’s offensive coordinator during that stretch and is now the head coach in Chicago, and there’s plenty of speculation that he could push Swift into a smaller role by selecting a back early in the draft.

The Broncos, Steelers, and Chargers could also consider drafting a running back in the first round, but they own three consecutive picks from 20-22 overall. If one of those teams is particularly enamored with selecting Hampton, it’s not out of the question that one of these teams moves up a few spots to select the North Carolina product. The Broncos at 20th overall have been Hampton’s most popular landing spot in mock drafts at 45% of the time, and a team selecting later in the first round or in the early second round could look to jump the Broncos to land Hampton. I’m leaning toward Hampton being selected before the 20th pick, but the depth of this running back makes me wonder if RB-needy teams will be patient at the position come draft time.

Tom is a Senior Writer at Fantasy Points who specializes in fantasy and betting analysis. He’ll be helping you to navigate the waiver wire and manage your fantasy teams while also keeping our betting content robust all year long, especially during the season. Tom's Best Bets against the spread won at a 60% clip or better in each of the last two seasons and he owned the last undefeated team out of 3000 entries in Scott Fish Bowl 12.