The NFL season is quickly approaching, and the first step to winning Super Bowl LIX is to reach the postseason. The current 2024 NFL Playoff Odds show that the defending champion Kansas City Chiefs are the most likely team to qualify for the AFC postseason at -500 and the San Francisco 49ers are their NFC counterparts at -375 to reach the playoffs. On the other end of the spectrum, the New England Patriots at +1000 and Carolina Panthers at +800 are the least likely teams to make the playoffs in their respective conferences.
The Houston Texans (+550), Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+375), and Los Angeles Rams (+300) reached the postseason at the longest odds in 2023. Meanwhile, the Cincinnati Bengals (+240), Jacksonville Jaguars (+165), and New Orleans Saints (+150) had the biggest payouts if you were bold enough to bet them to miss the playoffs. Let’s go division by division to check out the 2024 NFL Playoff Odds for all 32 teams.
I previously broke down the 2024 NFL MVP Odds, the 2024 NFL Division Odds, the 2024 NFL Receiving Yard Props, the 2024 NFL Passing Yard Props, the 2024 NFL Passing Touchdown Props, the 2024 NFL Rookie of the Year awards, and the 2024 NFL Rookie Props. Subscribers can see all 24 of the NFL Futures bets I’ve already placed for the upcoming season.
2024 NFL PLAYOFF ODDS
I found the longest odds to make and to miss the playoffs to maximize your potential return. I used DraftKings (DK), FanDuel (FD), BetMGM (MGM), Caesars (CZR), and ESPN Bet (ESPN) to find the best Playoff odds as of June 13.
AFC EAST
| Team | Longest Odds to Make the Playoffs | Longest Odds to Miss the Playoffs |
| Buffalo Bills | -170, ESPN | +150, MGM |
| New York Jets | -145, MGM | +142, FD |
| Miami Dolphins | -130, FD | +135, DK |
| New England Patriots | +1000, CZR | -1600, MGM/ESPN |
The Buffalo Bills are still the class of the AFC East heading into the season, but their odds to reach the playoffs have dipped from -500 last summer to -170 (63.0%). They own the second-longest active postseason streak with five straight playoff appearances. The AFC East is the only division with three teams listed at -130 or shorter to reach the postseason. The New York Jets own -145 odds (59.2%) to snap the NFL’s longest postseason drought at 13 seasons. The Miami Dolphins are looking to go 3-for-3 in playoff appearances under Mike McDaniel at
-130 (56.5%). The New England Patriots are the longest shots to reach the postseason at +1000 (9.1%) in their first season under Jerod Mayo.
Lean: New York Jets to miss the playoffs (+142, FD)
I believe this team has some of the widest range of outcomes, which is why I also considered the Jets to win the AFC East at +240 odds. They have one of the NFL’s best rosters, but I don’t have enough faith in Aaron Rodgers coming off a catastrophic leg injury. I also don’t have enough faith in coaches Robert Saleh and Nathaniel Hackett. Betting on the Jets to miss the postseason has been a winning wager for 12 consecutive seasons.
AFC NORTH
| Team | Longest Odds to Make the Playoffs | Longest Odds to Miss the Playoffs |
| Baltimore Ravens | -260, DK | +250, MGM/CZR |
| Cincinnati Bengals | -208, CZR | +205, DK |
| Cleveland Browns | +160, CZR | -165, MGM |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | +185, DK | -189, CZR |
The Baltimore Ravens sit at -260 odds (72.2%) to reach the postseason for the sixth time in seven years with Lamar Jackson. The Cincinnati Bengals are expected to return to the playoffs for the third time in four years at -208 (67.5%). The Cleveland Browns are +160 (38.5%) to make their third playoff appearance in the last five seasons after previously missing the postseason in 17 straight seasons from 2003-2019. The Pittsburgh Steelers are the longest shots in the division to reach the postseason at +185 (35.1%), which would be Mike Tomlin’s 12th playoff appearance in 18 seasons.
Lean: Cleveland Browns to make the playoffs (+160, CZR)
The Browns are one of the most overlooked teams with most sportsbooks pegging them at +4000 odds to win the Super Bowl. Cleveland reached the postseason last season by allowing the fewest passing yards per game (164.7) and the fewest total yards per game (270.2). This bet will likely come down to Deshaun Watson’s performance after a shaky start to his Cleveland career, but the Browns gave him another weapon in Jerry Jeudy this off-season.
AFC SOUTH
| Team | Longest Odds to Make the Playoffs | Longest Odds to Miss the Playoffs |
| Houston Texans | -185, ESPN | +165, MGM |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | +130, DK/ESPN | -141, CZR |
| Indianapolis Colts | +155, MGM/ESPN | -169, CZR |
| Tennessee Titans | +475, ESPN | -550, MGM |
The Houston Texans owned the AFC’s longest odds (+550) to reach the postseason last season, and they now own the AFC’s fourth-shortest odds at -185 (64.9%). The Jacksonville Jaguars are in search of their second playoff appearance in Doug Pederson’s third season at +130 (43.5%). The Indianapolis Colts fell just short of the postseason in Shane Steichen’s first season and are +155 (39.2%) to break through in 2024. The Tennessee Titans own the AFC’s third-longest odds to reach the postseason at +475 (17.4%) in Brian Callahan’s first season.
Lean: Indianapolis Colts to make the playoffs (+155. MGM/ESPN)
The Colts experienced a five-win improvement under Shane Steichen even with Gardner Minshew at quarterback. They’ll get their potential star Anthony Richardson back, and they’ll still benefit from a third-place schedule, which means they’ll get unique games against the Broncos, Giants, and Steelers.
AFC WEST
| Team | Longest Odds to Make the Playoffs | Longest Odds to Miss the Playoffs |
| Kansas City Chiefs | -500, CZR/MGM/FD | +425, DK/ESPN |
| Los Angeles Chargers | +118, FD | -110, MGM |
| Las Vegas Raiders | +370, FD | -357, CZR |
| Denver Broncos | +700, DK/ESPN | -714, CZR |
The Kansas City Chiefs own the best odds to reach the postseason at -500 (83.3%), which would extend the NFL’s longest active playoff streak to 10 seasons. The Los Angeles Chargers sit at +118 (45.9%) to reach the postseason in Jim Harbaugh’s first season, which would be his fourth playoff appearance in five NFL seasons. The Las Vegas Raiders haven’t won the AFC West since 2002 and they’ve reached the postseason just twice in the last 22 years. Their playoff futility is expected to extend this season at +370 (21.3%). The Denver Broncos are longshots to reach the postseason at +700 (12.5%) and to snap the NFL’s second-longest playoff drought at eight seasons.
Lean: Los Angeles Chargers to miss the playoffs (+155. MGM/ESPN)
The Chargers have the AFC’s easiest schedule based on season win totals, but Los Angeles has one of the NFL’s weakest roster. Justin Herbert will have a tough time covering up the weaknesses of his receiving corps after the team parted ways with Keenan Allen and Mike Williams this off-season. I’m ultimately staying away since Jim Harbaugh has won at every stop in his career, racking up an 182-74-1 record (.711) between Michigan, the 49ers, Stanford, and San Diego.
NFC EAST
| Team | Longest Odds to Make the Playoffs | Longest Odds to Miss the Playoffs |
| Philadelphia Eagles | -210, MGM | +195, ESPN |
| Dallas Cowboys | -194, FD | +190, ESPN |
| Washington Commanders | +310, FD | -330, DK |
| New York Giants | +450, ESPN | -550, MGM/DK |
The Philadelphia Eagles and Dallas Cowboys have each reached the postseason in three straight seasons, and they’re heavy favorites to do it again at -210 odds (67.7%) and -194 (66.0%), respectively. The Washington Commanders will likely need to finish with a winning record for the first time since Kirk Cousins quarterbacked the team in 2016 to reach the postseason at +310 (24.4%). The New York Giants own the NFC’s second-longest odds to qualify for the postseason at +450 (18.2%) in what could be Daniel Jones' last season as the starter.
Lean: Washington Commanders to make the playoffs (+310, FD)
I don’t mind taking a longshot bet on the Commanders to stun the NFC by sneaking into the playoffs in Jayden Daniels’ first season. The Texans under #2 overall pick C.J. Stroud reached the playoffs against long odds just a year ago.. Washington’s defense may be too weak to cover up even if Washington’s offense significantly improves with Daniels at quarterback.
NFC NORTH
| Team | Longest Odds to Make the Playoffs | Longest Odds to Miss the Playoffs |
| Detroit Lions | -200, CZR | +200, ESPN |
| Green Bay Packers | -155, DK | +150, MGM/CZR |
| Chicago Bears | -105, FD | +105, MGM |
| Minnesota Vikings | +300, DK/ESPN | -300, MGM |
The NFC North is the only division in the NFC to feature three teams as odds-on favorites to reach the postseason. The Detroit Lions are looking for back-to-back postseason appearances at -200 odds (66.7%), which would be the first time the franchise has done it since 1994-95. The Green Bay Packers went from +165 to make the playoffs in Jordan Love’s first season as the starter to -155 (60.8%) in his second season. The Chicago Bears are -105 (51.2%) to make the playoffs with the top overall pick Caleb Williams orchestrating the offense for the first time. The Minnesota Vikings are the only plus-money team to reach the postseason at +300 (25.0%) after doing it twice in six seasons with Kirk Cousins at quarterback.
Lean: Chicago Bears to make the playoffs (-105, FD)
I had the Chicago Bears power rated as a playoff-caliber team at the end of last season despite a 7-10 record, and that was before they landed upgrades at quarterback (Caleb Williams>Justin Fields) and wide receiver (Keenan Allen/Rome Odunze>Darnell Mooney). Williams is stepping into arguably the best situation a #1 overall pick has ever had, and Chicago’s ascending defense has them as contenders for one of the final NFC playoff spots.
NFC SOUTH
| Team | Longest Odds to Make the Playoffs | Longest Odds to Miss the Playoffs |
| Atlanta Falcons | -240, DK | +220, MGM |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | +150, MGM/ESPN | -169, CZR |
| New Orleans Saints | +190, CZR | -210, DK |
| Carolina Panthers | +800, CZR | -750, FD |
The Atlanta Falcons have the NFC’s second-best odds to reach the postseason at -240 (70.6%), which would snap the NFC’s longest playoff drought at six seasons. They’re tied with the Carolina Panthers for the NFC's longest postseason drought, but the Panthers are the NFC’s longest shots to reach the postseason at +800 (11.1%) in their first season under Dave Canales. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers actually have the NFC’s longest active playoff streak at four seasons, but they’re sitting at +190 (34.5%) to extend their run to a fifth season. Dennis Allen-coached teams have never reached the postseason in five seasons, and the New Orleans Saints are underdogs to do it in 2024 at +150 (40.0%).
Lean: Tampa Bay Buccaneers to miss the playoffs (-169, CZR)
I believe the NFC’s longest postseason streak will come to an end after a surprising run to an NFC South title in Baker Mayfield’s first season as the starter. Dave Canales has turned around the careers of Mayfield and Geno Smith in back-to-back seasons, and I could see this offense taking a step back with Canales bolting for Carolina. Tampa Bay should stay in contention for a division title but I don’t see two teams reaching the postseason from the NFC South.
NFC WEST
| Team | Longest Odds to Make the Playoffs | Longest Odds to Miss the Playoffs |
| San Francisco 49ers | -375, FD | +375, CZR |
| Los Angeles Rams | +105, CZR/MGM/ESPN | -120, FD |
| Seattle Seahawks | +200, MGM | -220, DK |
| Arizona Cardinals | +320, ESPN | -340, FD |
The San Francisco 49ers own the NFC’s best odds of winning a division at -375 (79.0%), which would be their fourth consecutive appearance. The Los Angeles Rams sit at +105 (48.8%) to reach the playoffs for the sixth time in Sean McVay’s eight seasons. The Seattle Seahawks are +200 (33.3%) to qualify for the postseason in Mike Macdonald’s first campaign after the franchise did 10 times in Pete Carroll’s 14 seasons. The Arizona Cardinals have reached the postseason once in the last eight years, and they own the NFC’s fourth-longest odds to do it in 2024 at +320 (23.8%).
Lean: Los Angeles Rams to make the playoffs (+105, CZR/MGM/ESPN)
The Rams are almost always in playoff contention under Sean McVay. The Rams had the season from hell after winning the Super Bowl in the 2021 season, but McVay has otherwise reached 9+ victories in six of seven seasons and 10+ wins five times as a head coach. Los Angeles will need quick development from the Florida State defensive line tandem of Braden Fiske and Jared Verse to make up for the loss of future Hall-of-Famer Aaron Donald.
