Welcome to a brand new feature on Fantasy Points! Each week, I’ll go through some of my favorite Underdog Fantasy props so we can make a parlay (or multiple) based on those picks! It is very important to note that for Underdog Fantasy Pick ‘Em, you can’t just play one single prop by itself, you need to have at least a two-team parlay, so there won’t be any one bet that I emphasize more than the others.
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Before we get going, a quick overview of how Underdog Fantasy scoring rolls: half-PPR scoring, passing yards points are 1 point per every 25 yards, 4-point passing touchdowns, -1 point for an interception. Since this typically drops on Fridays, this will not include a Thursday Night Football prop. Let’s dive right into this week’s props!
Current Record: 28-15-1; Week 14: 1-2
Gus Edwards OVER 39.5 Rushing Yards
While people have been very quick to anoint J.K. Dobbins after his 15/120/1 performance in his first game back last week, we can’t forget how this organization prefers to operate. Despite Dobbins taking his share of the carries, Edwards also received 13 carries and amassed 66 yards against an improved Steelers rushing defense.
We can’t forget about Edwards’ rushing efficiency in the past. He has averaged 5 yards per carry or better in every professional season thus far and despite coming back late from injury this season, he has at least 52 yards in 4 of his 5 games this season.
The Browns allow 5.2 yards per carry, and they also allow the 7th-most rushing yards per game, ranking 30th in the league in rush defense DVOA. Edwards will get his opportunities and can summit this number in under 10 carries.
Amari Cooper OVER 57.5 Receiving Yards
All hail the bounceback narrative and home/away splits! Cooper has been ridiculously predictable this season, with only one game out of seven this season at home where he has had less than 76 receiving yards. At the same time, he has only over 42 yards in 2 of 7 games on the road this season, and one of those games just happened to be against the Ravens earlier this season.
The Ravens allow 182.6 yards per game to wide receivers, which is the fourth-highest total in the NFL this season. They also allow the 11th most fantasy points per game to outside receivers, which makes up 71% of the total points they allow to the position, the fifth-highest number.
Mike Williams OVER 65.5 Receiving Yards
Williams has been healthy and not at many times this season, which makes it hard to get a read on where he is healthwise on a weekly basis, but one thing is for sure: he is the engine that makes this offense go. He and Justin Herbert have formed a solid connection, and Williams has averaged 87.2 yards per game in the 7 healthy contests he’s had this season. He’s had over 100 yards in 4 of them.
Williams draws a matchup against the secondary-diminished Titans this week, and if you can do anything against the Titans, you can throw on them. They allow 191 yards per game to the receiver position and they also allow the second-highest number of fantasy points per game to outside receivers, 31.8 ppg. This strategy was utilized last week to prefer Zay Jones over Christian Kirk against Tennessee, and it worked to perfection.
Final Thoughts
When we load all of these plays into Underdog Fantasy’s prop parlay machine, we receive 6-1 odds on this parlay, meaning if you bet $100 and all three legs hit, you will win $600 total!
Alternatively, you can choose to get Insurance on your parlay, for no additional cost. With insurance, if one of your legs doesn’t hit but the other two do, you get paid at 1-1 odds, while winning at 3-1 odds if you still hit all three legs.
