Welcome to a brand new feature on Fantasy Points! Each week, I’ll go through some of my favorite Underdog Fantasy props so we can make a parlay (or multiple) based on those picks! It is very important to note that for Underdog Fantasy Pick ‘Em, you can’t just play one single prop by itself, you need to have at least a two-team parlay, so there won’t be any one bet that I emphasize more than the others.
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Before we get going, a quick overview of how Underdog Fantasy scoring rolls: half-PPR scoring, passing yards points are 1 point per every 25 yards, 4-point passing touchdowns, -1 point for an interception. Since this typically drops on Fridays, this will not include a Thursday Night Football prop. Let’s dive right into this week’s props!
Current Record: 16-10-1; Week 8: 1-2-1
Leonard Fournette OVER 24.5 Receiving Yards
Fournette’s usage has been dipping lately, but don’t get it twisted: Tom Brady hasn’t changed his stance on bailing out to the running back when he comes under pressure. Fournette currently ranks 4th in the NFL in most targeted players among running backs, and has hit this number in 6 of his last 7 games.
The Seahawks rank 4th in receiving yards allowed to running backs on a per-game basis at 46.7 yards per game, and I expect Fournette to be up to his old tricks in Munich.
Trevor Lawrence OVER 1.5 Passing TD’s
Been a while since I threw a quarterback prop in here, but I like this one. Lawrence hasn’t hit this one in 5 weeks, but he’s had the unfortunate luck of playing a string of very good passing defenses in Houston, Indy, the Giants, and Denver, all of whom are more of run-funnel defenses with solid secondaries.
The Chiefs are not on this list however, as they rank 5th worst among pass defenses in red zone fantasy points per game allowed. On top of this, they allow the MOST passing touchdowns per game at 2.1, and with Lawrence having his full complement of receiving weapons, the Jaguars should be able to throw enough to keep them in this game.
Dalton Schultz OVER 31.5 Receiving Yards
Schultz has played 3 games with Dak Prescott this season. He has 62, 49, and 74 yards in those games. Pretty good, right? Absolutely. Now I know that the Packers also rank 1st in the NFL in receiving yards allowed to the tight end, but they do still allow 24 yards per game. That gives Schultz, one of the more consistent receiving options, a window where he needs to get 8 yards more to hit this mark. I think he can do it.
The Packers are a shell of themselves this season, and will have 2 coverage linebackers out for this game. Not only that, but two of their main cornerbacks are also out for this one. I think Schultz has a moderately good game this weekend.
Donovan Peoples-Jones OVER 48.5 Receiving Yards
This one just seems to good to be true. We’re getting great odds here on DPJ, who has hit this number in 5 straight games and now gets a true pass-funnel defense in the Dolphins to tee off on.
Peoples-Jones has become an extremely valued member of this receiving corps in the past month and now gets another opportunity to tee off. There’s a good possibility Xavien Howard matches up with Amari Cooper and with DPJ splitting his time almost equally out wide and in the slot, there’s a good chance he matches up with Dolphins CB Keion Crossen, who has not been very good this season. Crossen is 5’10, while DPJ is 6’2 and a very solid route runner. This is a matchup Jacoby Brissett should take advantage of.
Final Thoughts
When we load all of these plays into Underdog Fantasy’s prop parlay machine, we receive 10-1 odds on this parlay, meaning if you bet $100 and all four legs hit, you will win $1,000 total!
Alternatively, you can choose to get Insurance on your parlay, for no additional cost. With insurance, if one of your legs doesn’t hit but the other three do, you get paid at 1.5-1 odds, while winning at 6-1 odds if you still hit all four legs.
