We’re riding high after finishing up +59.83 units for the 2024 season. It’s time to reinvest some of those profits into the 2025 Futures market. The initial odds for the winner of Super Bowl LX in Santa Clara, Calif. were recently released. It’s a good time to dive into the opening lines to see if there are any value bets to make now that the NFL has crowned the Philadelphia Eagles as Super Bowl LIX champions for the 2024 season. We isolated the Eagles at +2200 odds in this article last year, and the Eagles added +11 units to our final winnings for the season.
Oddsmakers have pegged the Eagles as the early favorites at +600 odds followed by the Kansas City Chiefs and Baltimore Ravens at +650. The Buffalo Bills (+675) and Detroit Lions (+700) round out the clear top-five favorites to hoist the Lombardi Trophy. On the other end of the spectrum, the New York Giants (+20000) and the Tennessee Titans (+15000) face the longest odds to win Super Bowl 60.
Super Bowl LX will be played on Feb. 8, 2026, at Levi’s Stadium in Santa Clara, Calif.
This article is powered by Fantasy Points Data. Subscribe now to take your research to the next level.
EARLY SUPER BOWL LX (60) ODDS
The table is sorted by Shortest Odds to Win Super Bowl LX. You should target the Longest Odds to Win Super Bowl LX to maximize your potential return. I used DraftKings (DK), FanDuel (FD), BetMGM (MGM), Caesars (CZR), ESPN Bet (ESPN), and Bet365 (365) to find the best Super Bowl odds as of February 10.
| Team | Longest Odds | Shortest Odds |
| Philadelphia Eagles | +650 (multiple) | +600 (FD, DK) |
| Baltimore Ravens | +700 (multiple) | +650 (ESPN, FD) |
| Kansas City Chiefs | +750 (MGM) | +650 (multiple) |
| Buffalo Bills | +750 (MGM, FD) | +675 (CZR) |
| Detroit Lions | +1100 (CZR) | +700 (ESPN) |
| San Francisco 49ers | +1600 (DK) | +1400 (multiple) |
| Cincinnati Bengals | +2200 (365) | +1600 (ESPN) |
| Washington Commanders | +2400 (FD) | +1700 (CZR) |
| Green Bay Packers | +2200 (365) | +1800 (DK) |
| Los Angeles Rams | +3000 (365) | +2200 (CZR) |
| Los Angeles Chargers | +3000 (FD, ESPN) | +2400 (CZR) |
| Houston Texans | +3000 (multiple) | +2500 (MGM) |
| Minnesota Vikings | +4000 (DK, 365) | +3100 (FD) |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | +3500 (multiple) | +3300 (365) |
| Chicago Bears | +4000 (multiple) | +3500 (CZR) |
| Denver Broncos | +4800 (FD) | +3500 (DK, CZR) |
| Miami Dolphins | +6500 (DK) | +4000 (MGM) |
| Atlanta Falcons | +6500 (DK) | +5500 (FD) |
| Seattle Seahawks | +6500 (DK) | +5000 (ESPN, FD) |
| Dallas Cowboys | +6600 (MGM) | +5000 (ESPN) |
| Arizona Cardinals | +7000 (DK) | +5000 (FD) |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | +8000 (MGM) | +5500 (CZR) |
| New England Patriots | +14000 (FD) | +7500 (ESPN) |
| New York Jets | +13000 (DK) | +7500 (ESPN) |
| Indianapolis Colts | +11000 (DK) | +7000 (FD) |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | +11000 (DK) | +7500 (FD) |
| New Orleans Saints | +15000 (multiple) | +10000 (ESPN) |
| Carolina Panthers | +15000 (365, MGM) | +10000 (ESPN, CZR) |
| Cleveland Browns | +15000 (multiple) | +10000 (ESPN, CZR) |
| Las Vegas Raiders | +19000 (FD) | +10000 (CZR) |
| Tennessee Titans | +20000 (multiple) | +15000 (FD) |
| New York Giants | +30000 (ESPN, 365) | +20000 (CZR, DK) |
Brolley’s Bets
San Francisco 49ers (+1600, DraftKings)
Placed Feb. 10. Risk .5 units to win 8 units.
We bought the Eagles at rock bottom at the start of last off-season at +2200 odds, and I’m doing the same with the 49ers at +1600 odds in this year’s article. San Francisco entered last season as the NFC favorites to win the Super Bowl at +600 before they experienced a season from hell. It started before the season opener when it came out that Christian McCaffrey was dealing with Achilles tendinitis, and it continued with Brandon Aiyuk (ACL) and Trent Williams (personal/ankle) each missing significant time. Kyle Shanahan’s offense still finished fourth in yards per game (376.3) and third in yards per play (6.2) despite significant injuries on the offensive side of the ball.
The 49ers won double-digit games in four of five seasons from 2019-23 before last year’s 6-11 campaign. San Francisco reached the Super Bowl in 2019 and 2023 only to win 6 games in the following seasons. The 49ers reached the NFC Conference Championship after their last six-win campaign and they’ll look to find similar success in 2025. Shanahan’s teams have reached the NFC title game in four of the last six seasons and in five of nine seasons if you go back to 2016 when he orchestrated Atlanta’s offense.
San Francisco’s defense also has a chance to be significantly improved with Robert Saleh returning to coordinate the unit. The 49ers finished inside the top five in yards per game allowed in Saleh’s final two seasons as defensive coordinator in 2019-20, and the Jets finished inside the top four in yards per game allowed in his last two full seasons as New York’s HC in 2022-23. The 49ers have struggled on special teams throughout Shanahan’s tenure but they were a special kind of a disaster last year. They lost nearly 64 expected points on special teams, which was 25.1 lost points more than the 31st-ranked team.
San Francisco has the chance to significantly upgrade its roster when they select 11th overall in April and they own seven picks inside the first four rounds. The 49ers will also benefit from playing a last-place schedule, which gives them unique games against the Giants, Bears, and Browns. They’re also scheduled for games against the AFC South and NFC South, which puts a 12+ win season well within reach with much better luck in 2025. Add it all up and the 49ers are a screaming value at their odds as I believe they should be priced closer to 12/1.
Houston Texans (+3000, DraftKings)
Placed Feb. 10. Risk .25 units to win 7.5 units.
The Texans were the IT team last off-season after they swung for the fences by trading for Stefon Diggs. The aggressive move gave promising second-year QB C.J. Stroud arguably the NFL’s best WR trio, which powered Houston to enter the season with the seventh-shortest odds to win the Super Bowl at +1600. The Texans have plummeted to the 12th-shortest odds at the start of this off-season after regression set in for Stroud following his spectacular rookie campaign. The Texans lost Diggs (ACL) and Tank Dell (knee) to season-ending injuries and Nico Collins missed five games for a hamstring injury. Houston’s offensive line was also an unmitigated disaster, ranking last in rushing success rate (40.6%) and 29th in pressure rate (36.8%).
I didn’t buy into the Texans’ hype last off-season but having their issues exposed could be beneficial for an organization that’s made plenty of strides in a short amount of time. The Texans will try to fix their offense by firing Bobby Slowik and hiring first-time OC Nick Caley, who cut his teeth under Bill Belichick before working the last two seasons under Sean McVay. He’ll be tasked with getting this passing attack back on track while fixing Stroud’s protection. Houston has the potential to be among the league’s better defenses in DeMeco Ryan’s third season. Will Anderson headlines the group and owns the sixth-shortest odds to be the Defensive Player of the Year at +1200 odds. Danielle Hunter forms an elite pass-rushing tandem with Anderson, and Derek Stingley Jr. and Kamari Lassiter are one of the NFL’s most promising CB duos.
Houston has a difficult path just to reach the Super Bowl with QBs like Patrick Mahomes, Josh Allen, Lamar Jackson, and Joe Burrow standing in the way in the AFC. Stroud and the Texans have at least cut their teeth with a victory in each of the last two postseasons before falling to the AFC’s top seed in the Divisional Round. Houston needs to improve upon being the fourth seed in each of the last two postseasons, which they could do by playing in arguably the NFL’s weakest division. The Texans don’t hold the same value as the 49ers in the Super Bowl market, but I believe they should be priced closer to 25/1.
Other Bets I Considered But Passed On For Now
Green Bay Packers (+2200, Bet365)
Why I like the Packers: Green Bay has reached the postseason in each of Jordan Love’s first two seasons as the starter. They rank in the top half of the league in cap space, which will help them address two of their biggest weaknesses at pass rusher and at wide receiver.
Why I ultimately passed: The Packers finished a dreadful 1-5 against the NFC North and they’ll have to navigate the NFL’s best division just to make the postseason. The Lions have the fifth-shortest odds to win the Super Bowl, the Vikings finished with a 14-3 record with Sam Darnold at quarterback, and the Bears could make significant strides with Ben Johnson taking over.
Cincinnati Bengals (+2200, Bet365)
- Why I like the Bengals: The Bengals won their final five games last season but they missed out on the postseason because of tiebreaker rules. Joe Burrow and the Bengals are the only AFC team to beat Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs in the last six postseasons.
- Why I ultimately passed: Cincinnati’s defense has been trending in the wrong direction for two seasons, and it’s difficult to envision a dramatic turnaround that will be needed to win three or four postseason games. It’s also going to be difficult to devote much money to the defense if they ink both Tee Higgins and Ja’Marr Chase to new contracts.
Washington Commanders (+2400, FanDuel)
- Why I like the Commanders: There’s no bigger cheat code than a team with a quarterback on a rookie contract, especially one that is as special as Jayden Daniels already is. Washington could be a major player in free agency as they look to capitalize on a suddenly open championship window.
- Why I ultimately passed: Washington is coming off a magical first season under Daniels and Dan Quinn, but will they be able to match the magic from 2024 after winning five straight one-score games in Week 15 through the Wild Card Round? Washington’s roster is far from elite with the Commanders needing to plug up holes at receiver, along the O-line, and throughout their defense.
Minnesota Vikings (+4000, DraftKings)
- Why I like the Vikings: The Vikings are coming off a 14-3 campaign but they own the 13th-longest Super Bowl odds. Minnesota owns one of the best receiving corps with Justin Jefferson, Jordan Addison, and T.J. Hockenson. Brian Flores also went unclaimed during the off-season hiring cycle despite the Vikings finishing first in takeaways (33) and fifth in points per game allowed (19.5).
- Why I ultimately passed: You saw this one coming from a mile away, but there are a ton of unanswered questions when it comes to J.J. McCarthy. He fell to the fifth QB selected in last year’s draft because of his limited passing-game resume at Michigan before losing his entire rookie campaign to meniscus surgery.
Miami Dolphins (+6500, DraftKings)
- Why I like the Dolphins: Miami entered last season with Super Bowl odds at +2500, but those odds have dramatically fallen off after missing the postseason in 2024. They could get back into the AFC postseason race with better health after several key players on both sides of the ball missed significant time.
- Why I ultimately passed: Tyreek Hill’s future with the franchise is up in the air and this team feels on the brink of blowing up if they take another step back early next season. They also rank near the bottom of the league in cap space so they don’t have many avenues to dramatically improve this roster quickly.
Dallas Cowboys (+6600, BetMGM)
- Why I like the Cowboys: Dallas has one of the best defenders in Micah Parsons and one of the best receivers in CeeDee Lamb. Dak Prescott will also be back in the mix after appearing in just eight games last season. The Cowboys had the 10th-shortest odds (+2000) to win the Super Bowl last season.
- Why I ultimately passed: The Cowboys finally moved on from Mike McCarthy but they may have taken a step back by promoting OC Brian Schottenheimer. Dallas’ current roster may have peaked in 2023 after their third straight season with 12 victories, and they’re up against the cap as they look to ink Parsons to a long-term contract this off-season.
Super Bowl Winners and Runners-Up From the Last Decade
Historic odds courtesy of SportsOddsHistory.com. They come from BetMGM from early September just before the start of the season.
| Year | Super Bowl Champ | Odds (Rank) | Super Bowl Runner-Up | Odds (Rank) |
| 2024 | Philadelphia Eagles | +1200 (4th) | Kansas City Chiefs | +500 (1st) |
| 2023 | Kansas City Chiefs | +600 (1st) | San Francisco 49ers | +1000 (4th) |
| 2022 | Kansas City Chiefs | +1000 (3rd) | Philadelphia Eagles | +2500 (13th) |
| 2021 | Los Angeles Rams | +1200 (3rd) | Cincinnati Bengals | +15000 (28th) |
| 2020 | Tampa Bay Bucs | +1000 (3rd) | Kansas City Chiefs | +450 (1st) |
| 2019 | Kansas City Chiefs | +600 (2nd) | San Francisco 49ers | +4000 (16th) |
| 2018 | New England Patriots | +600 (1st) | Los Angeles Rams | +1000 (2nd) |
| 2017 | Philadelphia Eagles | +4000 (13th) | New England Patriots | +275 (1st) |
| 2016 | New England Patriots | +600 (1st) | Atlanta Falcons | +8000 (23rd) |
| 2015 | Denver Broncos | +900 (6th) | Carolina Panthers | +4000 (21st) |
Recent History Tells Us…
I’m typically not looking at the very top of the board at this time of the year unless there is an egregious value since more bad outcomes (departures, injuries) than good outcomes can happen to the favorites over the next seven months before the season starts. I’m focusing my attention a little further down the board to see if I can pick up some value before a team’s odds get shorter after free agency and the draft.
The eventual Super Bowl winner has come from the top-four favorites in preseason odds in a whopping eight of the last 10 seasons. The 2015 Denver Broncos had the sixth-shortest odds but were still priced at +900 to win Super Bowl 50, which makes the 2017 Philadelphia Eagles the one true longer shot to win the Lombardi Trophy with the 13th-shortest odds. The Eagles were the only team with longer than +1200 odds to win it all in the last decade. With that said, we’ve seen five teams priced at +2500 odds or longer get to the doorstep of winning the Super Bowl in the last decade.
