It’s Championship week!
Welcome to Week 17 Start ‘Em, Sit ‘Em.
This game-by-game article breaks down every player that is relevant for fantasy football. As always, please use our projections to make your start/sit decisions every week. The analysis in this piece provides color – and a lot of stats – behind the projections.
Unless stated otherwise, all of the data in this article is from Fantasy Points Data and specifically curated from the Data Suite. Our collection team has charted every play from every game over the last three seasons, and we will have fresh, weekly data imported into the tools on Monday after the games.
The Start’ Em, Sit ‘Em key
Must Start — Don’t take them out of your lineup, even if there is a fire.
Start ‘Em — The top-12 at QB and TE; top-20 plays at RB; top-25 at WR.
FLEX Plays — All of the best RB2/WR3 plays.
Stream ‘Em — The best one-week plays at QB and TE for streaming off of the waiver wire.
Sit ‘Em — Don’t play them in your lineups. This could be due to a poor role, matchup, or performance.
Stash ‘Em — Step 1: Hold them on your bench. Step 2: Profit.
Good luck this week!
Kansas City Chiefs at Pittsburgh Steelers (Wednesday | 1p ET)
The Chiefs are in command of the #1 seed in the AFC. Kansas City can lock down a first-round bye with a win. The Steelers are small home underdogs (+3). With a third straight loss, they’d cede the lead of the AFC North to the Ravens.
Start ‘Em
George Pickens – Will return after missing the last three weeks with a hamstring injury. Pickens returned to full practice on Tuesday. Over his six starts with Wilson at QB, Pickens was breaking out as a lower-end WR1 with 29/497/3 receiving (16.0 FPG ~WR16). If he’s close to full go, the volume should be solid. Pickens has earned a whopping 35% of the first-read targets, while the next closest Steeler WR is Calvin Austin at 13% FR share. At worst, he’s an upside WR2/FLEX option for the finals.
Travis Kelce – Unless he scores twice in Weeks 17-18, this will easily be a career-low in TDs for Kelce. He’s scored just twice through 15 games. His 49.3 yards per game are also a career-low. He’s TE7 by FPG (11.6), and that’s -1.2 FPG behind Jonnu Smith (12.8). You have no other choice but to keep playing him as a mid-range TE1.
FLEX Plays
Xavier Worthy – We’ve seen a bit of a late-season breakout for Worthy. He’s earned 28% and 27% of the targets in each of his last two starts, turning his strong volume into 13/111/1 receiving. He’s also added 6/40/1 as a runner. Worthy still needs a lot of polish, but the Chiefs are forcing the ball to him. In their first game with Hopkins, Brown, and Worthy all on the field, it was the rookie who took over as the main slot receiver (65% deployment). Getting the shallow, easy grabs is huge for Worthy’s fantasy stock. His matchup is made easier with Steelers top CB Joey Porter (knee) out.
Sit ‘Em
Patrick Mahomes – Has spent the last two seasons as a low-end QB1 for fantasy. Mahomes has finished as a top-10 scorer on a weekly basis just eight times in his last 33 games (24%). His 240.5 passing yards per game and efficiency (6.6 YPA) in 2024 are both well below career average marks (296.0 YPG | 7.9 YPA) prior to this season. Once again, you’re looking for more upside in 1-QB leagues. He’s scored more than 20 FP three times this season. Pittsburgh’s pass rush will look to tee off on Mahomes here. Kansas City will have to start Joe Thuney at LT again – D.J. Humphries will miss his third straight game – while RT Jawaan Taylor is a turnstile.
Kareem Hunt and Isiah Pacheco – Over the last two weeks, the Chiefs have split their backfield work right down the middle. Hunt (41%) has the slight lead in snaps over Pacheco (35%), and both RBs have handled similar volume. Hunt has turned his 27 touches into 128 scrimmage yards and a TD. Pacheco hasn’t gotten it rolling yet. He’s been held to 72 scoreless scrimmage yards on his 24 touches in the fantasy quarter- and semi-finals. This backfield is on the board for lower-end FLEX decisions here. Pittsburgh’s run defense has been cracked for a league-high 6.1 YPC off of zone-blocking carries over the last 10 weeks.
Najee Harris and Jaylen Warren – This is the worst possible matchup on the ground against a great Chiefs run defense. Both of these Steeler RBs are desperation FLEX plays. The good news? They’re both likely going to be active in the passing game. Russell Wilson checks the ball down 15% of the time vs. 2-high safety coverages, which is the second-highest rate behind Derek Carr (16%). It has resulted in Harris (14%) and Warren (13%) combining for 27% of the team’s targets vs. 2-high looks. Over the last 10 weeks, the Chiefs have just allowed 3.8 YPC (sixth-lowest) and a 2.5% explosive run rate (fourth-lowest).
DeAndre Hopkins and Marquise Brown – Hopkins has been held under 40 yards in five of his last 6 games. He remains a TD-or-bust WR4. Brown made his 2024 debut last week and he immediately earned eight targets (5/45 receiving), despite running a route on just 33% of the pass plays.
Russell Wilson – SuperFlex only.
Calvin Austin
Pat Freiermuth – Now that Pickens is back, Freiermuth is off of the board. In his six starts with Wilson under center and Pickens on the field, he’s averaging just 3.3 targets/game (TE32).
Baltimore Ravens at Houston Texans (Wednesday | 4:30p)
The Ravens need a win and a Steelers loss to flip Pittsburgh for the AFC North lead. The Texans are pretty much locked into the #4 seed.
Must Start
Lamar Jackson – Closing out what should be his third MVP. Jackson’s 25.2 FPG ranks the sixth-most by a QB all-time.
Nico Collins – In his last 17 games with C.J. Stroud dating back to last season, Collins has racked up 112 receptions for 1,708 yards and 10 TDs on 154 targets. That’s 20.2 PPR points per game. Collins has a chance to win leagues this week with Tank Dell (knee) out. The Ravens aren’t a sieve secondary any longer, though. Over the last 10 weeks, they’ve been a neutral matchup by schedule adjusted FPG allowed to receivers (-0.1 | 18th).
Derrick Henry – Can he finally score a TD in the finals!? After scoring a TD in 11 straight games to start his season – 15 scores in total – King Henry hasn’t hit paydirt since Week 12 vs. Pittsburgh. Henry just blasted the Steelers for 189 scoreless scrimmage yards last week. Houston allows big plays on the ground. Over the last 10 weeks, the Texans have given up an explosive run of 15+ yards on 5.7% of opponents’ carries (third-highest).
Start ‘Em
Joe Mixon – His fantasy season has closed out with a whimper. Mixon has been held out of the endzone in three of his last 4 games, and he’s been held in check on the ground with just 80 rushing yards on 26 carries since their bye week. This is yet another tough spot as +5.5 home underdogs against a great Ravens run defense. Baltimore is holding RBs to a league-low 3.5 YPC. Mixon is a volume-based RB2.
Mark Andrews – After back-to-back games with 0 catches in Weeks 3-4, Andrews has come to life with 43/486/9 receiving (13.3 PPR FPG – TE5) over his last 11 outings. He’s making the most of low volume (4.5 targets per game – TE18) thanks to touchdowns. Andrews and Jackson have connected on 7-of-7 end zone targets since Week 5. Not bad.
FLEX Plays
Zay Flowers – Nursing a minor shoulder injury. Flowers has only scored 4 TD this season, but he’s quietly WR21 by yards per game (67.7). As always, he’s on the board as a WR3/FLEX. Flowers should get a few extra targets this week with the Ravens down Nelson Agholor (concussion) and RB Justice Hill (concussion). Flowers will mostly align against Texans slot CB Eric Murphy, who allows a league-high 0.46 FP/route run in his coverage.
Stream ‘Em
Dalton Schultz – Nailed him as the top streaming TE of the semi-finals slate last week, and I’m back in again here. Schultz tied for his season-high in targets (8) last week, turning his solid volume into a usable 5/45/1 receiving. Tank Dell’s absence (knee) will just condense the targets around Collins and Schultz. In their last two games since the bye week, Collins leads the way in first-read targets (33%), with Schultz (21%) tied with Dell (21%) for second on the team. Rookie TE Cade Stover (illness) has missed the last two games, but he will return this week.
Sit ‘Em
C.J. Stroud – It has been a season to forget for Stroud. He hasn’t finished as a top-12 scoring QB in fantasy output since Week 5. In fact, he’s finished outside of the top 16 entirely in eight of his last 9 outings. Essentially, he’s been completely unusable in fantasy for the entire year.
Rashod Bateman – The definition of “better in best ball.”
John Metchie – Will return after missing one game with a shoulder injury. Metchie will need to take on a larger role to close out the season after the Texans have been cleaned out by season-ending injuries to Dell and Diggs.
Isaiah Likely
Robert Woods
Seattle Seahawks at Chicago Bears (TNF)
The Seahawks' slim playoff chances rely on this must-win here. They can’t look ahead, though. Seattle plays the Rams in L.A. in Week 18 to possibly determine the division.
Must Start
Jaxon Smith-Njigba – Since Week 8, JSN is the WR3 in FPG (20.7). This trails only Ja’Marr Chase (27.5 FPG) and Puka Nacua (21.7) in this span. He’s earned 36% and 28% of Seattle’s targets over their last two games. The Bears allow 2.1 yards per route run to opposing slot receivers, which is second-most.
Start ‘Em
Zach Charbonnet – Played just 18% of the snaps in Week 16 while dealing with an elbow injury, but he’s now off of the injury report. Ken Walker is nursing an ankle injury and hasn’t practiced yet this week. Seattle used Walker as their clear lead back last Sunday, but he once again came up small despite the huge workload. Walker earned 18.8 expected PPR but scored only 13.9 actual points. If Walker is out, and Charbonnet gets another spot start, then I will bump him up to Must Start. Charbonnet has made four starts this season, in which he’s averaging 108.8 scrimmage yards per game, and he’s scored a TD in each outing. This role is just the best because he doesn't come off of the field when Walker is out. Charbonnet’s 86% snap rate as a starter would tie Kyren Williams for the highest rate among RB. Chicago’s run defense is getting cracked for 4.6 YPC (second-most) over the last 10 weeks.
D.J. Moore and Keenan Allen – In their last six starts since the OC change to Thomas Brown in Week 11, this duo has finally broken out. Chicago has concentrated the targets around Allen (10.0 targets per game) and Moore (9.3 T/G), and they’ve both smashed. Allen has 36/453/5 (18.6 FPG), while Moore has piled up 43/428/2 receiving (17.4 FPG) since Week 11. Moore is getting so many designed screens (4.0 per game) that it really boosts his floor in fantasy. Once again, they’re both borderline WR1 options. Seattle allows the sixth-most schedule-adjusted FPG above average (+4.7) to opposing wideouts over the last 10 weeks.
FLEX Plays
D.K. Metcalf – Had 3/57/1 receiving last week, all in the first half. Once again, Metcalf was significantly behind JSN in targets. In their last 2 games together, JSN has earned 24 targets. Metcalf has just 10 looks. He remains a boom-or-bust WR3 FLEX. Since suffering a midseason knee injury that cost him two games, Metcalf is WR42 by FPG (10.7). Before the injury in Weeks 1-7, Metcalf was looking like a borderline WR1 with 35/568/3 receiving (15.4 FPG).
Stream’ Em
Caleb Williams – Over his last six starts since the OC change from Shane Waldron in Week 11, Williams is putting up a rock-solid 19.8 FPG (QB10 in span). At the very least, he’s on the board as a lower-end QB1 for the fantasy finals. Williams has cut back on the sacks and turnovers, and he’s been playing far more efficient ball lately. Over his last six games, Williams has completed 65% of his passes for a solid 7.0 YPA. From Weeks 1-10, Williams was among the league’s least efficient passers with a 60% completion rate and lowly 6.0 YPA. The Seahawks have allowed at least 2 passing TD in four straight games.
Sit ‘Em
Ken Walker – Questionable to play (ankle).
D’Andre Swift – Over the last five games since he suffered a groin injury in Week 11, Swift has turned his 66 carries into 206 scoreless yards (3.1 YPC). He has just 10 receptions for 115 yards in this span. Roschon Johnson returned last week, but barely mixed in.
Geno Smith – SuperFlex only.
Rome Odunze
Tyler Lockett
Cole Kmet
Noah Fant
Los Angeles Chargers at New England Patriots (Saturday | 1p)
If the Chargers win on Saturday, they’re in as the likely #6 AFC wild card seed.
Must Start
Ladd McConkey – The Chargers are +7.6% more pass-heavy than expected over their last five games with McConkey, and the extra pass volume is fueling a late-season breakout for the shifty rookie. In this span, he’s been targeted a team-high 40 times and tallied up 32/468/1 receiving (16.9 PPR FPG ~WR11). This matchup will be a welcome change for McConkey. The Chargers just faced two very zone-heavy defenses over their last two games. Denver and Tampa Bay both deployed zones on at least 80% of their passing plays. This is a polar opposite spot because New England plays 40% man coverage. McConkey is absolutely shredding man coverages to the tune of 3.36 yards per route run. For reference, that's tied with CeeDee Lamb for sixth-best.
Start ‘Em
Justin Herbert – Right on the fringe of viability for 1-QB leagues. This is such a home run spot for McConkey. The strong matchup for his top wideout has Herbert back as a lower end QB1 after he’s spent the last few weeks on the sit list. Since Week 6, Herbert is QB15 in fantasy points per game (17.7), just fractions ahead of rookie Caleb Williams (17.7). The Patriots allow 0.43 passing FP per dropback, which is tied with the Falcons for the fifth-most.
FLEX Plays
Rhamondre Stevenson – Found the endzone last week, which saved his day for fantasy football. Stevenson has gone over 70 scrimmage yards in five out of his last 6 games, but his workload took a deep dent last week. Antonio Gibson out-snapped Stevenson by a 59% to 43% margin. It’s a concern. The Chargers are getting run on. Over the last 10 weeks, Los Angeles has allowed 4.5 YPC on zone-blocking concepts (fifth-most) and 5.2 YPC on gap concepts (also fifth-most). Stevenson is a FLEX for the fantasy finals.
J.K. Dobbins – After missing the last four games with a knee injury, J.K. Dobbins’ return window opened this week, and he’s at Chargers’ practice. Los Angeles is likely to play it safely with Dobbins after he’s suffered yet another leg injury. However, Gus Edwards is out, so it’ll just be Dobbins and the rookie Kimani Vidal in the backfield. Vidal will mix in on passing downs, but I expect that Dobbins will get the bulk of the early-down and goal-line work. He’s on the board as a RB2/FLEX option.
Stream ‘Em
Drake Maye – Over his nine full starts, Maye is averaging 18.7 fantasy points per game (QB9). He’s putting up a solid 234.9 passing yards per start, which would easily lead the rookie QB crop by a distance over Daniels (220.2), Williams (218.1), and Nix (215.7). He’s available in 84% of Yahoo leagues. The Chargers are a stingy pass defense that relies heavily on two-high safety coverage to keep everything in front of them. Good news for Maye streamers – he’s averaging an efficient 0.53 fantasy points per dropback when facing 2-hi coverages. For reference, this is tied with Sam Darnold for eighth-best. Los Angeles plays the third-most two-high coverages (58%).
Hunter Henry – As always, Henry is on the board as a potential streaming option. He’s available in 50% of Yahoo leagues. At least he’s consistently involved. Henry has earned at least 17% of the Patriots targets in seven out of his last 8 games. The Chargers aren’t exactly the best spot to use tight ends in fantasy. They’ve allowed just one TD to a tight end all year – Mark Andrews back in Week 12.
Sit ‘Em
Quinten Johnston – He’s scored eight touchdowns this season, but topped 50 yards just twice across 13 games.
Will Dissly – Returned to practice. Dissly has missed the last two games tending to a shoulder injury. We’ll see the Chargers go TE-by-committee with Dissly and Stone Smartt to close out the year.
Kayshon Boutte
Demario Douglas
Josh Palmer
Antonio Gibson
Denver Broncos at Cincinnati Bengals (Saturday | 4:30p)
If the Broncos beat the Bengals, they’re in as the likely #7 seed AFC wild card seed. Cincinnati is favored by a FG. If they’re to make the playoffs, the Bengals need to win here and then have the Broncos lose again in Week 18 against the Chiefs. Kansas City could elect to rest some of their key starters in the season finale if they lock up the AFC #1 seed on Wednesday.
Must Start
Ja’Marr Chase and Tee Higgins – In their 10 games together, Chase has exploded for 71/1052/12 receiving (25.1 PPR FPG – WR1). Chase’s only legitimate competition for WR1 is Puka Nacua (21.7 FPG), and he’s still behind by over 3 FPG. Meanwhile, Higgins has balled out in his contract season, racking up 58/727/7 receiving (17.3 PPR FPG – WR9). You can’t possibly take him out of lineups, but Higgins is more likely than Chase to see Broncos CB Pat Surtain on Saturday afternoon. Chase moves around the formation and into the slot one-third of the time, which makes it nearly impossible for a single CB to travel with him. Surtain is only allowing 0.12 FP per route run in his coverage, which is the best mark in the league. However, he’s only one man. The rest of the Broncos secondary is getting shredded. Over the last 10 weeks, Denver is getting crushed for a league-high +6.6 schedule-adjusted FPG above average to receivers.
Joe Burrow – In his 10 starts with his top two wideouts, Burrow is putting up a league-winning 23.2 FPG. This effectively makes Burrow the QB3 in fantasy, behind only Lamar Jackson (25.8) and Josh Allen (24.3). The Bengals are the most pass-heavy team (+10.7% above expected) in a landslide over the Chiefs (+6.6%). As a result, Burrow leads all QBs in attempts, TDs, and yards. The Broncos have cut back on deploying man coverage immensely, and they just played zones on 81% of the Chargers dropbacks on TNF last week. I can’t imagine that they’ll want to test their weaker CBs against Burrow and these receivers with a bunch of man-to-man looks.
Chase Brown – Since the Bengals lost Zack Moss (neck) for the season, Brown is putting up 21.8 PPR FPG as the bell cow. Saquon Barkley (24.2) and Josh Jacobs (22.1) are the only running backs that are putting up more fantasy points per game since Week 9. Brown’s volume and TD upside is so strong that matchups don’t matter too much. Denver’s secondary – besides Surtain – isn’t playing well, but their run defense is holding strong. Over the last 10 weeks, the Broncos allow just 3.44 YPC (second-fewest).
Start ‘Em
Bo Nix – Over the last 10 weeks, Nix is QB9 by fantasy points per game (19.8). That’s just behind Sam Darnold (20.2 FPG). The only problem as of late is that Nix isn’t running as near as much as he once was earlier in the season. In fact, he’s averaging just 19.1 rushing yards per game and has one TD on the ground over his last nine starts. The Bengals allow 15.8 passing fantasy points per game (sixth-most), and they’re giving up a league-high 31.9 rushing yards per game to opposing quarterbacks. This game has clear shootout appeal with the second-highest over/under (50 points) on the slate.
Courtland Sutton – Since his random Week 7 goose egg vs. New Orleans, when he didn’t get a single target, Sutton has turned into one of the most consistent WR2 over his last eight games for 50/651/4 receiving (17.9 PPR FPG – WR12). The Bengals don’t trust their CBs, so they’re rolling their safeties back into a two-high look 58% of the time since Week 11. Why is that important? Well, Sutton averages 0.35 FP per route run vs. 2-hi. That’s significantly lower efficiency when compared to his stellar 0.52 FP/RR vs. 1-hi looks (Cover-1 man, Cover-3 zone).
Sit ‘Em
Jaleel McLaughlin, Javonte Williams, and Audric Estime – McLaughlin (quad) missed their Week 16 TNF game on the short week, but he returned to limited practice on Wednesday.
Devaughn Vele – He’s earned just 3% and 8% of the targets in their last two games since the bye week.
Mike Gesicki – Has just 21 receptions for 199 scoreless yards (4.1 FPG) in 10 games with Tee Higgins. He ran fewer routes (36% share) than Drew Sample (47%) last week.
Marvin Mims
Andrei Iosivas
Troy Franklin
Arizona Cardinals at Los Angeles Rams (Saturday | 8:15p)
The Rams control their own destiny in the NFC West. They’re a game ahead of the Seahawks for the division lead, and Los Angeles plays Seattle in Week 18. After starting 6-4, the Cardinals have completely collapsed. Arizona is 7-8 and mathematically eliminated from the playoffs. They’d love to play spoilers.
Must Start
Puka Nacua – In his eight full starts over the back half of the season, Nacua has exploded for 64/815/3 receiving (21.7 FPG – WR2). He’s earned a whopping 30 (!!) more targets than Kupp in this span. The gap just continues to widen. This entire passing game is built around Nacua. His 44% first-read target share leads all receivers over A.J Brown (43%) and Malik Nabers (42%). Nacua is averaging 0.37 targets per route run, leading all receivers in a landslide. Nacua can bust any tough matchup, but the Cardinals are particularly stingy. Over the last 10 weeks, only the Eagles (-7.9) are giving up fewer schedule adjusted FPG below average to opposing wideouts than the Cardinals (-5.8).
Kyren Williams – Williams has played at least 79% of the Rams snaps in 14-of-15 games. He’s just a TD machine with 30 total TDs across his 27 starts dating back to last year.
Start ‘Em
James Conner – Was limited in practice on Tuesday (knee). As long as he’s good to go, you’re playing Conner as a borderline Must Start RB1. His health is the only concern. Conner has cleared 120 scrimmage yards and has at least one TD in each of his last 3 games.
Trey McBride – Even though he still hasn’t scored a receiving TD yet this season, McBride is TE3 by FPG (13.9). It’s a bummer that his quarterback hasn’t played better. With a few more touchdowns, McBride could push Bowers and Kittle as the TE1. He’s coming off a season-worst 3/20 receiving last week because his QB melted down.
Kyler Murray – In two pristine matchups over the last two weeks vs. Patriots and Panthers, Murray has thrown for 224 and 202 yards. It’s not nearly good enough. At the very least, Murray ran more last week, adding 8/63/1 on the ground. He’ll need to use his legs all game long here because the Cardinals placed both of their starting tackles Paris Johnson and Jonah Williams on I.R. Murray is back on the board as a low end QB1.
FLEX Plays
Cooper Kupp – If you somehow overcame Kupp tanking your team in the quarter- and semi-final matchups, congrats! Kupp has earned just 11% and 16% of the Rams targets in each of his last two games, and it’s compounded by Los Angeles’ declining pass rate. By comparison, Nacua has earned 30% and 42% of the looks across Weeks 15-16. He has 37/430/5 receiving (13.8 FPG – WR25) in eight full games with Nacua. Kupp is WR2/FLEX for the fantasy football finals.
Marvin Harrison – If you somehow made it this far with Harrison weighing down your roster for the entire season, well… congrats! The rookie has been a nightmare for fantasy because his quarterback has not improved since early in his career. Harrison is merely WR42 by FPG (11.0)… and that's tied with Xavier Worthy. Lol. This is his third straight great matchup. Los Angeles is giving up the sixth-most schedule adjusted FPG above average (+4.1) to opposing wideouts over the last 10 weeks.
Sit ‘Em
Matthew Stafford – The Rams have morphed into one of the most run-heavy teams over the last month, throwing the ball at the second-lowest rate (-12% PROE) in this span. After he was averaging 35 pass attempts per game in Weeks 1-12, Stafford hasn’t topped 30 attempts in each of his last four outings. This is not a spot to use Stafford in 1-QB leagues. The Cardinals are limiting opposing quarterbacks to -1.9 schedule adjusted FPG below average over the last 10 weeks (sixth-fewest).
Blake Corum
Trey Benson – Missed Week 16 with an ankle injury. He returned to limited practice on Tuesday.
Michael Wilson
Demarcus Robinson
Tutu Atwell
Tyler Higbee – Scored a TD in his return from I.R. (knee) last week. However, he was still very limited. Higbee (22% route share) ran fewer routes than Parkinson (37%).
Tennessee Titans at Jacksonville Jaguars
Must Start
Brian Thomas – Exploded for 36/481/4 receiving (21.6 PPR FPG) over the last five weeks. I was calling Thomas a R1-R2 turn pick a few weeks ago, but he’s solidified himself as a top-10 overall selection in 2025 fantasy drafts. BTJ is averaging 16.2 PPR FPG over the full season, which is 12th-most by a rookie WR all-time. Yes, injuries have cleaned out the Jaguars’ receiver room. However, we can’t discount what he’s doing with this volume. Thomas has earned double-digit targets in four straight games, and he’s earned at least 30% of the looks in each of his last three outings. Oh, and he’s done all of this with Mac Jones.
FLEX Plays
Tyjae Spears – Vet RB Tony Pollard is beat up and not close to 100% healthy. As a result, we’ve seen Spears’ usage really tick up. He’s played on 55% and 60% of the snaps in each of his last two games, racking up 14/32/3 rushing and 9/126/1 receiving. At worst, Spears is on the board as a RB2/FLEX option for Week 17. Spears was held in check on the ground in each of his last two games, but this is obviously an ideal matchup. Jacksonville is getting trucked for 137.6 rushing yards per game (sixth-most) over the last 10 weeks. If Pollard is out, then Spears is borderline Must Start.
Calvin Ridley – In four full starts with Mason Rudolph under center, Ridley has piled up 21/336/1 receiving (15.0 PPR FPG) on a team-high 37 targets. The Jaguars have played better pass defense to close out their season, and they’re perfectly league-average (16th) by schedule adjusted FPG allowed to receivers over the last 10 weeks. As always, he’s a boom-or-bust WR2/FLEX.
Stream ‘Em
Chig Okonkwo – He’s alive! Over the last two weeks, Oknonkwo has broken out for 17/140 receiving. He’s earned at least 10 targets in back-to-back games, and just played on a season-high 81% route share last week. Okonkwo is in play as a lower end TE1 against this Jaguars LB/S corps that’s giving up the 10th-most yards per game (57.0) to tight ends.
Sit ‘Em
Tony Pollard – Nursing a foot/ankle injury. He’s been limited to 44% and 40% off the snaps in the Titans last two games, respectively
Travis Etienne and Tank Bigsby – You’re on your own if you’re chasing this Jaguars backfield for the finals. Bigsby has rushed for 48/175/2 (3.7 YPC) over the last month. Etienne hasn’t scored a TD since Week 2.
Brenton Strange – Was benched after fumbling last week.
Nick Westbrook – Has earned 4, 3, and 2 targets in his last three games.
Mac Jones
Mason Rudolph
Carolina Panthers at Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Must Start
Mike Evans – Needs 182 yards over the next two weeks for his 12th straight 1,000-yard campaign. In his last five games since returning from injury, Evans is a locked-in WR1 with 31/483/2 receiving (19.5 PPR FPG) on 42 targets. Panthers top cover man Jaycee Horn (hip) is questionable.
Bucky Irving – The Bucs’ really need to ditch the whole committee thing and just unleash Irving as their workhorse. Rachaad White is a fine receiver, but Irving is in a different class of runners. The rookie is RB3 in missed tackles forced per carry (0.26), trailing only Ken Walker (0.30) and James Conner (0.29). Carolina’s run defense has actually gotten worse as the season has closed out. Over the last 10 weeks, the Panthers have been cleaned out for 189.7 rushing yards per game and 5.5 YPC. Both of those figures are easily league-highs in this span.
Chuba Hubbard – In his last three starts without Miles Sanders and/or Jonathon Brooks (I.R.), Hubbard is playing a prime-CMC role. He doesn’t come off of the field unless he needs a sip of water. Hubbard’s 91% snap rate in Weeks 14-16 leads all RBs over Chase Brown (90%) and Kyren Williams (84%).
Baker Mayfield – Finished as a top-10 scoring QB in fantasy football in 10-of-12 games with Mike Evans.
Start ‘Em
Adam Thielen – Has earned at least 22% of the Panthers targets in each of his last four games, piling up 27/295/2 receiving (17.1 PPR FPG) in the process. Xavier Legette (hip) remains questionable. Thielen had 8/99/1 receiving in this matchup back in Week 13. The Buccaneers allow the fourth-most yards per game (91.4) to slot receivers.
FLEX Plays
Jalen McMillan – Has broken out for 14/191/4 receiving over the last three weeks. The rookie has earned at least 16% of the Bucs’ targets in each of these games. Cade Otton (knee) looks likely to miss another game, which will consolidate the targets around Evans, McMillan, and their running backs. He’s back on the board as a WR3/FLEX option.
Rachaad White
Sit ‘Em
Bryce Young – SuperFlex only.
Jalen Coker – Fell back down to earth with just two catches for 8 yards last week.
Xavier Legette
Cade Otton – Missed Week 16 with a knee injury.
Indianapolis Colts at New York Giants
Must Start
Jonathan Taylor – Well, at least he made up for his brutal fumble two weeks ago. Taylor won fantasy semifinal matchups single handedly with his 29/218/3 rushing hammer vs. Titans. After his performance last week, Taylor (94.1) is now third in the NFL in rushing yards/game. But, he’s a distance behind Saquon Barkley (122.5 RuYPG) and Derrick Henry (111.4). The Colts need to start Joe Flacco this week with Anthony Richardson beat up. At the very least, it’s a good thing for Taylor’s upside as a receiver. In his nine games with Richardson as the starter, Taylor has minimal passing down involvement (12 targets, 7/73/1 receiving). Hilariously, Taylor has three fewer targets in just 2 games with Flacco at the controls (9 targets, 5/19 receiving). He’s in a dream spot to run it back. The Giants have been gashed for 160.1 rushing yards per game over the last 10 weeks (second-most).
Start ‘Em
Malik Nabers – The talented rookie has been limited by groin, hip, and toe injuries to close out his season. Even though he’s likely less than 100% healthy and dealt with trash cans at quarterback, Nabers has still managed to clear 64 or more receiving yards in five straight games. This entire offense revolves around feeding him the ball. Nabers has earned at least 33% of the targets in three out of his last 4 games. Nabers 16.9 PPR FPG ranks WR11 this season, and it’s the eighth-most FPG for a rookie WR all-time. He’s a volume-based WR2 to close out the fantasy season.
Josh Downs – In his four starts with Flacco under center, Downs averaged 8.2 catchable targets per game. For reference, this would be third-most if he sustained that volume over the course of the season! The QB change is great for his outlook. Downs earned a team-high 28% of the Colts’ targets for a stellar 29/267/1 receiving result (15.4 PPR FPG) in his four starts with Flacco this season. By comparison, Downs is averaging just 10.7 FPG in seven starts with Richardson. He’s a high upside WR2 for the fantasy finals.
FLEX Plays
Tyrone Tracy – Nursing an ankle injury. Tracy had a great toe-tap TD last week to save his day for fantasy, but his health remains a concern. His snaps have been cut in three straight games (84% > 67% > 60%) while he’s dealt with the lingering effects of this ankle injury.
Michael Pittman – Flacco’s return boosts Pittman as a passable WR3/FLEX. He’s only scored 2 TDs this entire season, and they both came in Weeks 5-6 with Flacco under center. Pittman is clearly healthier now, too. Pittman dealt with a back injury midseason. He’s earned at least 23% of the targets in five straight games. The Colts are leaning slightly pass-heavy in Flacco’s four starts (+1.6% pass rate over expected). By comparison, Indianapolis is the most run-heavy offense with Richardson under center (-10.2% pass under expectation).
Sit ‘Em
Wan’Dale Robinson
Devin Singletary
Joe Flacco – Will start in place of the injured Anthony Richardson.
Drew Lock – Stream the Colts D/ST.
Alec Pierce – Will return after missing Week 16 with a concussion.
Las Vegas Raiders at New Orleans Saints
Must Start
Brock Bowers – This is the best season that we’ve seen by a rookie TE all-time. Adjusted for his age (22 years old), it’s arguably one of the best years by a tight end in NFL history. Bowers’ 15.5 PPR FPG is a new rookie record, by a landslide. Sam LaPorta’s 14.1 FPG last season is getting blown out of the water. Bowers’ output would be 14th-most all-time among WR, for what it’s worth. He already has 101 receptions – 10th-most all-time in a single-season by a TE. He needs nine receptions for 110 on the season, and that would mark only the fifth time in NFL history where a TE has eclipsed 110+ receptions in a single-season. Bowers is averaging 71.1 receiving yards per game. If that holds, he’ll become just the 16th tight end in NFL history to average 70 or more YPG in a single-season. Aidan O’Connell has attempted 174 passes this season, and Bowers easily leads the Raiders in targets (47) over Jakobi Meyers (30) with AOC under center.
FLEX Plays
Jakobi Meyers – Since returning from injury in Week 8, Meyers is the WR28 by FPG (14.1), just two-tenths behind Garrett Wilson (14.3 FPG). His volume is great. Meyers is WR11 by targets/game (8.8) in this span. His TD upside just isn’t great. Meyers has four end-zone targets in his last 8 games, scoring only one touchdown.
Alexander Mattison – In his first start since Week 8, Mattison held a slight lead in snaps (57%) over Ameer Abdullah (43%). Mattison also held a small lead in overall volume (12 carries, 7 targets) over Abdullah (7 carries, 6 targets) in this split backfield. He’s a weak FLEX option for fantasy finale. New Orleans run defense has collapsed. The Saints have allowed 4.8 YPC (fourth-most) and 12 TDs on the ground over the last 10 weeks.
Sit ‘Em
Chris Olave – After missing the last six games with a concussion, Olave returned to full practice this week. It puts him on track to play for the first time since Week 9. The last time we saw Olave play a full game, he shredded the Chargers for 8/107 receiving (on 14 targets) with Spencer Rattler under center in Week 8. The Saints appear comfortable letting him return for the final two games of the year. Football players want to play. Olave is a gamer. However, he’s a completely boom-or-bust WR3/FLEX for the fantasy finale.
Kendre Miller – Will get another chance to “start” with Alvin Kamara (groin) likely out again. The Saints aren’t two TD underdogs again, but this ended up being a gnarly 3-way committee last week. Even in the first-half. New Orleans split their running backs snaps up with Miller (44%) leading the way over Williams (35%) and Mims (26%) in the first and second quarter of their blowout loss to the Packers.
Aidan O’Connell
Spencer Rattler
Ameer Abdullah
Marquez Valdes-Scantling – Missed Week 16 due to a chest injury/illness.
Kevin Austin
Tre Tucker
New York Jets at Buffalo Bills
Must Start
Josh Allen
Davante Adams – Questionable to play (hip). As long as he’s good to go, you’re rolling out Adams as a Must Start WR1. Since Week 8, Adams has erupted as a bonafide WR1 with 20.0 FPG (53/689/6 receiving) over his last eight outings. He’s earned at least 11 targets in six out of his last 7 games.
Start ‘Em
James Cook – Even though his workload is nothing amazing, Cook is a borderline RB1 for the fantasy finale. Touchdowns are a helluva drug. After he scored just nine TDs across 33 games to start his career, Cook has found the end-zone 16 times this season. He’s gone over 100 scrimmage yards in three out of his last 4 games, despite not seeing more than 15 touches in any of those outings. The Jets play solid run defense (3.98 YPC allowed last 10 weeks).
Breece Hall – The Jets went back to using Hall as a bell-cow last week – he took 79% of the snaps. Hall still doesn’t have his usual big play upside, and that’s what has ruined his season for fantasy. He’s eclipsed 80 or more yards rushing just twice all year. At the very least, the volume is back. Hall is a volume-based RB2 for the fantasy finals.
FLEX Plays
Khalil Shakir – Air-balled for just 2/22 receiving last week in a game where Allen only threw for 154 yards. Since Week 8, Shakir is WR31 by FPG (13.3). He’s in a nice bounceback spot here. The Jets allow the eighth-most schedule adjusted FPG above average to opposing slot receivers.
Garrett Wilson – Has earned fewer targets than Adams in four straight games. Wilson has turned his 33 targets into 21/265/1 receiving (13.4 PPR FPG) over the last month. Adams has 30/441/5 receiving (48 targets) in this span.
Sit ‘Em
Aaron Rodgers – SuperFlex only. Rodgers has finished as a top-10 weekly scorer among QB just twice all year.
Dalton Kincaid – It has been a second season to forget for Kincaid. He’s TE19 by FPG (8.0). Gross. Kincaid has earned 7 targets in back-to-back games, but he’s turned those looks into just 8/68 receiving. Veteran TE Dawson Knox has run more routes than Kincaid in each of their last two games.
Keon Coleman – The rookie’s involvement came up from 46% route share in Week 15 to 62% last week. Coleman still only earned two targets.
Amari Cooper – Has yet to be involved on more than 58% of the pass plays with the Bills. Cooper has one catch for 10 yards over the last 2 weeks.
Allen Lazard
Tyler Conklin
Dallas Cowboys at Philadelphia Eagles
This game has obviously lost a ton of juice with Jalen Hurts (concussion) and CeeDee Lamb (shoulder) out. The total opened at 44.5 points this week. The over/under has been hammered down to 38 as of Friday afternoon. Only the Raiders-Saints game (37.5 over/under) has a lower total on this slate.
Must Start
Saquon Barkley
A.J. Brown – His volume should be strong. Kenny Pickett at least knows how his bread is buttered. He attempted 24 passes in relief of Hurts last week, and targeted Brown 13 times (8/97/1 receiving).
Start ‘Em
Rico Dowdle – Over the last five weeks as the Cowboys starter, Dowdle has piled up 562 scrimmage yards and has 16 or more touches in every game, but he has just one TD to show for it. At the very least, the volume will remain solid. Dowdle has played at least 71% of the Cowboys' snaps in four straight outings. He’s a volume-based RB2/FLEX option to close out the fantasy season.
FLEX Plays
DeVonta Smith – The Eagles have condensed targets around their top two wideouts over the last three weeks. Dallas Goedert’s absence has turned Philadelphia into the most concentrated passing offense in the NFL. The Eagles top two wideouts have combined for 91.8% (!!) of the first-read targets with Goedert off of the field. Why mess around and throw to lesser receivers when you have A.J. Brown and the Slim Reaper? Smith got 7 targets from Pickett last week, and turned them into 5/40 receiving. This is an ideal matchup. The Cowboys are giving up +3.7 schedule adjusted FPG above average to opposing slot receivers (fourth-most) over the last 10 weeks.
Sit ‘Em
Jake Ferguson – Led the Cowboys in targets (9) last week, but turned those looks into just 6/40 receiving. Ferguson hasn’t scored a TD all year. Philadelphia allows 36.5 yards per game to tight ends (second-fewest). Ferguson was held to 4/24 receiving in Week 10 vs. Eagles.
Cooper Rush
Kenny Pickett
Jalen Tolbert and Brandin Cooks – The Cowboys targets will spread out to Ferguson, Tolbert, and Cooks in Lamb’s absence. The Eagles are a no-fly zone. Over the last 10 weeks, Philadelphia is holding outside receivers to -7.9 schedule adjusted FPG below average. That’s easily the league-low in this span.
Kavontae Turpin
Grant Calcaterra
Miami Dolphins at Cleveland Browns (4:05p)
Must Start
De’Von Achane – Finally hit a big play to close out a bunch of fantasy matchups last week. Achane’s 50-yard TD rip was way overdue. He didn’t have a single explosive carry of 15 or more yards in any of his four previous games. Even if he’s held in check again on the ground, it won’t matter. Achane is essentially a low end WR2 in PPR leagues. In 10 games with Tua starting, Achane has tallied up 60/431/5 receiving (13.3 PPR FPG ~WR31).
Jonnu Smith – Over the last six weeks, Smith has exploded for 43/455/5 receiving (19.8 PPR FPG). He’s finished as a top-10 scoring option in every game in this span.
Start ‘Em
Tyreek Hill – At least he scored last week to save his day for fantasy. Hill is WR21 by FPG (14.6) since Week 8 when Tua returned.
FLEX Plays
Jerome Ford – Once again, Ford was the Browns lone bright spot on offense last week. The third-year RB has gone off for 234 scrimmage yards and 2 TDs on just 25 touches in his last two games vs. Bengals and Chiefs. Ford’s quarterback is the only thing holding him back. Ford is on the board as a pretty good RB2/FLEX option for the fantasy finals. His 79% snap rate in Week 16 was the second-highest mark of his season.
Sit ‘Em
Jerry Jeudy – Dorian Thompson-Robinson hasn’t thrown for more than 165 yards in any of his four career starts. Across 192 dropbacks in 2023-24, DTR owns a pathetic 1:9 TD-to-INT ratio, and he’s averaging a league-low 3.9 YPA. Just 60.3% of DTR’s throws this season have actually been catchable. That’s easily another league-low.
Jaylen Waddle – Questionable to play with a knee injury.
David Njoku – Out with a knee injury.
Tua Tagovailoa – SuperFlex only. Tua has finished as a top-10 scorer in fantasy football four times in 9 starts since returning in Week 8, but he has 5 weeks outside of the top-16 entirely. Tua just has to throw for multiple TDs to really deliver in fantasy. This is a decent spot. The Browns have allowed 2 or more passing TDs in nine of their last 13 games. I just have no faith in the DTR-led Browns to really push the Dolphins on Sunday. This game total is just 39 points.
Cedric Tillman – Out again with a concussion.
Malik Washington
Raheem Mostert
Elijah Moore
Dorian Thompson-Robinson – Stream the Dolphins D/ST.
Green Bay Packers at Minnesota Vikings (4:25p)
Must Start
Justin Jefferson
Josh Jacobs – Trails only Saquon Barkley (24.2) by fantasy points per game since Week 9. Jacobs has 22.1 FPG in this span.
Start ‘Em
Aaron Jones
Jordan Addison – He has become way more consistently involved as of late with at least 19% of the targets in six straight games, culminating in a stellar 35/508/6 receiving (20.3 PPR FPG). Addison has six or more targets in every outing in this span after hitting that mark just once in seven contests between Weeks 1-10. Over their eight games together, Jefferson (30%) leads the way in first-read target share, followed closely by Addison (25%). Hockenson (18% FR share) is a distant secondary option.
Sam Darnold – Has finished as a top-12 scorer among QBs in five out of his last 6 games. Darnold has been far from a league-winner this season, but in a down year for passing, we can’t discount how consistent that he’s been. Darnold is QB6 in passing yards per game (251.7), and he’s thrown for at least 2 TDs in 11-of-15 games. Darnold completed 71% of his throws for 275 yards, 3 TDs (and 1 INT) when these two teams met back in Week 4.
Jordan Love – For fantasy, it has been a disappointing second season for Love. He’s QB13 in fantasy points per game (17.5), and has not finished as a top-10 scorer at the position since Week 6. If you’ve made it this far with Love in 1-QB leagues, at least you’re being rewarded with a potential shootout to close out the season. Even though he wasn’t fully healthy in that game back in Week 4, Love posted season-highs 389 yards and 4 TDs vs. Vikings in their comeback attempt. He also threw 3 INTs. This game environment is so good that it’s hard to ignore Love’s upside here. The Vikings are among the most blitz-heavy teams in the league, and Love is looking to attack deep when he’s blitzed. His 20% deep throw rate vs. blitzes is tied for the league’s highest rate with Anthony Richardson and Dak Prescott.
Tucker Kraft – The Packers likely won’t have Christian Watson (knee) on Sunday, which will condense their targets around Reed, Kraft, Wicks, and Doubs. Splitting targets four ways is still not ideal (for fantasy), but it does give us some more confidence in the volume for each Packer receiver. Kraft is back in play as a lower end TE1. The Vikings just gave up 6/80/1 receiving to Seattle’s 3-man TE group in Week 16.
FLEX Plays
Jayden Reed and Dontayvion Wicks – I realize it’s like banging your head against the wall with the Packers WR group, but this really is a great spot. This game total (48.5 O/U) is the third-highest on the slate. Christian Watson (knee) is likely out. And, the matchup is amazing – the Vikings give up the third-most schedule adjusted FPG above average (+5.5) to opposing receivers over the last 10 weeks. Reed crushed the Vikings for 7/139/1 receiving back in Week 4. Wicks’ hands are his only problem, because all he does when he’s on the football field is earn targets. The only wide receivers that are earning more targets per route run than Wicks (0.30) this season are Malik Nabers (0.31) and Puka Nacua (0.37).
Sit ‘Em
T.J. Hockenson – Once again, I remain lower on Hockenson than consensus. This role is just mid. He had 2 catches for 27 yards last week. Hockenson is averaging fewer targets per game (5.5) than Dalton Kincaid (5.8). He’s TE17 in fantasy points per game (9.0). It’s his fourth straight week on the sit list.
Romeo Doubs – TD-dependent WR4. Doubs hasn’t earned more than 6 targets in a game since Week 7.
Atlanta Falcons at Washington Commanders (SNF)
Must Start
Jayden Daniels – Has finished as fantasy’s QB1, QB2, QB7, and QB1 in weekly scoring in his last four games. Now that he’s fully over a painful midseason ribs/chest injury, Daniels has rushed 36 times for an explosive 255 yards (7.1 YPC) and 2 TD over his last four starts.
Bijan Robinson – Has gone over 100 scrimmage yards in nine out of his last 10 games, and Robinson has scored 10 total TDs in this span. Washington remains burnable on the ground. The Commanders have given up 4.7 YPC (seventh-most) and a 51% success rate on zone carries (10th-highest) over the last 10 weeks.
Terry McLaurin – Got loose for 5/60/1 receiving vs. Eagles last week. McLaurin has gone off for 25/308/6 receiving in his last four games since he was held to 1 catch in Week 11. Atlanta is surrendering the second-most schedule adjusted FPG above average (+6.4) to opposing wide receivers.
Start ‘Em
Drake London and Darnell Mooney – The Falcons barely needed to throw the ball last week because Drew Lock melted down against their defense. Michael Penix only dropped back to pass 27 times in Week 16, and the targets remained hyper concentrated around London (8) and Mooney (6). Penix was really good. 82% of his throws were charted as catchable. The volume will be much better this week because the Falcons are +6 underdogs. Commanders CB Marshon Lattimore is still battling a hamstring injury.
FLEX Plays
Brian Robinson – After fumbling twice last week, it capped off a weak ending to Robinson’s season. On top of the mistakes, Robinson has plodded his way to 128 scoreless scrimmage yards on his 36 touches over the last two weeks. He stomped the Titans for 16/103/1 rushing in Week 13 before the bye. Robinson is a RB2/FLEX with the Commanders installed as -6 favorites against this breakable Falcons defense.
Sit ‘Em
Zach Ertz – TD-or-bust TE1. Ertz has been held under 40 yards in five out of his last 6 games. Atlanta is allowing the fourth-fewest yards per game (18.0) to inline TEs. The Falcons have given up just 3 TDs to TEs this year.
Michael Penix – Watching the rookie spin it on Sunday was like going from R.A. Dickey to Nolan Ryan on the mound. Penix’s “fastball” is live. Also, it was great to see the Falcons actually be able to move the pocket with designed bootleg action for the first time all year. I remain optimistic that he can deliver strikes to London and Mooney, which is all that we care about this week. However, the Falcons are going to make everyone forget about shelling out all of that money to Cousins if Penix continues to play with the poise that he had last Sunday. 82% of his throws were charted as catchable in Week 16. That was the fourth-best mark last week.
Kyle Pitts – Reportedly got a lump of coal for Christmas.
Ray Ray McCloud
Detroit Lions at San Francisco 49ers (MNF)
Must Start
Jahmyr Gibbs – By expected PPR points (27.3), Gibbs had the most valuable RB role last week, by a landslide. The next closest RB was 4 points behind – Chuba Hubbard (23.3 XFP).
Amon-Ra St. Brown
George Kittle
Start ‘Em
Isaac Guerendo – Returned to limited practice (hamstring/foot) on Thursday. It puts Guerendo on track to return after missing Week 16. As long as he’s good to go, I expect that HC Kyle Shanahan will load up Guerendo with as many snaps that he can handle. Patrick Taylor stinks. The rookie Guerendo has made two starts this season, in which he’s piled up 31/135/2 rushing and added 6/68 receiving. Guerendo ran a route on 52% of the 49ers pass plays in his two starts, which is borderline elite usage on passing downs for a RB. Only eight running backs have run a route on at least 52% of their team’s pass plays this year. The 49ers won’t have the left side of their line on Monday night – LT Trent Williams is on I.R. and LG Aaron Banks (knee) is out.
Jared Goff – On fire. Over the last six weeks, Goff has completed 71% of his throws for a stellar 335.8 yards per game (8.7 YPA), he owns a near perfect 17:1 TD-to-INT ratio, and has taken just nine sacks. Goff has finished as a top-5 scoring QB in four out of his last 6 outings. The only reason that Goff isn’t Must Start here is because the 49ers defense has remained very stingy. They have allowed 250 or more passing yards in just 2-of-15 games.
Brock Purdy – It certainly wasn’t pretty, but Purdy finished as the QB11 with 22.1 FP last week. This means that Purdy has finished as a top-15 scoring fantasy QB in weekly output in 26-of-35 games as the 49ers starter. That’s 74%. He’s just consistently solid for our game. Detroit’s secondary has been shredded in back-to-back games by Josh Allen (362 yards on 34 attempts, 2 TD) and Caleb Williams (334 yards on 40 attempts, 2 TDs) in Weeks 15-16.
Jauan Jennings – In their six games starting together, Jennings (7.3) leads the 49ers in targets per game over Kittle and Samuel (5.5 T/G). Despite seeing significantly fewer targets, Kittle (77.3) is averaging significantly more yards per game than Jennings (60.2) in these six games together. Jennings is on the board as a WR2/FLEX option against this sliding Lions secondary.
Sam LaPorta – Has earned at least 17% of the Lions targets in seven out of his last 8 games. As a result, LaPorta has rejoined the low-end TE1 radar. He has 33/375/5 receiving (12.6 PPR FPG – TE7) since Week 8. This is a tough matchup. The 49ers hold opposing tight ends to 37.3 yards per game (third-fewest).
FLEX Plays
Jameson Williams – Just shredded the Bears for 5/143/1 receiving last week. We were on that spot for a deep bomb, and Williams just blew past the Bears defense. This is a polar opposite spot. San Francisco allows a 28% completion rate (third-lowest) and just 34.1 yards per game (fifth-fewest) on deep passes.
Deebo Samuel – Coming off his best game of the year with 121 scrimmage yards and a TD. It was the first time that Samuel earned more than 7 targets since Week 2.
Sit ‘Em
Patrick Taylor
Tim Patrick
Ricky Pearsall
