Dynasty Buys and Sells: February 2025

With the 2025 NFL Draft still two months away, I wanted to take a look at some potential buy-low and sell-high candidates you can look to acquire or unload on your dynasty fantasy football teams in the meantime.

Dynasty requires that you consider the market within your league, and holes you may need to fill within your roster.

Dynasty Buys

Jalen Coker, Wide Receiver, Carolina Panthers (WR55)

Buy For: 2025 Late 2nd

The Panthers selected Xavier Legette as one of the seven Round 1 WRs in a stacked 2024 draft class. But it was UDFA Jalen Coker who ultimately shined, as his 43.5 receiving YPG ranked top-5 among last year’s rookies.

Before the draft, Panthers legend and WR whisperer Steve Smith Sr. raved about Coker’s route-running ability, calling him the best in the class. This was on display at the NFL level almost immediately in his ability to beat man coverage.

Though Coker wasn't highly drafted, his uniquely efficient connection with Bryce Young should incentivize HC Dave Canales to grow his role further in 2025. Good things happened whenever Young targeted Coker:

• 111.2 Passer Rating when Targeted (led all Panthers receivers)

• 10.62 Yards per Target (7th-best)

• 2.1 Yards per Target over Expectation (11th-best)

Canales praised Coker after his Week 8 performance against the Broncos, citing his “hunger” and desire to make an impact. This praise soon grew into additional playing time, as Coker went on to lead all Panthers receivers in snap share over the final four weeks of the season.

Coker's stiffest competition currently on the roster is Legette — a fellow rookie he just outproduced and outperformed — and a fading 34-year-old Adam Thielen. Although there is a clear risk the Panthers add additional target competition in the NFL Draft, Coker’s price tag of a late rookie 2nd would remain attractive to me based on his rookie campaign.

Tank Bigsby, Running Back, Jacksonville Jaguars (RB35)

Buy For: 2025 Mid to Late 2nd

Bigsby made a massive turnaround from his abysmal rookie season in 2023. Few expected him to heavily outplay teammate Travis Etienne in 2024, with better rushing efficiency across the board:

It was clear that the Jaguars had one of the worst offensive lines in the league, evident in how often both Bigsby (50.6%, 11th-most) and Etienne (50.7%, 10th-most) were stuffed at the line of scrimmage. But unlike Etienne, Bigsby managed to fight through tackles, averaging an impressive 3.30 yards after contact per attempt (2nd best of 46 qualifying RBs).

Offensive line and scheme improvements should each manifest under new HC Liam Coen, who last year fed his RBs the 3rd-most volume as measured by backfield expected fantasy points (XFP). Volume is nearly all that matters for RBs in fantasy, and Coen previously moved from featuring a highly inefficient incumbent in Rachaad White to a hyper-efficient Bucky Irving.

If a similar shift from Etienne to Bigsby were to occur, the upside would be mouth-watering; Irving averaged 22.5 FPG (would rank ~RB1) on 17.9 XFP/G (~RB3) across his final five healthy games as the lead back.

Though Bigsby and Etienne could both be replaced via the NFL Draft, at the cost of a late second-round rookie pick, I'm willing to take a shot at an explosive back under a new coach who has rewarded such traits in the recent past.

Michael Penix Jr., Quarterback, Atlanta Falcons (QB17)

Buy For: 2025 Pick 1.04 (Superflex)

We didn't get a look at 2024 8th overall pick Michael Penix until the final three weeks of the season, but he showed enough to enter 2025 as the clear Week 1 starter. Within that sample, his metrics on fantasy-friendly deep throws stood out most:

• 14.3% deep throw rate (6th-highest)

• 46.7% deep throw completion percentage (3rd-best)

• 53.3% accurate throw rate on deep targets (best among 43 qualifying passers)

Outside of the numbers, Penix has been praised for his intangibles. His high football IQ is apparent from his ability to go through reads and progressions efficiently. Watching the film, you can see he has a fantastic throwing motion and arm talent, as well as an ability to hang in the pocket with a calm sort of confidence. As a lefty, he can roll out of the pocket and throw on the run, giving this offense much-needed versatility (functional athleticism). Not to mention, the best pocket passer in the 2024 draft can fly.

Even better, Falcons OC Zac Robinson is a Sean McVay disciple, a branch of a coaching tree that's yielded amazing fantasy results from pocket passers around the league:

The future is bright for Penix, as he’s surrounded by a wealth of talent, including a top-rated offensive line, an elite RB in Bijan Robinson, and a solid receiving corps with Drake London, Darnell Mooney, and Kyle Pitts. Teams needing a QB can look to acquire Penix for a 2025 mid to early first-round pick.

Dynasty Sells

Kyren Williams, Running Back, Los Angeles Rams (RB8)

Sell For: 2025 Pick 1.02

In a recent interview, Rams HC Sean McVay admired how former Buccaneers OC Liam Coen used a variety of personnel groupings to get an explosive second RB in Bucky Irving more involved as the season went on. He alluded to emulating that with the Rams’ offense going into 2025, perhaps a sign that he regretted not making Blake Corum a regular part of the game plan in 2024.

Getting another back comfortable within the offense could open the door for McVay to finally sour on Kyren Williams and his continual fumbling issues. In such a scenario, it becomes easier to envision a Year 2 breakout for Corum, a frequent occurrence at the position.

Contrary to popular belief, McVay has not always utilized a workhorse RB. In the immediate post-Todd Gurley years, none of his lead RBs reached a 70% snap share:

• 2022 - Darrell Henderson (53.3%)

• 2021 - Darrell Henderson (65.0%) Rams won the Super Bowl

• 2020 - Malcolm Brown (39.7%)

Williams himself has solid vision, plays more “slippery” than elusive, and benefits from a top-tier offensive line. But his 2024 efficiency left a lot to be desired, averaging just 2.08 YACO/attempt, 0.13 MTF/attempt, and a 1.9% explosive run rate — marks that ranked 3rd-worst, 7th-worst, and 2nd-worst among 31 qualifying RBs.

Volume is king at the RB position, but that also means Williams' fantasy value exists at McVay's whims. And between the ball security issues and inefficiency, Williams has given him plenty of reasons to move in Corum's direction (which he now sounds more open to).

Given the choice between betting on Williams to maintain an 80%+ snap share for a third consecutive season or on similarly-valued WR talents like Tee Higgins, I'm choosing the WR — especially if my team isn't an immediate contender.

Keon Coleman, Wide Receiver, Buffalo Bills (WR39)

Sell For: 2025 Pick 1.12

Keon Coleman came into the league with a draft profile loaded with concerns. He was a catch-point bully with a large wingspan, but had poor route running and a lack of control when adjusting to certain targets, resulting in poor separation and a lack of fluidity. His Combine performance did little to assuage these concerns, but his fantasy draft stock remained relatively high because of his landing spot on the Bills.

But what an unfavorable landing spot it was; the Bills' offense provided the 6th-fewest catchable targets per game (21.8) due to their run-first approach. Add in a spread-out target distribution in which Khalil Shakir and Dalton Kincaid monopolized short-area looks, and Coleman was left with a measly 14.4% target share (83rd), resulting in 42.8 receiving YPG (69th) and just 4 total TDs (tied-60th).

For a "deep threat," Coleman's 27.9% air yards share (39th) wasn't even particularly impressive. But it paints an even worse picture when we contrast it with his bottom-6 catch rate (51.8%).

The best fantasy receivers combine large air-yardage shares with high catch rates, translating high-value targets into observable fantasy production. We see Coleman on the far left, struggling to convert his air yards into catches, partially a result of an 8.9% drop rate (11th worst), 41.7% contested catch rate (82nd), and his 0.010 average separation score (100th of 113 qualifying WRs). If a WR can’t separate nor make contested catches in traffic, how can he succeed in fantasy?

Despite being on a high-scoring and efficient offense, Coleman is an afterthought, who doesn’t possess the talent or ability required to be an alpha receiver. Given we also know receiver volume will be capped within this offense, I don’t see him being a lineup lock anytime soon. I would get off this ride while you still can, and see if you can flip him for a late 1st round pick this year or next.