Welcome to a brand-new feature on Fantasy Points! Each week, I’ll go through some of my favorite Underdog Fantasy props so we can make a parlay (or multiple) based on those picks! It is very important to note that for Underdog Fantasy Pick ‘Em, you can’t just play one single prop by itself, you need to have at least a two-team parlay, so there won’t be any one bet that I emphasize more than the others.
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Before we get going, a quick overview of how Underdog Fantasy scoring rolls: half-PPR scoring, passing yards points are 1 point per every 25 yards, 4-point passing touchdowns, -1 point for an interception. Since this typically drops on Fridays, this will not include a Thursday Night Football prop. Let’s dive right into this week’s props!
Current Record: 35-15-1; Week 16: 3-0
Justin Fields OVER 70.5 Rushing Yards
Fields is record-hunting this season, standing just under 200 rush yards away from breaking Lamar Jackson’s season-long record. In addition, we’ve already seen Fields run absolutely wild against Detroit this season, and that was outside. Think of more comfortable he’ll be in the dome against the NFL’s worst rush defense versus the quarterback position.
The Bears don’t have anything to play for, and it’s likely that the Lions could press and run a somewhat vanilla gamescript, given that they have to win out and have some help to make the playoffs due to their loss vs. the Panthers last week. This could see the Bears with the ball more and looking to have a statement win against them going into the offseason, and Fields can lead them there with his legs.
Tyler Conklin OVER 26.5 Receiving Yards
15 tight ends have surpassed this yards number against Seattle this season. That is a HIGH number of players, and I expect Conklin to add his name to the list against arguably the easiest matchup for tight ends this season.
In the three-game stretch where Mike White was the quarterback earlier in the season, Conklin averaged 29 yards per game and went over 26.5 yards in two of the three games with 18 total targets, so we know White will target the position. Conklin could hit this in just one catch with how bad Seattle ranks against TE.
Cam Akers UNDER 69.5 Rushing Yards
The books are getting frisky here! Akers has hit this number exactly ONE time this season: last week in a blowout win against the already-giving-up Broncos. He’s come close a couple other times, but I don’t know if this is the spot to back him in.
The Chargers have been steadily improving against running backs in the last month, and have only allowed a running back over this number number once, and it was Derrick Henry. Neither team truly needs to win this game, and the Rams may rotate running backs a bit in order to keep Akers fresh.
Final Thoughts
When we load all of these plays into Underdog Fantasy’s prop parlay machine, we receive 6-1 odds on this parlay, meaning if you bet $100 and all three legs hit, you will win $600 total!
Alternatively, you can choose to get insurance on your parlay, for no additional cost. With insurance, if one of your legs doesn’t hit but the other two do, you get paid at 1-1 odds, while winning at 3-1 odds if you still hit all three legs.
