Hey there. If you weren’t already aware, you’re reading Part-1 of a 4-Part breakdown on this week’s Wildcard Weekend DFS slate. In this article, we’re breaking down all relevant QBs, before covering RBs, WRs (Friday), and TEs (Friday).
We have an exciting collection of teams featuring the best-of-the-best facing off in the Wildcard Round of the playoffs. Follow along as we examine each positional grouping for each team to identify the DFS value/upside on both DraftKings and FanDuel.
Before digging too deep into the individual players, I did want to mention a few important notes this week:
1) On a typical full-game slate, I want to feel comfortable with every player I’m rostering. Ideally, even my punt-plays are tremendous values with high-upside. On a shorter slate like this (six games or thre games depending on which tournament you enter), it’s okay to roster a relatively “gross” name if you feel they give you a stronger lineup overall – allowing you to pay up elsewhere.
2) I can’t stress enough the importance of late-swap on these smaller slates. If you have any tournament lineups that seem unlikely to cash, you have nothing to lose and everything to gain by adding exposure to some “riskier” lower-owned players. And, I suppose, there is something of an edge towards players with games later in the weekend.
3) In the TLDR, I’ve listed out the top plays in order of value (according to me). This isn’t super strict. And in some cases sort of arbitrary. But it also doesn’t matter anywhere near as much as most of my readers think it does. What really matters, and especially with this short slate, is that you’re building a lineup that is well correlated. Or, as Johnny would say, “That tells a story.” And making sure you’re paying attention to ownership and then working off of that. Is Ezekiel Elliott a better play than Elijah Mitchell? On paper, and in cash, it’s Mitchell. But in tournaments, it depends. Who will be more highly owned? Elliott might make more sense if fading Dak Prescott and his pass-catchers, and stacked with Dallas’ DST.
TLDR
In order, Tier 1 in bold:
DK: Dak Prescott, Matthew Stafford, Joe Burrow, Jalen Hurts
FD: Dak Prescott, Joe Burrow, Matthew Stafford, Jalen Hurts
Notes: Here’s the top-4 value QBs of the slate. Basically, just play Prescott in cash. But, really all of this is irrelevant for tournaments. And our point-per-dollar projections for QBs are all extremely tight within the top-8 anyways. Far more so than for the other positions, there’s no real substantial edge from one QB to the next. So, that’s all the more reason to focus on the game-stack rather than the individual QB for tournaments (as we always recommend). Or to play multiple lineups.
Joe Burrow, QB, Cincinnati Bengals (vs. LVR)
[DK: QB5, FD: QB6]
Over his last two games, Burrow is averaging 508.5 total yards and 4.0 total touchdowns per game.
Those were both home games, and Burrow is averaging 42% more YPG at home this year. (He’s at home this week.)
When these teams faced off in Week 11, the Raiders held Burrow to only 148 passing yards (10.0 fantasy points). And Ja’Marr Chase and Tee Higgins combined for just 47 yards. But the Bengals won that game 32-13, feeding Joe Mixon 30 carries which netted him 123 yards and 2 scores. The on-paper through-the-air matchup actually does look fairly difficult, or at least below average. And specifically, tough for them, as Las Vegas ranks top-5 in fantasy points allowed on deep passes, while Cincinnati leads all offenses.
That said, we’ve seen the Raiders give up some big games to the more-competent QBs they’ve faced: Patrick Mahomes (28.3 FPG) and Justin Herbert (24.9 FPG), and Dak Prescott (25.3). The Bengals have the 3rd-highest implied point total of the week (27.75), with excellent shootout potential, given the close-ish spread (-6.0) and the 3rd-highest high over/under of the week (50.5).
All in all, he’s a little mispriced but not the top on-paper value of the week, though he is one of the best tournament plays at the position. What he lacks in Konami-upside (that some of the other similarly priced QBs offer), he makes up for in stacking upside. I really like the idea of rolling out a high percentage of Burrow-stack lineups, and then a high percentage of Joe Mixon on non-Burrow lineups.
Ideal Stacking Partner: Ja’Marr Chase vs. Tee Higgins, maybe C.J. Uzomah as a throw-in.
Derek Carr, QB, Las Vegas Raiders (@ CIN)
[DK: QB10, FD: QB9]
On-paper, Carr certainly seems to lacks the upside to be considered for tournaments,
Zero games with more than two touchdowns this year. Zero games over 21.5 fantasy points over his last 14. He averages 12.0 FPG over his last six games, with a high of just 15.3. Over the full season, and in games that did not go to overtime, Carr averages just 14.4 FPG.
But against the red hot Bengals passing attack, Cincinnati could force Vegas to quickly abandon the run. And there is some shootout-potential. And Darren Waller is finally back.
Still, I don’t trust him enough for cash, and think there are better low-owned QBs for tournaments.
Ideal Stacking Partner: Darren Waller and/or Hunter Renfrow. Maybe Zay Jones.
Josh Allen, QB, Buffalo Bills (@ NE)
[DK: QB1, FD: QB1]
After finishing as fantasy’s QB1 last season, Allen led all QBs in FPG this year. Of course, he’s also priced as the QB1, but he’s just $600 more than the QB4 on both sites. That’s a 7-8% difference in salary, though Allen has only been 10-14% more productive on both sites.
Allen’s matchup looks absolutely brutal on paper. New England ranks 2nd-best in passer rating allowed (73.3) while leading all defenses in schedule-adjusted FPG allowed to opposing QBs (-5.2). Again, brutal on paper. But maybe only on paper.
Bill Belichick’s defenses have historically struggled against hyper-mobile QBs. Since 2016, opposing QBs are averaging 22.6 FPG when attempting 6 rushes or more (16 games). In all other games, QBs average just 13.9 FPG. (Allen ran 12 times, scoring 31.0 fantasy points against them in Week 16.)
Oddly, over the last three seasons, Allen averages 28.0 FPG against New England on the road. At home, he averages just 13.0 fantasy points (high of 13.5), and his passer rating falls from 115.3 to 52.1. Typically, QBs are far more productive at home, so I found this strange. (He’s at home this week.) Digging deeper, average wind speeds in those games were 10, 17, and 19, which is incredibly high, and has a massively negative impact on QB performance. This week’s game will be extremely cold (close to zero degrees), but not at all windy. Of course, Allen has also not played well in cold weather games throughout his career. And since 2009, in a small sample, passing YPG drops by 30% when the temperatures are below 10 degrees.
So, all this to say, Allen is far more boom-or-bust than anyone is willing to admit. Everyone wants to play Josh Allen this week, but if he doesn’t get it done with his legs, I’m not sure how he hits. Or who (out of his pass catchers) would go off.
Ideal Stacking Partner: Stefon Diggs
Mac Jones, QB, New England Patriots (@ BUF)
[DK: QB13, FD: QB11]
In two games against Buffalo this year, Jones is averaging 8.0 completions, 82.0 yards, 0.0 touchdowns, 1.0 interception, and 1.0 fumble per game. And well, lol.
He’s not at all in play for me. The on-paper matchup is brutal, and I think New England leans as run-heavy as possible, as they did in both games earlier this year, and as have most teams have done against Buffalo this year — they lead the league in run rate over expectation (+5.4%) on defense.
And it’s not hard to see why. Opposing QBs are averaging a passer rating of just 65.3 against them, which ranks 3rd-best this past decade. Meanwhile, opposing RBs have averaged 5.35 YPC or better against them in 5 of their last 7 games.
Ideal Stacking Partner: Jakobi Meyers (preference) and/or Kendrick Bourne. Maybe also a RB or Hunter Henry.
Tom Brady, QB, Tampa Bay Buccaneers (vs. PHI)
[DK: QB3, FD: QB3]
Update (1/14/22): The over/under for this game dropped from 49.0 to 45.5 on Thursday. This was due to updated reports on the projected weather for this game — passing shower, temperatures in the 60s, and average wind speeds of 22.5 mph. Some light intermittent rain isn’t a concern, nor the balmy temperature, but those high wind speeds can certainly be a bit problematic for fantasy. Since 2000, QBs average -1.71 fewer FPG (in comparison to their per-game average that year) when wind speeds average 20 mph or more. For WRs, -0.88 less. And TEs, -0.69. So, it is worth downgrading Brady and Hurts, and, ever so slightly, their pass-catchers.
On both sites, Brady ranks 2nd among all QBs in FPG. He hit at least 19.8 fantasy points in all four postseason games last year, and well, I don’t know about you but I do think postseason experience means something — and no QB (in the history of football) is more postseason experienced than Tom. And he’s fresh off two monster games (368.0 YPG, 3.0 touchdowns per game), despite losing Chris Godwin and Antonio Brown, and having Mike Evans forced to play through injury.
When these two teams faced off in Week 6, Brady scored 19.0 fantasy points, throwing 42 times for 297 yards, 2 touchdowns, and 1 interception. The Buccaneers went up 28-7 at one point, but the game finished close (28-22). Notably, Mike Evans was sufficiently held in check by CB Darius Slay (2-27-0), while Antonio Brown was Brady’s most productive receiver (9-93-1). Chris Godwin played, though wasn’t very productive (5-43-0), and Rob Gronkowski sat out.
On paper, this matchup is largely neutral (+0.1), though significantly better than for Josh Allen (-5.2), Kyler Murray (-2.3), and Patrick Mahomes (-2.0). Vegas is projecting Tampa Bay to score 28.75 points (2nd-most on the week), and win by 8.5 points. That latter stat might be a little concerning for a typical QB, but Philadelphia’s defense has held their own on the ground, and, more importantly, Tampa Bay leads all offenses in pass rate over expectation (+11.6%), and by a considerable distance (next-closest is Kansas City at +7.1%).
One argument against him is how Philadelphia’s defense uniquely matches up against the strengths of their offense. If Darius Slay negates Mike Evans once again, and Philadelphia brings safety help to negate Gronk, can Brady still get it done throwing to Tyler Johnson and Breshad Perriman? On the Gronkowski point, interestingly, the Eagles have given up the 2nd-most FPG to opposing TEs (17.1), but they held George Kittle (5.7 fantasy points) and Travis Kelce (6.3) to near-season-low performances.
Still, he’s one of the better plays of the slate, and especially for tournaments.
Ideal Stacking Partner: Rob Gronkowski is a must. Then probably Mike Evans and/or one of the WR2-WR3 dart throws.
Jalen Hurts, QB, Philadelphia Eagles (@ TB)
[DK: QB8, FD: QB7]
Update (1/14/22): The over/under for this game dropped from 49.0 to 45.5 on Thursday. This was due to updated reports on the projected weather for this game — passing shower, temperatures in the 60s, and average wind speeds of 22.5 mph. Some light intermittent rain isn’t a concern, nor the balmy temperature, but those high wind speeds can certainly be a bit problematic for fantasy. Since 2000, QBs average -1.71 fewer FPG (in comparison to their per-game average that year) when wind speeds average 20 mph or more. For WRs, -0.88 less. And TEs, -0.69. So, it is worth downgrading Brady and Hurts, and, ever so slightly, their pass-catchers.
If Hurts is back to being a premium (2019 Lamar Jackson-esque) Konami Code QB, like he was prior to his ankle injury, or like he’s been in pass-heavy games, he’s one of the best QBs of the slate. If not, he’s probably a colossal bust.
The Eagles are massive road underdogs (+8.5), with a lowly 18.75-point implied total (2nd-worst). And Tampa Bay is a bottom-10 matchup for opposing QBs. And all that matters, but not nearly as much as it does for Konami Code QBs.
Hurts does average roughly the same FPG in losses (21.2) as opposed to wins (21.6). And we’ve seen Hurts himself (10-44-2), and Josh Allen (12-109-1), put up big numbers against Tampa Bay with his legs. (Though Taysom Hill flopped four weeks ago, scoring just 3.3 rushing fantasy points on 11 attempts.) And this cheat code gives Hurts a nearly unrivaled (relative to his price-tag) floor. He’s hit at least 19.0 fantasy points in 13 of 19 career starts (68%), which is more often than Tom Brady (64%). And over 16.5 in 15 of 19 career starts (84%), which is more often than any other QB over the past two seasons.
That’s the good news. The bad news is, he’s fallen short of 17.0 fantasy points in three of his last four games. And he hasn’t been running as much, following the ankle injury he suffered in Week 12. Since then, he's dropped from 10.2 rush attempts per game to 4.5, and his rushing YPG average has been cut in half (57.9 to 28.2). Philadelphia has also had their RBs far more involved in the offense, and that decision has also negatively impacted Hurts’ numbers. Through the first seven weeks of the season, Philadelphia was perfectly average in pass rate over expectation (0.0%). Since then, they’ve been the most run-heavy team in football (+13.3), opting to run nearly twice as often as the next-closest offense (New England, 7.4%). Over this span, Philadelphia’s RBs went from averaging 13.7 carries per game to 30.0. And, more importantly, Hurts saw his FPG average fall from 25.0 (QB2) to 18.3 (QB10).
You can argue that this was a concerted effort made by the coaching staff, and it was successful, resulting in more wins. (Philadelphia remained run-heavy in their few losses over this span.) Or, you can say, Hurts was more productive early in the year due to the negative gamescript (winning just two of seven games over this span).
I think it’s more the former than the latter. But I also don’t know how much that matters, given that Tampa Bay is the league’s No. 2 pass funnel defense (+4.9%), ranking best in rushing YPG allowed to opposing RBs (58.5). So, if we see Philadelphia wholly abandon and neglect their RBs, like they did in the first-half of the season, we could see Hurts hit big.
But either way, I think it’s clear he’s not the cash play many will hype him up to be. But rather, he’s a phenomenal tournament play. And he did score at least 28.5 fantasy points in two of his last five games, outside of those three duds.
Like with Allen, I think everything comes down to what Hurts does on the ground. And maybe, specifically (given his lack of rushing yardage in recent weeks), how many rushing touchdowns he scores. Because in 15 games this year, Hurts has four games with 2 or more rushing touchdowns, 1 with 1, and 10 with zero. That’s not something we can really predict week-to-week, at least outside of the low implied total, which isn’t doing him any favors.
Update / Conclusion: During our LiveStream, Johnny said Hurts was his favorite tournament QB-play of the slate. He said he thought Hurts would go back to being the Hurts we saw in the first-half of the season. That’s partly due to the matchup (pass-funnel) and spread (+8.5), but also because he thought he looked great running the ball in Week 17, and then had an extra week to rest up. Graham pointed out that Hurts has a prop of o/u 58.5 rushing yards. Johnny felt strongly that he would be the team’s preferred runner near the goal-line, and that Hurts could easily hit the over on that player prop… And well, that was good enough to sway me. If you couldn’t tell by all the words I wrote in this section, I really struggled with this writeup. I kept going back and forth on whether to love him or only mildly “like” him. Stafford is still my favorite tournament QB of the slate, but Hurts isn’t too far behind.
Stacking Partner: Dallas Goedert
Dak Prescott, QB, Dallas Cowboys (vs. SF)
[DK: QB6, FD: QB5]
Historically, QBs average +0.5 more FPG at home than on the road. And QBs average 2.8 more FPG when favored (typically +3.5 more than their per-game average). And +3.8 more FPG in wins. So, that’s some good news for Prescott, as home favorites in a game that offers the highest over/under of the week (50.5). And the close, but positive, spread (-3.0) implies shootout potential.
On paper, the matchup is close to neutral, but fringe-top-3 for this slate. And the strengths of Dallas’ offense align nicely with San Francisco’s weaknesses. Since Week 10, San Francisco ranks bottom-8 in both FPG (37.1) and fantasy points per target allowed to opposing WRs (1.83). And the 49ers are looking like a top pass funnel matchup, ranking 2nd-best in YPC allowed (3.63), but 8th-worst in opposing passer rating (97.0).
Joe Burrow is red-hot, but Prescott might be hotter. Over his last three games, Prescott is averaging ~35 passes, ~297 total yards, 4 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions (133.1 passer rating), good for 28.7 FPG.
Priced as just the QB6 (DK) and QB5 (FD) of the slate, Prescott is the top value QB on both sites. The problem is, Prescott is tricky for tournaments, at least for single entry players. It’s hard to identify what the optimal stack might be pre-hindsight. He’s a better option for players making multiple lineups, mixing and matching with various receivers.
Stacking Partner: Pick 2: Amari Cooper, CeeDee Lamb, Cedrick Wilson. Again, mixing and matching would be optimal.
Jimmy Garoppolo, QB, San Francisco 49ers (@ DAL)
[DK: QB11, FD: QB9]
Garroppolo has reached at least 17.5 DK fantasy points or 295 passing yards in 4 of his last 5 games. He averages 18.5 DK FPG since Week 9, and 17.2 DK FPG over the full season. Those numbers would rank 9th or 10th-best on the slate, but still just 3.3 or 4.5 off of 8th place.
Still, this game offers the highest over/under of the slate (50.5), and a close spread implying shootout potential (50.5). This could be viewed as something of a pass funnel matchup, as Dallas’ defense ranks top-12 in rushing yards allowed, but bottom-12 in passing yards allowed. But, realistically, the matchup looks fairly tough. For instance, Dallas ranks 6th-best in schedule-adjusted FPG allowed (-2.1) and 3rd-best in opposing passer rating allowed (76.4).
For cash, Garoppolo is in play if you desperately need a cheap QB. I like him more than Derek Carr, Ben Roethlisberger, and Mac Jones, for instance. But he’s still not (in my estimation) quite close to being the best pure-value QB of the slate.
For tournaments, like Carr, he has questionable upside, eclipsing two touchdowns just once this year. But it’s a little better on DraftKings, when factoring in the 3-point bonus for 300 passing yards. And he needs to be viewed **Greg Cosell voice** “within the context of the game” stack. WR Deebo Samuel averages 29.6 DK FPG in his top-50% of games. And TE George Kittle has season highs of 42.6, 37.1, and 24.1 DK fantasy points. So, there’s some upside there if Samuel or Kittle post a monster game. Though, I don’t think I have enough faith in San Francisco’s offense to play both Samuel and Kittle together (-0.42 correlation).
Ideal Stacking Partner: Deebo Samuel vs. George Kittle. Maybe a dub-stack with Brandon Aiyuk thrown into the mix.
Patrick Mahomes, QB, Kansas City Chiefs (vs. PIT)
[DK: QB2, FD: QB2]
Kansas City has the highest spread (-12.5) and the highest implied point total (29.25) of the week.
So, with a more typical team, the RBs would seem more enticing than the passing game options given the implied blowout-spread. But a banged up Clyde Edwards-Helaire and a banged up Darrel Williams aren’t too enticing to me, and probably not to HC Andy Reid. (If both are out, Mahomes legitimately might be the best QB-play of the slate.) And this is a must-win game, and the Patrick Mahomes-led Chiefs have always been one of the most pass-heavy offenses in football (and especially so with a lead). For the third straight season, they’ve ranked top-3 in pass rate over expectation (+7.0%, 2nd-most this year). And Mahomes has historically hogged TDs for himself, rather than give it up to RBs on the ground.
After a shaky stretch in the middle of the season, Mahomes has seemingly turned things back around. Over his last five games, he averages 24.1 FPG (low of 20.3) with a 114.5 passer rating. Included in that is a Week 16 meeting with the Steelers, where the Chiefs won 36-10, Mahomes dropped 22.3 fantasy points (on only 30 pass attempts) with a 135.1 passer rating. The RBs totaled 33-127-1 on the ground. And keep in mind, Travis Kelce missed this game (COVID). And Tyreek Hill played fatigued coming off of COVID, totaling just 2 targets on 42% of the team’s snaps. So, an argument could be made: “How many points would he have scored in a must-win situation (or, less probably, if Pittsburgh kept things more competitive), and Travis Kelce and Tyreek Hill played the whole game?” Because that’s more or less where we’re at this week.
Otherwise, the matchup looks fringe-bottom-12. But that’s fairly close to average for this slate.
Ultimately, this is Patrick Mahomes. Obviously, he’s one of the best plays of the slate. He’s pricy, but Kelce and Hill are both historically cheap.
He’s not popping as a top “pure value,” but he is glaringly one of the best tournament plays of the slate.
Stacking Partner: Travis Kelce (preferred) vs. Tyreek Hill, and I’d want one of Mecole Hardman or Byron Pringle
Ben Roethlisberger, QB, Pittsburgh Steelers (@ KC)
[DK: QB12, FD: QB12]
Roethslisberger is averaging 9.9 FPG and absurdly just 4.49 YPA over his last four games. And well, yeah he looks laughably dusty at this point in his career, and the odds feel close to 99% that Kansas City puts him and his career out to pasture in an embarrassing fashion this week.
Granted, across his prior four games he averaged 19.6 FPG. The volume is there, and will definitely be there this week. The on-paper matchup is extremely favorable — Kansas City ranks bottom-5 (and best among all teams on this slate) in schedule-adjusted FPG allowed to opposing QBs, both across the full season and over the past five weeks. And he’ll draw near-zero ownership, so there’s some significant upside if he hits big. But, again, 4.49 YPA over his last four games? Yeah, I won’t be playing him this week.
Ideal Stacking Partner: Diontae Johnson, obviously. But if you’re playing him you’ll probably want to go full-YOLO and add Pat Freiermuth, Ray-Ray McCloud, Najee Harris, or Chase Claypool to the mix.
Matthew Stafford, QB, Los Angeles Rams (vs. ARI)
[DK: QB7, FD: QB8]
It’s been a tale of two halves for Stafford, and it’s hard not to wonder if his dropoff in performance is due to injury. Something we’ve certainly seen from him before in previous seasons.
Before the Rams’ Week 12 game, ESPN’s Dianna Russini reported that Stafford was dealing with “pain in his throwing arm, his elbow, a sore ankle, and chronic back pain." He’s dealt with back injuries before and those tender to linger. And an infrequently mentioned elbow injury (tennis elbow) in 2019 turned Tom Brady from a top-10 QB in the first-half to a bottom-10 QB in the second-half.
On one hand, he’s thrown 7 interceptions over his last three games. On the other, he’s still scoring fantasy points (though not quite as much as before). And he hit 20.0 fantasy points in his other two meetings against the Cardinals this year, averaging 283.5 passing yards, 2.5 touchdowns, and 21.9 FPG. And, crucially, Arizona’s defense looks significantly worse today than it did in Weeks 4 and 14.
They’ve given up the 3rd-most schedule-adjusted FPG to opposing QBs (+6.9) over their last five games. Against mostly mediocre competition, they’ve allowed 21.9 FPG and a 121.2 passer rating, numbers which would rank 2nd-best and best (by a landslide) if over the full season.
So, ultimately, Stafford feels a bit hard to trust given his poor performances of late; 15.5 FPG with a high of just 19.5 over his last four games. But this matchup is drool-inducing, and, I think, good enough to make us want to overlook everything else. And, for tournaments, the stacks are obvious, which further bolsters Stafford’s upside, making him one of the best tournament plays at the position
Stacking Partner: Cooper Kupp, obviously. But I think you’ll want to at least dub-stack (triple-stacks are legitimately in play) with Odell Beckham Jr. (preferred) and/or Van Jefferson.
Kyler Murray, QB, Arizona Cardinals (@ LAR)
[DK: QB4, FD: QB4]
There’s been a slight drop-off in performance from Murray following the loss of WR DeAndre Hopkins, averaging 18.9 FPG, down from 23.5. After starting the season 7-0, Murray has lost five of his last seven games. And he hasn’t been as productive on the ground this season, as opposed to years past. Minus one game, he averages 2.9 rushing FPG over his last 11 games, down from 7.2. And, after totaling 819 rushing yards and 11 rushing touchdowns in 2020, those numbers have dropped to 423 and 5 (respectively).
Like Stafford, this might be injury-related, as he missed time earlier in the year with an ankle injury (Weeks 9-12). Murray has never performed particularly well when dealing with injuries, mostly due to diminished rushing volume and production. But, it’s the playoffs now, so there’s no need to continue playing it safe, assuming that’s the catalyst behind his recent lack of rushing success. But it’s probably not, and has a lot more to do with James Conner’s efficacy within the red zone. Though, to that point, Conner is currently a gametime decision for Monday’s game, and his absence would boost Murray’s projection by almost several points.
Still, he’s either the QB3 (FD) or QB4 (DK) of the slate by FPG. And, if we exclude Weeks 11-17 from last year (due to a shoulder injury), he’s averaging 25.3 FPG over the past two seasons, which would lead all QBs.
Unfortunately, his matchup is fairly brutal. The Rams rank top-5 in schedule-adjusted FPG allowed (-2.3), opposing passer rating (83.0), and fantasy points allowed per dropback. And, in full career games, Murray is 1-4 against the Rams, averaging 17.8 FPG (high of 22.6).
All this said, Murray always has the potential to single-handedly take over a game. And he’ll probably need to, given the deterioration of Arizona’s defense. And if he does decide to use his legs (he’ll probably need to), there’s massive upside there, as he averages 10.9 rushing FPG in his top-50% of games.
Stacking Partner: Zach Ertz (preferred) and/or Christian Kirk
