A lot has happened since the initial 2025 NFL Super Bowl 60 Odds dropped earlier this year. Most of the top unrestricted free agents have found homes after a flurry of activity since the official start of the 2025 league year in mid-March, but there are still top free agents like Aaron Rodgers available. I broke down some early odds movement on the Best Bets Podcast, and it’s time to take a deeper dive into which teams saw their Super Bowl odds improve and which teams saw their odds worsen the most over the last month or so.
The Philadelphia Eagles are still alone as the favorites to win the Super Bowl at +650, followed closely by the Baltimore Ravens (+700), Buffalo Bills (+750), and Kansas City Chiefs (+850) from the AFC. The Detroit Lions (+950) are the only other team with their longest odds sitting shorter than +1900. There’s been some jockeying in the next tier of Super Bowl contenders, including from free agency risers like the Washington Commanders (+1900) and Los Angeles Rams (+2500). Let’s see what teams saw their fortunes change the most through the first part of the 2025 League Year.
Be sure to check out Brolley’s Best Bets: 2025 NFL Futures for my favorite futures bets all off-season long!
2025 SUPER BOWL LX ODDS: POST NFL FREE AGENCY
The table is sorted by Longest Odds to Win Super Bowl LX as of March 19. You should target the Longest Odds to Win Super Bowl LX to maximize your potential return. I used DraftKings (DK), FanDuel (FD), BetMGM (MGM), Caesars (CZR), ESPN Bet (ESPN), and Bet365 (365) to find the best Super Bowl odds.
| Team | Longest Odds (3/19) | Longest Odds (2/10) |
| Philadelphia Eagles | +650 (multiple) | +650 (multiple) |
| Baltimore Ravens | +700 (multiple) | +700 (multiple) |
| Buffalo Bills | +750 (MGM, FD) | +750 (MGM, FD) |
| Kansas City Chiefs | +850 (CZR) | +750 (MGM) |
| Detroit Lions | +950 (FD) | +1100 (CZR) |
| San Francisco 49ers | +1900 (DK) | +1600 (DK) |
| Washington Commanders | +1900 (FD) | +2400 (FD) |
| Cincinnati Bengals | +2200 (365) | +2200 (365) |
| Green Bay Packers | +2500 (MGM) | +2200 (365) |
| Los Angeles Rams | +2500 (MGM) | +3000 (365) |
| Los Angeles Chargers | +3000 (FD) | +3000 (FD, ESPN) |
| Houston Texans | +3700 (FD) | +3000 (multiple) |
| Minnesota Vikings | +4000 (365, MGM) | +4000 (DK, 365) |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | +4000 (CZR) | +3500 (multiple) |
| Chicago Bears | +4000 (MGM) | +4000 (multiple) |
| Denver Broncos | +4000 (multiple) | +4800 (FD) |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | +5500 (FD) | +8000 (MGM) |
| Seattle Seahawks | +6600 (MGM) | +6500 (DK) |
| Miami Dolphins | +7000 (DK) | +6500 (DK) |
| Dallas Cowboys | +7000 (DK) | +6600 (MGM) |
| Atlanta Falcons | +7500 (DK) | +6500 (DK) |
| Arizona Cardinals | +7500 (DK) | +7000 (DK) |
| Indianapolis Colts | +11000 (DK) | +11000 (DK) |
| Las Vegas Raiders | +12500 (MGM) | +19000 (FD) |
| New England Patriots | +15000 (CZR) | +14000 (FD) |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | +15000 (CZR, ESPN) | +11000 (DK) |
| Carolina Panthers | +16000 (DK) | +15000 (365, MGM) |
| New York Jets | +18000 (FD) | +13000 (DK) |
| New Orleans Saints | +18000 (DK) | +15000 (multiple) |
| Cleveland Browns | +20000 (multiple) | +15000 (multiple) |
| Tennessee Titans | +20000 (multiple) | +20000 (multiple) |
| New York Giants | +25000 (MGM) | +30000 (ESPN, 365) |
Biggest Risers
Detroit Lions
March 19: +950 (9.52% implied odds); Feb. 10: +1100 (8.33%)
The Lions experienced the biggest rise in their implied odds to win the Super Bowl, but it happened because of a mispriced line from Caesars more than anything Detroit has done to improve its roster to start the off-season. The Lions lost both coordinators, Ben Johnson and Aaron Glenn, and key players like Carlton Davis and Za’Darius Smith. They did well to snag D.J. Reed to replace Davis for less guaranteed money, and they’re likely to attack the trenches early in the draft. The Lions need a smooth transition to new coordinators John Morton and Kelvin Sheppard, but they still have one of the NFL’s best rosters.
Washington Commanders
March 19: +1900 (5% implied odds); Feb. 10: +2400 (4%)
The Commanders hit the jackpot by selecting Jayden Daniels with the second overall pick last year. He won the Offensive Rookie of the Year and delivered an NFC Championship Game appearance in Year One. There’s no bigger cheat code than a team with a quarterback on a rookie contract, especially one that is as special as Daniels already is. Washington has been one of the most active teams since the start of the new league year, trading for Deebo Samuel and Laremy Tunsil to fill two of its biggest offensive needs. Washington’s championship window is suddenly open after one season with Daniels, and it will beef up its defense through the draft.
Los Angeles Rams
March 19: +2500 (3.85% implied odds); Feb. 10: +3000 (3.23%)
The Rams gave the Eagles the biggest scare on Philly’s run to a Super Bowl victory, and they’re primed to make some noise in the NFC once again. Matthew Stafford flirted with flying the coop this off-season, but he worked with the Rams to come up with a restructured contract to keep him with the franchise. Los Angeles decided to move on from his longtime running mate, Cooper Kupp, but they upgraded his spot by inking free agent Davante Adams to a contract. They also retained Alaric Jackson and upgraded their run defense by signing Poona Ford. The Rams will stack up well against most teams if Stafford and Adams can stay healthy as older players.
Denver Broncos
March 19: +4000 (2.44% implied odds); Feb. 10: +4800 (2.04%)
Bo Nix surpassed all expectations as a rookie with 29 passing TDs and 4 rushing TDs, and plenty of recent quarterbacks made huge leaps in Year Two. The Broncos, like the Commanders, were aggressive at the start of the league year with their quarterback entering the second year of his rookie contract. The Broncos were back to having some cap flexibility with Russell Wilson’s contract nearly off the books, which they used to bring in Evan Engram as a possession receiver. They also spent up for former 49ers Talanoa Hufanga, and Dre Greenlaw, who could take this defense to even higher levels if they can stay healthy — they combined for just 9 games last season.
Pittsburgh Steelers
March 19: +5500 (1.79% implied odds); Feb. 10: +8000 (1.23%)
Pittsburgh made a bold move to acquire D.K. Metcalf from the Seahawks, but they haven’t done a whole lot else to warrant a dramatic uptick in their Super Bowl odds. However, they’re now the odds-on favorites to sign Aaron Rodgers, who would be an upgrade over Russell Wilson and Justin Fields from last season. Pittsburgh hasn’t figured out its quarterback situation since Ben Roethlisberger tore tendons in his throwing elbow in 2019, but they’ve still reached the postseason in four of the last five seasons. Rodgers is unlikely to be the solution the Steelers have been looking for at the position, but he theoretically raises Pittsburgh’s ceiling if he can turn back the clock to his pre-2022 form.
Las Vegas Raiders
March 19: +12500 (.79% implied odds); Feb. 10: +19000 (.52%)
The Raiders were expected to scour free agency and the draft to find their next quarterback after getting stuck with Gardner Minshew and Aidan O’Connell last year when six QBs were selected in the first 12 picks. New GM John Spytek instead swung a deal to reunite Geno Smith and Pete Carroll in the desert. He immediately raises the floor for this struggling franchise after he produced three straight winning seasons as the starter in Seattle. Geno will give Brock Bowers and Jakobi Meyers a steadier hand at the trigger after Las Vegas struggled to a 4-13 record last season, largely thanks to poor quarterback play.
Biggest Fallers
Kansas City Chiefs
March 19: +850 (10.53% implied odds); Feb. 10: +750 (11.76%)
The Chiefs experienced the biggest drop in their implied odds of winning Super Bowl LX, going from 11.76% after Super Bowl LIX to 10.53% after the first week of free agency. Kansas City’s offensive line has been a pain point in recent seasons, and the Eagles gave them all kinds of trouble in the big game. They traded their best lineman, Joe Thuney, to the Bears to free up some cap space, and used the savings to hand $21.2 million guaranteed to 49ers swing tackle Jaylon Moore, despite owning just 12 starts in four seasons. Kansas City also retained Marquise Brown, Nick Bolton, and Trey Smith, and they’ll always be in the Super Bowl as long as Patrick Mahomes is at quarterback.
San Francisco 49ers
March 19: +1900 (5% implied odds); Feb. 10: +1600 (5.88%)
San Francisco is on the verge of finally paying Brock Purdy big bucks after he made a little more than $2.6 million over his first three seasons. The 49ers had to trim the fat this off-season, and their roster is certainly weaker than it was at the end of last season. CBS Sports’ Doug Clawson wrote that other teams spent $321 million on 49ers free agents through the first four days of free agency. Meanwhile, San Francisco spent only $37 million on free agents to create the largest free agency spending deficit in NFL history at $284 million. On the bright side, the 49ers have the fifth-most draft capital to replace some of the key pieces they lost this off-season. They select 11th overall in April and own seven picks inside the first four rounds, which makes this a pivotal draft to stay in the mix at the top of the NFC.
Houston Texans
March 19: +3700 (2.63% implied odds); Feb. 10: +3000 (3.23%)
The Texans sported one of the NFL’s worst offensive lines last season, ranking last in rushing success rate (40.6%), 29th in pressure rate (36.8%), and 28th in pressure rate over expectation (5.0%). Houston decided to rip its offensive line down to the studs by trading away a pair of first-round picks, Laremy Tunsil and Kenyon Green, to NFC East teams. They added Chauncey Gardner-Johnson to their already loaded secondary in the Green trade, and Christian Kirk gives them more explosiveness out of the slot over Stefon Diggs. The betting markets still rightfully have major concerns about an already bad Houston offensive line that just lost one of the NFL’s better left tackles.
Atlanta Falcons
March 19: +7500 (1.32% implied odds); Feb. 10: +6500 (1.52%)
The Falcons insisted they wouldn’t release Kirk Cousins this off-season despite owing him a $10 million roster bonus on March 15, and Terry Fontenot followed through on his word. Keeping Cousins on the roster creates an awkward dynamic in the quarterback room after he lost his job to Michael Penix at the end of last season, but they could still try to move him at some point. Without the additional cap flexibility, Atlanta parted ways with a pair of key players, Grady Jarrett and Drew Dalman. The Falcons signed Leonard Floyd and Divine Deablo to bolster their defense, but they have more work to do to overtake the Buccaneers in the NFC South.
Jacksonville Jaguars
March 19: +15000 (.66% implied odds); Feb. 10: +11000 (.90%)
The Jaguars moved on from HC Doug Pederson and GM Trent Baalke at the end of last season, and their replacements, Liam Doen and James Gladstone, quickly got to work re-shaping Jacksonville’s roster. They moved on from Christian Kirk and Evan Engram, which allowed them to spread money around to Jourdan Lewis, Patrick Merkari, and Dyami Brown among others. Jacksonville still has plenty of holes left in its roster, but the Jaguars own the fifth overall pick and rank behind only the Browns in terms of overall draft capital.
New York Jets
March 19: +18000 (.55% implied odds); Feb. 10: +13000 (.76%)
The Jets are a team in transition after a disastrous two-year run with Aaron Rodgers calling the shots. They let Rodgers, Davante Adams, D.J. Reed, and Haason Reddick among others leave in free agency. New York moved the franchise in a new direction by prying Justin Fields away from the Steelers at the start of free agency, reuniting him with his Ohio State teammate, Garrett Wilson. New HC Aaron Glenn will look to win ugly this season with a strong running game and an aggressive defense.
Cleveland Browns
March 19: +20000 (.50% implied odds); Feb. 10: +15000 (.66%)
The Browns convinced Myles Garrett to drop his trade demand by giving him a big bag of money, but Cleveland still has a major quarterback issue. Cleveland’s quarterback depth chart currently has Kenny Pickett at the top of it followed by Deshaun Watson, who is unlikely to play in 2025 after undergoing a second Achilles surgery in January. The Browns at least have the most draft capital this spring, and they can remedy their quarterback problem by selecting either Cam Ward, Shedeur Sanders, or Jaxson Dart with the second overall pick.
