At Fantasy Points this season, we’re going to be posting the Raw Film Notes from NFL Films legend Greg Cosell each and every week. These are quite literally Greg’s scribblings and observations he throws on his notepad as he watches all-22 tape.
As Greg is just one man, he can’t get to everything each week, but we’ll be bringing you everything he sees in raw — and unedited — form. This is something all-22 nerds will love, and certainly something fans who want to learn more about their teams should read.
EAGLES OFFENSE VERSUS BUCS DEFENSE
Hurts just overthrew Smith on corner route versus Sherman on second play of the game, Smith continuing to show his refined route running skills
Bucs had played 1 snap of dime through 5 games, First 3rd and long (3rd + 7) versus Eagles they went dime with corner Desir the dime player; Bucs played 2 man coverage with Desir matched on Ertz and used Tryon as a spy on Hurts – Hurts left the pocket prematurely and scrambled for 11 yards
Dime was clearly game planned sub package on 3rd and long for the Bucs, They played both man and zone coverage behind it with 2 man the man concept - Tryon was used as a spy on Hurts in the dime sub package
Hurts started the game playing fast, He was dropping his eyes and reading the rush with the result he was breaking the pocket too early and not allowing the routes to develop
Hurts deep ball to Reagor on first possession lost energy on the back end (Dean pass interference on underthrown ball), Hurts did not throw with a firm base and needed lower body balance
Sherman hurt of Eagles first possession, Bucs played the rest of the game with Delaney at left corner; Cockrell continued to be the slot corner
Bucs showed double mug front out of nickel on 3rd down, LB White and Minter were the A gap defenders
Bucs predominant coverages versus Eagles were cover 3 and 2 man, They have not been a high percentage or foundational cover 1 defense this season – Could that be a function of all the injuries at corner?
Hurts continuing issues with his lower body mechanics too often not planting his back foot and setting his feet to deliver on balance, Hurts is not a natural thrower and needs to be fundamentally sound and repetitive with his mechanics
Again the Eagles did not run the ball, They have no base or foundational run game and no physical element to their offense; An RPO run game is not a run game in the NFL
Bucs increased blitz tempo as the game progressed, Hurts was playing fast with little feel or rhythm or vision and they wanted to keep him that way; Too many defenders got in clean
Smith 25 yards on 2nd + 10 early in the 4th quarter was Hurts best throw of the game: Cross country dagger out of 12 closed boundary twins to the field versus Bucs 3 under-3 deep behind 5 man rush, Hurts read the coverage and threw with excellent timing taking Smith into the open zone void; Eagles 7 man protection with a 2 man route knowing what they would get in coverage
Sanders 23 yards came in 4th quarter on inside run zone out of shotgun versus Bucs soft cover 3 with double mug LB White and Minter dropping out at the snap
Hurts 2 yard TD in 4th quarter came on speed option, nice play call in the tight red zone to utilize Hurts legs
This was a game in which Hurts was playing fast right from the start, was not seeing things clearly, did not eliminate and isolate within structure with the result that he missed throws that were there and played with a frenetic random feel – Ball placement was another issue in this game
Right now the Eagles offense is built solely on Hurts, If he does not play at a high level in any given game their offense gets shut down; They are putting the burden every week on Hurts, That’s a tough ask for a young inexperienced QB who is not a natural thrower
BUCS OFFENSE VERSUS EAGLES DEFENSE
Edwards and Taylor started the game as the 2 stacked LB in the Eagles base 5-2 front, Avery was the SAM aligned on the ball; Eagles 5-2 front had Sweat aligned strong at 5-technique and 4i
Bucs featured 6 OL personnel on their first possession, 6 OL personnel was part of game plan versus Eagles
Singleton and Wilson continued to play as the nickel LB in the Eagles 4-2 front but Taylor also significant snaps with Singleton, Avery snaps with Singleton in the nickel when the Eagles went with 5-1 front
Bucs attacked Eagles high percentage split safety coverage on third play of the game with dagger concept to the field off motion by Godwin across the formation, Eagles were in base cover 4 versus Bucs 6 OL personnel; Brady play action hit wide open Evans on the dig for 22 yards, Excellent route by Evans versus Slay
Fournette at the point where he braces for contact rather than accelerating and exploding through contact, Choppy steps reduce velocity and power
Play action was game planned tactic for Bucs, It was featured on their first possession with success; Bucs first 2 possessions featured play action and quick game negating DL strength/pass rush of Eagles defense
Bucs also featured reduced splits to the passing strength of the formation, at times with motion across the formation
Slay lined up over Evans just as he did over Moore last week against the Panthers, It was not pure man coverage given the Eagles low percentage of man
Brown 23 yard TD to end second possession was another dagger concept that attacked Eagles split safety coverage, Eagles were in cover 8 playing cover 2 to the field with slot corner Maddox carrying Godwin on his vertical route; Brown from outside ran the dig and with Nelson staying outside in cover 2 Brown settled into the open void for an easy pitch-and-catch
Eagles first blitz came on 3rd + 11 on Bucs third possession, It was a 5 man zone pressure out of 5 man nickel front with Singleton and Harris attacking the A gaps and both DE Barnett and Avery dropping out; Brady threw behind the blitz to Brown in zone void in the middle but McLeod playing top down made an excellent tackle
In the 1st half the Eagles only snap (3rd + 11) in which a second level defender rushed and they did not play 1 snap of man coverage, It was 4 man DL pressure and zone coverage which has been the Eagles defensive profile through 6 games
Fournette 20 yards on 3rd + 1 on Bucs first possession of 3rd quarter: Singleton clean in the hole must make that tackle
Eagles significant snaps of nickel versus both 12 personnel and 6 OL personnel, They played 49 snaps of nickel versus the Bucs and only 22 snaps of base
Eagles played dime for first time on 3rd + 10 late in the 3rd quarter, It was 3 safety dime and they played cover 2 behind 4 man DL rush
Eagles second blitz came on 3rd + 11 in the 4th quarter out of nickel 5 man front, It was a mike-star zone blitz with Wilson and Maddox coming from the field with 3 under-3 deep concept behind it; Great tackle by Avery in space to prevent Howard from getting the first down
Eagles did not play first snap of true cover 1 until there were less than 5 minutes to play in the 4th quarter, What was so interesting was the Bucs pass concept made it seem as if they anticipated man coverage since it featured a natural rub element: Brown 10 yards on 2nd + 10
Eagles second snap of cover 1 (this time it was 1 robber) came on 3rd + 7 with 3½ minutes remaining in the 4th quarter, It was Eagles second snap of dime and McLeod was the robber cutting the crosser by Brown; Brady pocket movement to his right and he hit Brown continuing across the field outside of robber McLeod – Big-time play by Brady
Brady has been outstanding on play action through 6 games: 44-58 for 561 yards with 7 TD and 1 interception
COLTS OFFENSE VERSUS TEXANS DEFENSE
Texans nickel: Hargreaves right corner and Mitchell left corner with Thomas the slot corner, Kirksey and Grugier-Hill the nickel LB – Texans an exclusive nickel sub defense, They have not played 1 snap of dime through 6 games
Colts game plan featured empty sets which had not been a significant part of offense through first 5 games, More empty could well have been a function of Texans being a low percentage blitz defense
Campbell 51 yard TD on 3rd + 3 late in 1st quarter came out of 10 personnel with Wentz under center and Hines the I back, Reduced splits on both sides of the formation, Texans matched up with nickel cover 2 (staple coverage for Houston); Deep sail-corner combination to the boundary put half field safety Reid in conflict and with the filed safety Brooks not squeezing hard inside Campbell sail route was open, Excellent design versus cover 2 and well-thrown ball by Wentz 55 yards in the air
Hilton 52 yards on 2nd + 8 early in 2nd quarter came out of 11 2x2 with Wentz under center and Taylor the I back, This was a full field route concept designed to attack Texans cover 2 with Hilton running the deep seam from the slot to the field, Both outside routes kept the half field safeties outside the hashes; Another good deep ball by Wentz with precise ball placement 60 yards in the air
Both Campbell 51 yard TD and Hilton 52 yards came on route concepts-combinations designed to attack cover 2
Colts game plan clearly featured attacking the Texans pass defense with vertical route concepts, They felt they could protect and that the coverage was somewhat predictable
Wentz decisive with his reads and throws, He knew what he was getting from a coverage standpoint and he turned it loose – Pittman 18 yards late in 2nd quarter another good example with Wentz throwing with excellent timing to the outside void in cover 2
Wentz still misses a few throws that he must make with poor ball location, Footwork can be an issue at times with lack of proper balance and a firm base
Alie-Cox 28 yard on 2nd + 10 early in 3rd quarter came out of 11 2x2 versus Texans nickel cover 2, Again Wentz under center with play action; Colts scissors concept to the boundary (we have seen that many times from Frank Reich) created just enough conflict for half field safety Johnson and Wentz excellent throw to Alie-Cox on the corner route
One player on the Texans defense who has stood out on tape through 6 games has been DE Greenard, He flashes every week
Colts closed out the game running the ball, Taylor 6-50 in the 4th quarter – Colts won games down the stretch that way in 2020
Colts only ran 48 offensive plays versus the Texans but they averaged more than 8 yards per play, They had 10 plays of more than 10 yards including 3 of over 50 yards
HC Reich and Colts offensive staff do an excellent job with their game planning to attack the specific opponent they are playing
Wentz started to become more decisive in the 2nd half versus the Dolphins week 4 and it has continued versus the Ravens and the Texans, He is playing much more under control working effectively from the pocket
MAC JONES VERSUS COWBOYS DEFENSE
Cowboys continued to play both conventional nickel with Lewis the slot corner, and big nickel with Hooker/Wilson the third safety
Parsons continued to play both stacked LB and on-the-ball edge pass rusher depending on Cowboys personnel and defensive front, Parsons predominantly lined up on the ball on the edge in 5 man front looks
Cowboys DE Gregory looked explosive as a pass rusher: Burst, speed-to-power, flexibility and closing speed; Sack in 3rd quarter was dominant speed-to-power versus LT Wynn
Cowboys continued to be multiple with their front looks out of dime at times lining up Parsons and Gregory inside, That front alignment is a blitz indicator
Stevenson 22 yard reception on 1st + 10 in 1st quarter came on All Go H Seam concept with Stevenson running the seam from offset alignment in the backfield, It came out of 12 personnel with TE Smith motion into the backfield as the play action back; Stacked LB Parsons eyes in the backfield then took a bad angle to match up to Stevenson, Well-designed concept with a decisive throw by Jones
Henry 20 yard TD in 1st quarter came out of 12 2x2 versus Cowboys big nickel cover 1 with safety Hooker matched on Henry tight slot to the boundary, Henry seam route was primary read for Jones and he came off play action fake looking right knowing he was coming back to Henry
What continued to stand out with Jones was he knows where to go with the ball and he is precise with his ball placement, The other trait he has consistently shown is toughness in the pocket
While Jones has thrown 4 interceptions versus blitz when you watch the tape you see that he recognizes pressure, knows where to go with the ball immediately and gets it out of his hands
Cowboys still played predominant cover 1 but there some snaps in which they showed some disguise and late movement to get to zone coverage schemes
Kearse continued to stand out in the Cowboys defense, He is used in multiple ways including man-to-man on TE and as a blitzer and he has flashed in every game this season
Glance routes and slant routes a staple of the Patriots offense, They get to them from different personnel groupings and multiple formation looks; Quick game one read throws for Jones
Bourne 75 yard TD late in 4th quarter came versus Cowboys 1 robber with Kearse the robber (good defensive call with Jones featured glance routes throughout the game) and Kazee rotating from the field into the post toward Bourne’s out-and-go; Diggs initially got beat but then undercut Bourne knowing he had Kazee over the top in perfect position – Ball never should have been thrown to Bourne and Kazee should have intercepted it
Cowboys went zero blitz out of nickel on 3rd + 3 in OT, Patriots picked it up well and Jones threw the back shoulder to Agholor versus Brown; Jones hurried the throw before it was defined
Through 6 games Jones is near the bottom of the NFL in yards per attempt, While he has been decisive and efficient the Patriots passing game has been condensed
RAIDERS OFFENSE VERSUS BRONCOS DEFENSE
Surtain left corner and Darby right corner for the Broncos, Callahan continued to be the slot corner with Sterns the dime safety
Ruggs 48 yards on 3rd + 2 to end first possession came out of 11 3x1 with Edwards the boundary x and bunch to the field, Broncos cover 1 out of dime with post safety Simmons cheated to the boundary and dime safety Sterns an underneath robber playing Raiders tendency to work Renfrow in the middle on 3rd down; Ruggs from #1 to bunch straight vertical route easily ran by Darby and Carr laid it out
Safety Jackson was predominantly the matchup on Waller when the Broncos went cover 1 out of nickel and dime versus 11 personnel, In 2 man and 1 robber out of dime Sterns was the matchup on Waller
It was evident the Broncos with their use of underneath lurk and 1 robber on 3rd down they were defending the Raiders tendency to work the middle of the field, especially with Renfrow
Renfrow 15 yards on second possession came on bang power run action out of 11 personnel with LG Simpson pulling across the formation, Jet action by Ruggs to the side of the pull expanded the Broncos defense and created space for Renfrow on the pop pass
Broncos featured 2 nickel fronts: 4-2 with LB Johnson and Strnad, and 5-1 with Johnson the only LB (It was Strnad in the 2nd half with Johnson injured); 5-1 often featured a reduced Bear front alignment
Empty sets continued to be part of Raiders offense, Carr fourth most empty drop backs of any QB in the NFL; Overall Raiders have not had much success out of empty sets
Raiders are not a high percentage 11 personnel offense with only 48% of offensive snaps coming out of 11 personnel – Is that the best use of their personnel?
Raiders feature multiple TE personnel sets and they play almost 15% of their snaps with fullback Ingold – Raiders core offensive philosophy starts with being physical and running the ball, That was Gruden’s mandate so we will see if that stays the same
Edwards continued to be the boundary x on the back side of trips in the Raiders 11 personnel groupings
Waller 33 yards late in 2nd quarter came out of 11 3x1 with Waller #2 to trips, Broncos went cover 1 out of dime and had slot corner Callahan matched on Waller since he was #2 (and not #3); Waller ran away from Callahan with his speed on the deep over route (that’s a TE running away from a corner)
Drake 31 yard TD reception (next play after Waller 33 yards) came out of 11 1x3 with tight bunch to the field and Moreau the boundary x with Drake offset to the boundary, Broncos cover 6 out of dime with LB Johnson responsible for the wheel by Drake; Raiders got the matchup they wanted versus the anticipated coverage, It was a quarters beater concept
Drake 18 yard TD to end first possession of 3rd quarter came versus Broncos 5-1 nickel reduced front, Outstanding job by OC James and LG Simpson
Ruggs 40 yards on 3rd + 12 late in the 3rd quarter came out of 11 3x1 with Ruggs the boundary x, Broncos out of dime went zero pressure with off coverage man match in coverage; Ruggs post route versus Darby with Carr laying the ball out under pressure, Excellent job by Jacobs reading the pressure and crossing the formation to block blitzing Sterns
Broncos multiple with their coverages, They play about 33% cover 1 (and about 43% single high) versus QB drop backs but they also play a higher percentage of split safety (always a Fangio staple)
JOE BURROW VERSUS LIONS DEFENSE
Lions continued to play dime on 3rd down and selected down and distance situations, Parker continued to be the slot corner with Marlowe the dime safety
Anzalone and Reeves-Maybin were the nickel LB, Anzalone does not come off the field
Lions featured loaded fronts out of dime, Anzalone was the wild card LB and Marlowe was the box safety
Evans 24 yard TD reception on 3rd + 5 to end first possession came out of 11 empty with Evans #1 to the boundary, Lions cover 1 out of nickel with LB Reeves-Maybin matched on Evans in press coverage; Evans beat Reeves-Maybin off the ball and Burrow laid the ball out in front
Okwara sack on 3rd + 2 in 2nd quarter came versus Bengals empty set, Lions double mug front out of nickel; Bengals squeezed protection inside leaving Okwara unblocked off the edge, Okwara was on Burrow but he wasn’t aware
Lions played about the same percentage of cover 1 versus the Bengals they had played in their first 5 games of the season, close to 30% of QB drop backs
Lions played more snaps of split safety versus the Bengals than they had played the first games
Burrow has some gunslinger and risk-taker in him and that at times results in some reckless throws from the pocket – Walker dropped an interception near the end of the 1st half in which Burrow tried to stick the in-breaker to Higgins with Walker in perfect position to drive on the throw
Chase 34 yards late in 2nd quarter (the play after Walker dropped the interception) came out of 11 3x1 with Chase plus split boundary x, Lions overload zone pressure with 3 under-3 deep behind it with corner Jacobs playing zone technique running with Chase on the vertical route; Burrow knew the pressure was coming front side but stayed poised with his eyes in the middle before coming to Chase, Burrow dropped it right in the bucket – Big-time throw by Burrow
Higgins 23 yards in 3rd quarter came on well-designed concept that featured both jet action and power run action, Jet action caused safety rotation to cover 3 and power run action impacted the LB plus Uzomah crosser grabbed eyes of the post safety; Backfield action and Uzomah opened the window for Burrow to Higgins on the dig
Burrow had some good moments versus the Lions but overall was a little inconsistent re: reads and throws, What always stands out is he is a comfortable and confident player
Evans is a very intriguing back with his excellent receiving traits, He has the ability to split outside and be a matchup issue for defenses in the passing game
Burrow continued to be featured in empty sets in the Bengals pass game: 65 drop backs in empty through 6 games (more than 10 per game); Burrow has been efficient completing 72% for 7.6 yards per attempt with 5 TD but 3 interceptions
Bengals a predominant 11 personnel offense through 6 games with more than 70% of their offensive snaps coming out of 11
RAVENS OFFENSE VERSUS CHARGERS DEFENSE
Chargers base defense versus Ravens 21 and 22 personnel with Ricard had Harris at safety with James, Davis as always was the boundary corner with Samuel the field corner
There were also Ravens snaps of 21 personnel in which the Chargers matched up with nickel, with James a LOS or box defender
Harris snaps at safety in the Chargers nickel, Both Gilman and Marshall snaps at safety; In dime Harris moved into the slot with Marshall at safety with Gilman
Freeman 16 yards on Ravens first possession came out of 21 personnel versus Chargers nickel with James on the ball to play side, Outstanding one-on-one block by TE Oliver on James
James in the nickel at times lined up as an on-the-ball edge defender, Snap on Ravens first possession in which he was an edge pass rusher – James as an on-the-ball edge defender was clearly part of Chargers game plan approach out of nickel versus Ravens 21 personnel
What was evident from the Ravens opening possession was the extensive use of Ricard, He lined up in multiple positions – Ricard played 55 snaps versus the Chargers, the most he has played all season (and in any game with the Ravens)
Murray 11 yard TD to end opening 12 play/90 yard drive came out of 21 personnel on counter trey to the boundary with double pull by LG Powers and LT Villanueva off jet action to the field, Ricard outstanding second level block on LB Niemann
Jet action was featured part of Ravens game plan – Through 6 games Ravens have used motion as a foundational tactic of their offense and it has been highly successful in both the run and pass games
Jackson 22 yards on 1st + 20 on second possession is the kind of play that changes games: Shot play concept off shotgun power run action with a 2 receiver vertical route combination, Chargers in base cove r4 take it away and Jackson then runs for 22 yards
Andrews 21 yards just outside the red zone came out of 22 personnel versus Chargers base cover 4, Schemed cover 4 beater with 4 man route concept to the field: Andrews the crosser underneath verticals by Duvernay and Oliver with Bell releasing into the flat, Lift the coverage and hi-low the flat defender Ogbongbemiga – Great design to attack and beat cover 4
Ravens personnel profile with Ricard and the heavy emphasis on base personnel brought Bosa inside in the Chargers base fronts and eliminated him as an edge pass rusher
Boundary corner Davis was benched in the 2nd quarter and was replaced by Campbell, Davis came back to start the 3rd quarter– Davis had played well through 5 games
Chargers did not many snaps of cover 1, It was a zone heavy approach versus Jackson and the Ravens passing game
White interception in the 2nd quarter (start of a Ravens possession) came on dagger by Ravens, Jackson had Bateman on the dig between the underneath defenders in the open zone window but was far too late with the throw with no awareness White was sitting underneath in his zone responsibility
When the Ravens went 11 personnel on final possession of 1st half with Jackson dropping back on every snap they struggled to pass protect, That’s when their OL can get exposed; Jackson has the ability to compensate for it and camouflage any issues
One adjustment the Chargers made to start the 3rd quarter was they moved Bosa in the base front from inside as a 5 and 4 technique to a stand up OLB, give him more freedom and flexibility to be a factor in the run game
Andrews 9 yard TD to end first possession of 3rd quarter came out of 21 personnel with jet motion by Duvernay from the field to the boundary, Chargers in a 4 across low red zone coverage with field safety influenced by run action in the backfield to his side; Andrews crosser into the area vacated by Harris with field corner Samuel held down by Brown vertical release – Well-designed concept
Brown 20 yards on final TD drive great example of Ravens attacking zone coverage (3 under-3 deep in this case, but it could have been cover 4) with post-cross combination off pistol play action
Freeman 9 yard TD on first play of 4th quarter came on speed option with Ricard off motion across the formation the lead blocker, Nwusu was the conflict defender and he forced the pitch early but Freeman had a clean perimeter
Ravens a defined game plan approach: Base personnel with Ricard a key component, They had 28 plays out of 21 personnel and 17 plays out of 22 personnel with only 13 plays out of 11 personnel
CHARGERS OFFENSE VERSUS RAVENS DEFENSE
Bynes, not Harrison, started at ILB in both the base and nickel defense with Queen; Ravens stayed with Averett at right corner and Humphrey at left corner, Young again the slot corner
Stephens was the dime safety and Board the dime LB, Ravens played significant snaps of dime
Campbell established physicality of Ravens defense on second play of the game: Chargers went 6 OL personnel to run the ball and Campbell just manhandled the sixth OL Pipkins tackling Ekeler for -1 yard
First 3rd and long (3rd + 11) Ravens went 2 man out of dime and used Oweh as a spy on Herbert behind 3 man rush
Chargers came out on first possession and played significant snaps out of base personnel, Their initial game plan approach was not to spread the field out of 11 personnel
Ravens matched Smith on Williams on Chargers first possession, going nickel versus 12 personnel; Smith was clearly game planned matchup on Williams in nickel since Smith played exclusively safety versus the Colts last week
Smith did not play in all nickel packages or in the dime sub defense, Humphrey was the matchup on Williams in those situations – Smith deployed now as a multi-positional player in both nickel and dime
Campbell another strong play in run game to start Chargers second possession, He controlled and displaced LG Feiler and made the tackle on Ekeler for 2 yards
Ravens showed pressure fronts out of dime on 3rd down including double mug looks: Elliott sack on 3rd + 5 to end second possession, Ekeler needed to scan and cross the formation to block Elliott
Chargers offensive approach from a personnel standpoint was fascinating: They featured base personnel groupings as their foundation playing 2 and at times 3 TE
Herbert was not sharp mentally or physically in this game, He was tentative in the pocket not turning throws loose that he normally does and he was not as consistently precise with his ball placement
Safety Elliott is a featured blitzer in the Ravens pressure schemes, He is a known blitzer (the term used by offenses) and must be accounted for in the protection when he is aligned as a second or first level defender on 3rd down
Elliott interception in the 2nd quarter came out of nickel cover 3, Herbert had Cook on the seam throw but left the ball too far behind him
The more I watch the Ravens defense the more I believe that Elliott is one of the most important players, He did not play week 5 versus the Colts and the Ravens defense was not quite the same
Oweh was used as a spy on Herbert a couple of times on 3rd and long, Long body with high level athleticism for his size
Chargers gained only 208 total yards on offense and were 3-12 on 3rd down conversions, They had only 2 plays of 20+ yards in the game
This was a bad game for both Herbert and the Chargers offense, Herbert was not sharp mentally or physically right from the start and the Chargers offense never developed any rhythm; At this point in the season the Chargers do not have a running game to fall back on if Herbert is not playing at his usual high level
JOSH ALLEN VERSUS TITANS DEFENSE
Titans started the game with Jenkins at left corner and Farley at right corner with Molden the slot corner, Long and Evans the nickel LB
Jackson was the dime corner playing inside with Molden in 3rd and long situations, Long was the dime LB – Long has played every defensive snap in 3 of last 5 games missing only 3 snaps in those 5 games
Titans initial coverage game plan was zone coverage both split safety and single high, Pressure schemes were 4 man zone exchange with a LB or slot corner Molden the fourth rusher and a DL dropping into underneath zone coverage
Bills first possession featured quick game throws by Allen featuring play action, Some had RPO structure
3rd + 3 in the low red zone the Titans out of nickel went cover 1 with Evans in underneath lurk/spy position, Allen had no throw versus the tight man coverage and could not make a second reaction play
Landry sack on 3rd + 10 to end Bills second possession came on inside stunt with Landry from standup Joker alignment the picker and Simmons the looper, Coverage out of dime was disguised late movement to cover 2; Allen had a throw on hi-low levels concept but the quick sack prevented it
Titans coverage approach was cover 2 and cover 3 behind 4 man DL pressure at times featuring zone exchange schemes; 5 man pressures not part of initial game plan, Cover 1 not part of game plan
Titans first snap of cover 1 came early in the 2nd quarter on Bills third possession, Jackson was the slot corner; 5 across diamond front with Autry the 0-technique, Long blitzed from the second level with edge players Dupree and Landry dropping as underneath zone defenders, Autry blew up OC Morse and Long got in clean but Allen quick game throw hit Diggs on slant versus Jenkins for 7 yards
Allen missed easy TD to wide open Sanders on Bills second red zone possession, Allen off play action boot left threw to McKenzie in the flat for 3 yards – One of the biggest plays in the game and it happened early in the 2nd quarter
Same red zone possession Allen on 3rd and goal from the 10 poor ball placement throw to Diggs on curl route in front of Jenkins – Bills 2 red zone possessions, 2 FG: That was the game right there
Titans 4 man zone exchange pressures at times caused some problems for the Bills in protection, Long featured as the fourth rusher along with Molden
Bills went back to high percentage 11 personnel with some snaps of 10 personnel versus the Titans: 61 snaps of 11 personnel with 8 snaps of 10
Sanders 21 yards on 2nd quarter TD drive came on dagger concept with Sanders the dig route underneath Diggs vertical route, Titans disguised late movement to cover 2 behind 4 man zone exchange (Molden the fourth rusher) with safety Hooker the deep middle hole defender; Bills 4 man route concept to the field, Allen excellent timing throw to take Sanders into the zone void
Farley hurt early in the 2nd quarter, He is out for the season with a torn ACL; Jackson replaced him at right corner
Titans went zero pressure out of nickel on 1st + 10 in high red zone on Bills fourth possession, They played off coverage man behind it
Diggs 14 yard TD on 2nd + 8 to end fourth possession came out of 11 2x2 with shotgun power run action, My sense was the Titans were in man coverage to the boundary with Hooker matched on attached TE Knox and Jenkins press on Diggs; Allen stuck the slant to Diggs with precise ball placement to beat Jenkins strong coverage
Titans went dime for the second time on 3rd + 5 late in the 2nd quarter, With Jackson at outside corner safety Cruikshank was the dime; Titans rushed 4 from loaded front alignment and again disguise and late movement to cover 2 with Long the middle hole defender; Allen patience in the pocket, Diggs 17 yards
Titans game planned coverage approach clearly featured disguise and late movement, They wanted to make Allen eliminate and isolate after the snap of the ball – Allen did that effectively throughout the game, He was both decisive and patient
Beasley 29 yard TD on 3rd + 12 late in the 2nd quarter came versus Titans dime inverted cover 2 with Jenkins the deep half field defender and Molden the flat defender, Titans had featured inverted cover 2 throughout the 1st half but this time Jenkins carried Sanders too far inside on the post route (Long was there as the deep middle hole defender) with no recognition of Beasley on the tempoed outside vertical off motion across the formation
First 3rd down of the 3rd quarter (3rd + 4) Titans out of dime went cover 1, Cruikshank again the dime; It was one of the few snaps of cover 1 the Titans played in the game - Diggs 9 yards on hitch versus Jackson
Allen some strong late-in-the-down throws in which he was patient in the pocket versus Titans zone coverage, waiting for receivers to work into voids – Beasley 18 yards on first possession of 3rd quarter just one of several examples
Borders replaced injured Jackson at right corner late in the 3rd quarter, Jackson came back briefly in the 4th quarter
Titans went with a zero pressure concept (6 man pressure) in the high red zone in the 2nd quarter but they did not have a 5 man pressure in the game
Simmons sack in the 4th quarter resulted from Allen indecision in the pocket, Bills ran staple double curl-post combination and Allen was waiting for Diggs on the post which he likely had but it took too long and Simmons made the sack
The 2 plays after the Simmons sack: Allen late on deep post to Sanders who was over the top of Borders, and he was a beat late to Kumerow in the outside void in cover 2
Sanders 31 yards started Bills last drive, Titans cover 4 out of dime with Borders matched on boundary x Sanders in Bills 3x1 set; Sanders got on top of Borders and a better throw by Allen could have been a TD
Titans had a defined game plan approach and stayed with it all game: 4 man rush with some zone exchange schemes, zone coverage with disguise and late movement, limit explosive pass plays; Titans for the most part played well in the red zone featuring more match concepts and that was a critical factor in the game
TITANS OFFENSE VERSUS BILLS DEFENSE
Bills stayed with nickel as their foundational defense, even against Titans 12 and 21 personnel; Bills have played almost 90% of defensive snaps out of nickel through 6 games, They have played only 10 snaps in base defense
The only time Klein played as the third LB in place of slot corner Johnson was when the Titans went 13 personnel, and on one snap of 21 personnel
White continued to be the boundary corner with Wallace the field corner, The only time White lined up to the field was when the Titans went closed boundary twins to the field - White has rarely been used as a matchup corner this season
Bills initial game plan featured man coverage predominantly out of single high safety looks, They showed both cover 1 and 1 robber through Titans first 2 possessions
Edmunds in man coverage schemes at times used as an underneath lurk defender in position to both play the in-breakers that are staples of the Titans pass game and to spy on Tannehill
3rd + 2 on Titans third possession Bills went cover 3 and the result was Poyer interception, Boundary corner White was responsible for the interception by looking inside and finding Jones on the deep over when reduced split boundary x Swaim disappeared inside on his release; Tannehill had to throw the ball away from White and he left it too far inside for post safety Poyer to make the easy interception, Obada inside pressure forced Tannehill to hurry the throw
Henry 76 yard TD came out of 11 personnel with condensed formation to the field, Inside zone concept with duo element; Swaim excellent one-on-one block on DE Rousseau and WR Westbrook-Ikhine outstanding block on safety Poyer
Titans high percentage 11 personnel versus Bills: 37 snaps which was almost 73% of offensive plays, Titans had been around 60% 11 personnel through their first 5 games
3rd + 6 from Bills 25 in 2nd quarter Titans called mesh anticipating man coverage and they got it, Tannehill poor ball placement throw to open Jones on the shallow crosser
Titans predominant zone run team with Henry especially outside zone but they also feature some gap scheme (we saw same side power), pin-pull and they ran a trap play in the high red zone versus the Bills
Lamm replaced injured Lewan at LT late in the 2nd quarter for the Titans
Henry first run of 3rd quarter was same play call as 76 yard TD but out of a different personal grouping, This time Wallace from the closed field formation squeezed inside and tackled Henry
Brown 8 yards on 3rd + 10 and Brown 14 yards on 4th + 2 in 3rd quarter an important sequence for the Titans, Both came out of bunch looks to the field and the Bills matched up with man coverage both times; Brown #1 to trips on 8 yards and #2 to trips on 14 yards
Brown 13 yards on 3rd + 5 early in 4th quarter also came out of bunch formation, That time the Bills played split safety zone coverage
Brown 20 yards on 4th quarter FG drive came on a Titans staple: Bang play action with Brown running the 5 step slant from the outside, Bills went cover 1 and Brown beat Wallace
Brown 22 yards on 4th quarter TD drive came out of 12 1x3 nub set versus Bills nickel cover 3, Outside zone run action to trips with Brown running the crosser from #2 with Tannehill coming off run fake looking like boot with Pruitt the split flow zone blocker the flat receiver; Play concept beat the Bills defense with Brown wide open
Bills showed more disguise and late movement with their coverages on the Titans final 2 possessions but Tannehill and the Titans passing game still executed
Henry 13 yard winning TD was outside zone weak away from the Bills over front which was the strength of the run defense; 3 outstanding blocks: RG Davis on Milano, OC Jones reach block on 1-technique Lotulelei and LG Saffold on Edmunds
Brown finished the game with 7-91, all coming in the 2nd half; Tannehill 14-17 for 145 in the 2nd half with 9 straight completions
62% of Henry 162 rushes through 6 games have come on 1st down (he has 38 more 1st down rushes than the next back Ezekiel Elliott) and almost 70% of his rushing yards
PATRICK MAHOMES VERSUS WASHINGTON DEFENSE
Chiefs went 21 straight I on first possession, Washington matched up with big nickel and played cover 3; Mahomes play action boot off outside zone run action hitting Kelce on the crosser, Play concept attacked Washington rookie LB Davis
Washington snaps of big nickel versus Chiefs 12 personnel with snaps of big nickel at times versus 11 personnel with Collins in the slot in split safety coverage looks
Fuller continued to be the slot corner in nickel and dime with rookie St. Juste on the outside with Jackson
Washington a high percentage of dime versus the Chiefs, They played 39 snaps of nickel and 32 snaps of dime with only 7 snaps of base; Holcomb and rookie Davis were the nickel LB with Holcomb the dime LB
Chiefs more snaps of 12 personnel versus Washington than we have seen from them in previous games, Clearly game planned
Hill 19 yards on 1st + 10 on first TD drive came out of 12 1x3 nub set with Kelce return motion from #3 to trips, Chiefs 3 man route concept to the boundary versus Washington split safety zone with Hill from #2 challenging the seam before breaking out into void created by Robinson vertical and Kelce flat route, Washington cover 2 to the field – 3 levels concept well-executed behind 7 man protection with a Kelce chip keeping Mahomes secure and comfortable, Calm Mahomes down early in the game
Mahomes 18 drop backs out of 12 personnel versus Washington: 12-18 for 112 yards and an interception; Mahomes only 40 drop backs out of 12 personnel in the first 5 games of the season
When Washington went 2 man out of dime versus Chiefs 11 personnel Curl was the matchup on Kelce, In 2 man out of nickel Holcomb was the matchup on Kelce
Washington predominant coverage versus Chiefs was split safety zone with multiple variations depending on the Chiefs receiver distributions
Mahomes attacked the one-on-ones outside the numbers, Aggressive with no progression reading involved: Fortson 27 yards on first possession, Hardman 49 yards on second possession
Chiefs featured 12 closed to the field twins to the boundary when Kelce and Fortson were the 2 TE, Fortson has the build and movement of a big WR
Washington featured a split safety coverage concept versus 3x1 and 1x3 sets in which they played zone to the trips side and matched up man-to-man to the boundary x and the offset back, It was a zone-man combination called 2-buster
Chiefs OL had some issues in pass protection versus Washington front four when they did not have help with formation, extra protectors and/or chips; Mahomes still not comfortable in a muddied pocket
Washington played snaps of 2-buster versus 3x1/1x3 sets and 4-special versus empty sets (cover 4 with the corner over #1 to trips playing pure man and not part of quarters coverage)
Washington featured loaded fronts out of dime with split safety coverage behind it, Collins was always an underneath defender with Curl and McCain the deep safeties in the zone concepts
Hill 2 yard TD on 2nd and goal was a big-time throw by Mahomes that demanded great vision and recognition plus precise timing and ball placement
Mahomes still at times a tendency to break down in the pocket prematurely without working through progressions with the result that he continued to leave some throws on the field, He has perceived pressure more over the last month than in previous seasons
Washington increased man-to-man frequency in the 4th quarter when they got behind by more than 1 score
Mahomes only 15 drop backs versus man coverage versus Washington, Washington a high percentage of zone coverage
WASHINGTON OFFENSE VERSUS CHIEFS DEFENSE
Sneed right corner and Fenton left corner were the outside corners for the Chiefs, Thornhill replaced Sorensen at safety with Mathieu with Sorenson now playing solely in the dime defense
Sneed moved inside in the slot in Chiefs sub defenses with Hughes playing right corner, Hitchens and Bolton were the nickel LB with Niemann continuing to be the dime LB; Niemann became nickel LB with Bolton when Hitchens got hurt in the 1st half
Sorenson still matched up at times on the TE when the Chiefs went cover 1 out of dime versus 11 personnel but versus Washington Mathieu was the predominant TE matchup
Chiefs still featured disguise and late movement to get to cover 2 out of dime, Mathieu continued to be the middle hole defender; They also showed disguise and late movement to cover 2 out of nickel with slot corner Sneed a deep half defender
Chiefs featured loaded fronts out of dime with LB Niemann the wild card opposite the load, Chiefs showed multiple stunt concepts out of the loaded fronts
Seals-Jones 39 yard TD late in 2nd quarter came out of motion to 3x1 set and was a schemed concept with Seals-Jones running the outside seam from #3 to trips off tunnel screen look, Chiefs were in cover 3 boundary lock out of nickel and post safety Thornhill could not react to Seals-Jones seam on the inside of the numbers
Washington pass game focus was quick game, play action boot, with some deeper drops and throws off schemed intermediate and vertical concepts; Heinicke is not a drive thrower so the more intermediate and downfield throws must be schemed
Washington featured a lot of crossing routes and tactically I thought they did a good job attacking both the Chiefs man and zone coverage concepts
Chiefs, like many teams in the NFL now, feature zone exchange pressure schemes when they rush 4 and play zone coverage behind it; The fourth rusher is a LB, the slot corner or a safety with a DL dropping into underneath coverage
Chiefs continued to feature 3 predominant coverages: cover 1, cover 3 and cover 2; Cover 1 and cover 2 have been the higher percentage coverages on 3rd down through 6 games, Chiefs played some snaps of 2 man coverage with Mathieu matched on the TE
Chiefs continued to be a high percentage blitz defense, a percentage that increased on 3rd down out of dime
Chiefs DC Spagnuolo will mix in some cover zero – No team in the NFL has played more snaps of zero than the Chiefs
BEARS OFFENSE VERSUS PACKERS DEFENSE
Stokes and Yiadom were the outside corners for the Packers, Sullivan continued to be the slot corner; Yiadom hurt after 9 snaps replaced by Douglas
Bears offense started with 2 runs by Herbert then play action boot by Fields off outside zone run action: Kmet 15 yards
Packers continued to feature cover 4 as a foundational coverage, They also continued to play snaps of dime on 3rd down (and selected situations) with safety Black the dime
Bears first possession featured base personnel on every snap, It ended with a TD
Robinson 20 yards on 3rd + 3 on first possession came out of 12 3x1 with Robinson the boundary x versus Packers split safety with both man and zone principles, Fields hole shot to Robinson behind Yiadom who was playing what looked like 2 man technique
One thing that stands out about Herbert is that he has more explosiveness and juice than Montgomery, Herbert is a more natural zone runner and he can get to the perimeter with burst and speed
Bears continued to feature 6 OL personnel as a foundation of the offense, They did not always run out of it – It was evident Bears initial game plan was built on base personnel groupings
Against the Packers the Bears featured 13 snaps out of 12 personnel and 9 snaps of 6 OL personnel, Almost 40% of their offensive snaps came out of base personnel
Bears shot play concept on second possession out of 6 OL personnel, Fields overshot well-covered Mooney on deep crosser
Packers continued to feature 5-1 fronts out of nickel with Campbell the stacked LB, They aligned in that front when Burks was the nickel LB with Campbell and Burks lined up on the ball on the edge
Packers base front versus Bears 12 personnel was 5-2 with Campbell and Barnes the stacked LB, At times the front was reduced
Packers continued to feature loaded fronts on 3rd down out of dime, Campbell was the dime LB
Mooney 11 yards in the 3rd quarter had the look of an RPO with outside zone to the field and Mooney running the 5 step slant from boundary
Fields didn’t turn it loose on designed boot on 3rd + 7 late in 3rd quarter, Play design was Mooney on the speed out off zin motion and he was open – A missed opportunity to keep a drive going
Fields still showed a tendency to break the pocket prematurely when he perceived pressure, He needs to develop more patience in the pocket
Kmet 21 yards in the 4th quarter was Fields most rhythmic throw of the game: Conventional play action with a 5 step drop and a timing delivery to Kmet on the seam versus Packers split safety – Kmet 10 yards on the same drive also rhythmic: 3 step shotgun timing with Kmet running 5 step slant
Mooney 5 yard TD in 4th quarter came out of 12 1x3 nub set with bunch to the field versus Packers base 4 across low red zone coverage, Packers man matched to the boundary leaving and no one walled off Mooney from #1 to trips on the shallow cross; Fields was late with the throw but Mooney was wide open it didn’t impact the TD
Fields needs to continue to get quicker with his elimination and isolation in the pocket, He shows a tendency to stay too long on what’s not there and that often results in throws left on the field and breaking the pocket when the route concept produced a throw
Fields sack late in 4th quarter was on him, He had a pitch-and-catch throw to Mooney that he looked at but did not turn loose; Clark beat LG Whitehair with both strength and then club-arm over move for the sack
Packers did not play many snaps of cover 1 versus the Bears, They played predominant zone coverage with split safety the foundation
SEAHAWKS OFFENSE VERSUS STEELERS DEFENSE
Maulet continued to be the Steelers slot corner, Haden left corner and Sutton right corner in base and nickel; In dime Pierre was the right corner opposite Haden with Sutton and Norwood inside
Sutton and Norwood give the Steelers a lot of coverage flexibility in dime, They both can play in the slot and they both can play on the back end
Ingram continued to be a moveable chess piece/Joker in the dime fronts, and Spillane continued to be the dime LB
Collins was featured in the zone run game and showed the ability to read gap fluidity and defensive flow with an innate feel for the cutback, Collins also a strong feel for how to use his downhill path to move second level defenders
Seahawks high percentage 11 personnel versus Steelers, 77% of offensive snaps came out of 11 personnel
Steelers played snaps of base personnel versus Seahawks 11 personnel on some 1st downs and in some normal down and distance situations
There may be no better safety in the NFL than Fitzpatrick playing top down from back end position and driving on in-breaking routes
Heyward sack of Smith in 2nd quarter came on 1st + 10 shot play call out of 21 straight I: Outside zone lead run action with 7 man protection with Lockett the stutter-go and Metcalf the intermediate in-breaker, Heyward beat LG Lewis to the outside; Smith could have made the throw to Metcalf if he hit his back foot and turned his loose but that would have required high-level timing
Both Steelers sacks in the 1st half came on one-on-one matchups, Heyward beat LG Lewis and Highsmith beat LT Brown
Seahawks only ran 21 plays in the 1st half, continuing an alarming trend that has seen the Seahawks average less than 55 plays per game
Seahawks started first possession of 3rd quarter with the run game, 8 Collins runs (and 1 by Dallas) part of 10 play TD drive; Consecutive 11 and 21 yard zone runs versus Steelers base 5-2 front that featured double team blocks and outstanding one-on-one blocks
Seahawks OL did an outstanding job on the opening possession of the 3rd quarter, and Collins excellent job in the zone run game being patient and running with vision, cutback ability and short area burst – Seahawks football
Everett 41 yards on 2nd + 7 on second possession of 3rd quarter came out of 13 1x3 nub with Metcalf reduced split to trips to the boundary side of the formation, Steelers in their base defense showed a 4 man front with Highsmith off the ball as stacked LB; Outside zone run action to trips side of the formation with 2 man post-corner route combination with Metcalf and Everett, Schemed play that defined the throw for Smith
Dissly 1 yard TD another well-designed play that featured zone read run action and a natural rub element, Dissly excellent job initially showing run blocking before releasing into the flat
Homer 26 yards on 3rd + 7 on Seahawks third possession of 2nd half (ended with FG) was counter trey out of 2x2 set with both LG Jones and LT Brown pulling to the boundary, Outstanding blocks by Jones on Watt and Everett on Edmunds
It was the run game that was the biggest factor in the Seahawks getting back in the game in the 2nd half, 3 possessions and 3 scores (2 TD, FG); Seahawks OL controlled the LOS and that allowed the coaching staff to keep Smith as a complementary piece
Smith excellent throw to Metcalf on the out route for 11 yards with less than :30 remaining in regulation with the Seahawks trailing by 3
Steelers played high percentage zone coverage versus the Seahawks, Cover 3 was the foundational coverage out of both nickel and dime; Steelers played 15 snaps of dime versus the Seahawks
Smith best throw of the game came in OT on 2nd + 9: Empty set out of 11 personnel versus Steelers base cover 3, Lockett from #3 to trips ran the stick nod with Smith making an excellent firm touch throw
After dominating with run game on first 3 possessions of 2nd half Seahawks could not run the ball in OT
Watt first sack in OT came on 3rd + 4 to end Seahawks first possession, Watt beat RT Shell off the edge; Seahawks were in 11 3x1 set with Metcalf the plus split boundary x, Steelers dedicated double on Metcalf with corner Haden and safety Edmunds as part of man coverage concept with Fitzpatrick spinning down as the robber to the strong side
Watt second sack in OT came on Seahawks shot play concept and resulted from Steelers coverage approach, They undercut both Metcalf in-breaker and Lockett corner route with 2 man technique by corners Haden and Sutton; It was a 2 receiver route concept so Smith had no throw so climbed the pocket and started to run and Watt produced sack and forced fumble
Seahawks did not ask Smith to throw at the intermediate and vertical levels, It was a basic game plan approach to manage him and limit bad plays
JOE BURROW THROUGH 5 GAMES
What consistently stood out was how effectively the Bengals worked the boundary with 2 man route combinations, Basic combinations with one man read for Burrow
Bengals featured hi-low concepts versus zone coverage, Another strong tactic to define reads and throws for Burrow
Boyd so effective out of the slot running whip routes, pivot routes, juke routes – Boyd through 5 games leads all receivers with 25 receptions out of the slot, He is third in the NFL with 32 slot targets (Meyers, Kupp)
Empty sets have been a foundation of the Bengals pass game through 5 games (only Stafford more empty snaps than Burrow), Burrow out of empty through 5 games: 39-54 for 401 yards with 4 TD and 2 interceptions
Burrow has shown a high-level sense of timing and rhythm in the passing game, He throws with outstanding anticipation on spot throws – Chase 34 yard fade TD versus Steelers a great example with Burrow dropping it into hands at 44 yards from delivery to catch (that’s how they teach the fade ball)
One tactic the Bengals consistently used effectively was inserting the TE into the formation in their shotgun quick game pass game, It impacted second level defenders and opened passing windows for Burrow
Chase 44 yards versus Jaguars came out of 3x1 set with Chase the boundary x versus nickel cover 3 with corner Campbell boundary lock on Chase, Chase separation with the ball in the air and precise ball placement throw by Burrow
Burrow is a natural pace and touch thrower with an innate feel for the right kind of throw, In addition his ball location is consistently precise – Burrow is a comfortable player who never looks hurried, He doe not play fast
Chase predominantly the boundary x receiver in the Bengals offense but also significant snaps to twins and trips given the use of empty sets
JAMEIS WINSTON THROUGH 5 GAMES
Saints 4 to the boundary route concept versus Packers: Calloway 14 yards on crosser from the field to the boundary
Harris 55 yard TD versus Packers came on shot play out of 22 personnel with closed boundary to the field and Harris the zin motion as the boundary WR, Initial 7 man protection concept with deep sail-corner route concept by Harris and boundary attached TE Johnson versus cover 4; Harris got on top of corner King who hesitated when he saw Johnson break to the outside on the corner route, Great ball by Winston 58 yards in the air
Johnson 15 yard TD versus Giants came on Saints staple high red zone concept that attacks both cover 3 and cover 1: 3 man route concept from reduced splits that opens throwing window for the in-breaker, Giants were in dime cover 1 and Winston knew what he had before the snap with Johnson #1 to trips matched on safety Ryan
Calloway 58 yards versus Giants came on shot play out of 6 OL-2 back personnel with Calloway the boundary x and Hill the nasty split z, Play action with 7 man protection and I back Kamara looking for any leakage; Post-cross combination versus cover 3 with Winston reading post safety Ryan, Ryan stayed low with eyes on Hill crosser so Winston went over the top to Calloway versus outside leverage corner Bradberry
One thing that stood out watching Winston was how effective he was throwing outside the numbers, He showed excellent timing and precise ball placement
Calloway 12 yard TD on 3+ 7 versus Washington came on well-designed man beater concept in the high red zone: Saints 1x3 set out of 21 personnel with Calloway #3 to trips, Washington press man out of dime with corner Jackson matched on Calloway; Calloway wheel route behind Stills and fullback Griffin who created natural picks forcing Jackson to bubble over the top – Outstanding design versus man coverage
Trautman 32 yards versus Washington came out 6 OL-2 back personnel with Calloway the boundary x, Schemed concept off play action with Trautman crossing the field to run the rail route underneath Calloway post route that threated both the corner and safety in cover 3, Kamara off the play action released into the flat to hold down the flat defender and hook-to-curl defender LB Holcomb was late to recognize Trautman on the rail
What also stood out watching Winston was how effectively the pass game concepts attacked and broke down anticipated coverages
Saints have played the lowest percentage of 11 personnel in the NFL through their first 5 games, They have played only 23% of their offensive snaps out of 11 in a league in which the average is 57%
Saints have played the highest percentage of 6 OL personnel with almost 15% of their offensive snaps coming out of that package
