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2023 Week 8 DFS Study Hall

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2023 Week 8 DFS Study Hall

DFS research can be tough. We may not always know what to look for, or where to look for it.

But this article helps solve that problem – by providing some early-week research to give readers solid footing for the upcoming Week 8 DFS slate.

Philadelphia Eagles (-6.5) @ Washington Commanders (O/U: 43.5)

Trends:

  • D’Andre Swift is 7th among RBs in XFP/G (17.3) since Week 2. But he’s only earned 24% of team XFP inside the 10 over that stretch (24th) – less than Latavius Murray.

  • AJ Brown is dominating first-read targets. His 42% first-read target rate is 2nd among all players and +19% higher than the next-closest Eagle (DeVonta Smith).

  • Speaking of first-reads, Dallas Goedert (21%) has a higher first-read share than DeVonta Smith (20%) over the last five weeks.

  • Sam Howell is averaging 20.8 FPG in losses this season. That ranks 6th-best among slate-eligible QBs. Howell is priced as the QB21 this week.

  • The Commanders' pass rate over expectation (PROE) in losses has been +10.6% – which would rank 2nd-highest over the full season.

  • Brian Robinson averages just 7.9 FPG in losses of 3.0 points or more since last season. He’s total dust in negative scripts.

Matchups:

  • Jalen Hurts averaged 0.61 fantasy points per dropback against man coverage last year (7th-best). Washington runs man coverage at the 10th-highest rate (27%).

  • The Commanders run two-high coverage at the league’s 5th-highest rate (57%). Last season, DeVonta Smith led the Eagles in target share (25%) against two-high coverages.

  • Washington is the single-softest schedule-adjusted matchup for opposing outside WRs (+9.4 FPG). The perfect spot for AJ Brown and DeVonta Smith.

  • The Eagles are the 7th-softest schedule-adjusted matchup for opposing QBs (+2.2 FPG) and the 6th-softest matchup for opposing outside WRs (+6.3 FPG). A good spot for the Washington passing attack.

  • Terry Mclaurin easily leads Washington in XFP/RR (0.52) against man coverage. Philadelphia runs man coverage at the league’s 9th-highest rate.

New Orleans Saints (+1.5) @ Indianapolis Colts (O/U: 43.5)

Trends:

  • Derek Carr is attempting deep throws at the 2nd-highest rate in the NFL (15.3%). Chris Olave and Rashid Shaheed should have massive games eventually.

  • Alvin Kamara’s 25.9 XFP/G is +4.4 XFP/G better than the next-closest player (Keenan Allen), and it’s 34% better than the next-closest RB (Christian McCaffrey).

  • Kamara has only scored once, but his 8.1 XFP/G inside the 10 easily leads all RBs (by +1.4 XFP/G). TDs will come if this usage continues.

  • Kamara leads RBs in targets (39) and receptions (35) – despite playing just four games. His 9.8 targets per game best WRs like Chris Olave, Cooper Kupp, and Jakobi Meyers.

  • By XFP per $ of DraftKings salary, Kamara is the best value on the slate (3.5X).

  • Derek Carr couldn’t throw downfield in Week 4, and New Orleans attempted just 4 passes in the 4th quarter of their 34-0 win in Week 5. If you exclude those games, Chris Olave is averaging 11.2 targets per game (2nd-highest over the full season), 91.0 receiving YPG (10th-highest), 132.4 air yards per game (3rd-highest), and 19.4 XFP/G (9th-highest). He’s the WR13 on DraftKings ($6,400) and the WR11 on FanDuel ($7,300) this week.

  • Jonathan Taylor and Zack Moss split snaps 50/50 last week. But Taylor commanded 62% of backfield XFP (16.4) and 100% of backfield XFP and touches inside the red zone. He’s an outstanding DFS play at $6,200 – his lowest DraftKings salary since Week 14 of 2020.

Matchups:

  • Chris Olave easily leads the Saints in FP/RR against single-high (0.48). The Colts run single-high at the league’s highest rate.

  • The Colts are the 7th-softest schedule-adjusted matchup for opposing outside WRs (+5.9 FPG). A great matchup for Chris Olave and Rashid Shaheed.

  • New Orleans is the 5th-toughest schedule-adjusted matchup for opposing outside WRs (-5.5 FPG), but the 6th-softest schedule-adjusted matchup for opposing slot WRs (+3.1 FPG). Expect targets to be funneled to Josh Downs.

Jacksonville Jaguars (-2.5) @ Pittsburgh Steelers (O/U: 42.0)

Trends:

  • Trevor Lawrence averages just 15.1 FPG as a favorite, compared to 23.6 FPG as an underdog since 2022.

  • Travis Etienne is the exact opposite. He averages 18.0 FPG as a favorite but just 12.5 FPG as an underdog since the start of last year.

  • Etienne’s role is outstanding. He leads all RBs in carries (127), ranks 3rd in snap share (80%), and 6th in route share (52%).

  • Excluding Week 1, Christian Kirk has earned at least 6 targets and scored at least 13.9 fantasy points in every game this season. He’s beaten Calvin Ridley in both target share (22%) and receiving YPG (67.7) over that stretch.

  • Najee Harris is 10th in his rate of 15-yard runs (8%) of 59 qualifiers this season. He ranked 59th (2.6%) in that metric last year. He’s notably more explosive.

  • George Pickens has averaged 17.1 XFP/G since Pat Freiermuth was injured (Week 4). That would rank 13th among WRs over the full season.

Matchups:

  • The Steelers play single-high and man coverage at top-8 rates. Evan Engram (0.52 FP/RR) is Jacksonville’s most productive pass catcher against man coverage. Engram and Calvin Ridley (0.42 FP/RR) are tied for the team lead against single-high – but Ridley’s usage (0.53 XFP/RR) easily leads the team.

  • Jacksonville runs zone at a top-5 rate. George Pickens averages 2.74 YPRR and 0.47 FP/RR against zone. He’s twice as productive as the next-closest Steeler on a per-route basis against zone. This is a great matchup for him.

  • The Steelers are the 2nd-softest schedule-adjusted matchup for opposing WRs (+9.6 FPG), but the 2nd-toughest matchup for opposing TEs (-3.9 FPG). Expect Jacksonville to lean into their WRs here.

  • The Jaguars are the 3rd-softest schedule-adjusted matchup for opposing outside WRs (+8.8 FPG). Another great note for George Pickens.

New York Jets (-3.0) @ New York Giants (O/U: 36.5)

Trends:

  • Zach Wilson has a 68.3 PFF passing grade over his last three games. That’s the best three-game stretch of his career.

  • Breece Hall hit season-highs in snap share (68%, 12th-most), route share (50%), and target share (15.2%) in Week 6. Across Weeks 5 and 6, he ranked 5th in carries (34), 7th in targets (8), 11th in XFP (30.5), and 4th in fantasy points scored (48.7).

  • And Hall has been incredibly efficient. He’s 5th in explosive run rate (9.1%), 3rd in yards after contact per attempt (4.6), and 6th in FPOE (+3.1) among 59 qualifying RBs.

  • Saquon Barkley has averaged 20.2 XFP/G and an 81% snap share since returning from his high-ankle sprain. Both of those numbers would rank 2nd over the full season.

  • Barkley has only played in three games with a total under 38.0 – and he averages 13.0 FPG in that split.

Matchups:

  • Garrett Wilson has a 47% first-read target share against man coverage, and a solid 2.27 YPRR in that split. The Giants play man at the league’s 4th-highest rate (39%).

  • The Jets play two-high defense at the league’s 8th-highest rate. Two-high defenses force shorter throws, which should mean more targets for Wan’Dale Robinson and Darren Waller.

  • The Jets are the single-toughest schedule-adjusted matchup for opposing outside WRs (-9.3 FPG) – despite Sauce Gardner and DJ Reed missing Week 6. Both could play this week.

  • But, the Jets are the 5th-softest schedule-adjusted matchup for opposing RBs (+4.1 FPG). Expect the Giants to lean into Saquon Barkley.

Houston Texans (-3.0) @ Carolina Panthers (O/U: 43.0)

Trends:

  • The Texans tout a 23.0 implied team total this week – their highest of the season by 2.5 points. CJ Stroud averages 21.5 FPG in the Texans’ three wins this season, which would rank 4th-best among slate-eligible QBs. The Texans implied win probability this week is 61%.

  • Dameon Pierce (21 snaps) was notably out-snapped by Devin Singletary (31 snaps) in Week 6. Pierce is averaging 2.9 YPC this season (5th-worst of 59 qualifiers).

  • It’s difficult to know what to do with Tank Dell ($4,900) if he returns to the lineup. Noah Brown (67% route share) played over Dell (42%) in Week 1, and Brown posted a 60% route share in Week 6 without Dell. These two could end up in a gross split.

  • Adam Thielen is 6th among WRs in XFP/G (20.1), 9th in receiving YPG (99.4), and 3rd in targets per game (11.4) since Week 2. He’s the WR11 by DraftKings salary this week ($6,600).

Matchups:

  • Nico Collins averages an absurd 5.16 YPRR (2nd) and 0.90 FP/RR (2nd) against single-high defenses. The Panthers play single-high at the 7th-highest rate.

  • Adam Thielen is the only Panthers player who is even moderately productive against zone – his 0.43 FP/RR and 1.94 YPRR against zone both easily lead the team. Houston runs zone at a top-5 rate.

  • Carolina is the 2nd-toughest schedule-adjusted matchup against slot WRs (-5.2 FPG). That should mean targets are funneled outside, where Nico Collins runs 80% of his routes.

New England Patriots (+9.5) @ Miami Dolphins (O/U: 47.0)

Trends:

  • Mac Jones has been an underdog of 6.5 points or more four times. He averages 22.4 FPG in those games, compared to 14.3 FPG outside of that split.

  • Kendrick Bourne averages 16.9 XFP/G and 18.3 FPG over the last two weeks, with JuJu Smith-Schuster out of the lineup. He’s a solid value at $4,700 on DraftKings – even with Smith-Schuster likely playing this week.

  • Demario Douglas ($3,300) earned a 73% route share and led New England pass catchers with 15.7 XFP in Week 7. He’s a solid value this week; Douglas looks like the Patriots most explosive offensive player.

  • Tua Tagovailoa has never scored more than 22.5 DraftKings points as a favorite of 7.0 points or more. He’s generally needed to be pushed to hit his ceiling.

  • Jeff Wilson returned from IR in Week 7. But he only played on 15% of snaps, and earned just one opportunity. Salvon Ahmed (4.4 XFP) worked in front of Wilson (1.3 XFP) – but Raheem Mostert led the way with 65% of backfield XFP and a 52% snap share.

  • Mostert averages 18.7 DraftKings FPG in his three games against New England since joining Miami. That ranks 7th-best among slate-eligible RBs over the full season, but Mostert has been massively priced up to $7,700 (RB3).

  • Importantly, Mostert has earned a 74% snap share and 67% of backfield XFP in the red zone since De’Von Achane was placed on IR. He’s their go-to RB when it matters most.

  • Tyreek Hill hasn’t scored more than 18.0 DraftKings points against New England since joining the Dolphins (including a 15.0-point performance in Week 2). Interestingly, he averages just 13.9 FPG against divisional opponents but 27.9 FPG against non-divisional opponents since joining the Dolphins.

  • That said, New England lost star CB Christian Gonzalez in Week 4 – a player Tyreek Hill called “real good.” This is a better matchup for Hill than his Week 2 meeting with New England would suggest – but still not a favorable spot.

Matchups:

  • New England runs man coverage at the league’s 2nd-highest rate (40%). Tyreek Hill averages a league-leading 6.23 YPRR against man this season.

  • New England is a bottom-10 schedule-adjusted matchup for both opposing QBs (-2.4 FPG) and opposing WRs (-5.2 FPG).

  • Miami is the 10th-softest schedule-adjusted matchup for opposing outside WRs (+3.8 FPG). That’s good news for Kendrick Bourne (72% outside route share) and DeVante Parker (90%).

Atlanta Falcons (-2.5) @ Tennessee Titans (O/U: 36.5)

Trends:

  • Desmond Ridder has three games with 22.0 or more DraftKings points. Those three games were Atlanta’s top three games by pass rate over expectation (PROE). The Titans have allowed the 10th-highest PROE this season (+2.8%).

  • Bijan Robinson is $6,000 (RB13). His average salary over the first seven weeks was $7,657. Through the first six weeks of the season, Robinson ranked 10th in snap share (72%), 2nd in route share (67%), and 14th in XFP/G (15.2). He’s an objective value.

  • Since Week 2, Drake London is the WR17 by XFP/G (14.2), the WR14 by FPG (13.9), and the WR12 by targets per game (8.2) among slate-eligible WRs. He’s the WR30 by DraftKings price ($5,100).

  • Kyle Pitts is the TE10 ($3,800). He’s averaged 6.5 targets per game and 12.8 XFP/G since Week 2. Those marks rank 6th-best and 5th-best among slate-eligible TEs. Similar to London and Robinson, he is an objective value.

  • Derrick Henry still averages an impressive 22.3 FPG in games with a total of 40.0 or less – as long as his team wins (since 2019). The Titans implied win probability this week is 47%.

Matchups:

  • The Titans are a bottom-10 schedule-adjusted matchup for opposing RBs (-2.4 FPG), but a top-6 matchup for opposing WRs (+6.1 FPG).

  • Atlanta is the 2nd-toughest schedule-adjusted matchup for opposing outside WRs (-9.2 FPG). A brutal spot for DeAndre Hopkins.

Minnesota Vikings (-1.0) @ Green Bay Packers (O/U: 43.0)

Trends:

  • We are looking at a full backfield split in Minnesota. Alexander Mattison handled just 48% of backfield XFP in Week 7. None of these rushers are in play.

  • Jordan Addison ($5,700) has averaged 17.7 XFP/G and a 39% air yard share over the last two weeks without Justin Jefferson. Over the full season, those numbers rank 6th-best and 12th-best among slate-eligible WRs. Addison is the WR23 by DraftKings salary this week.

  • Brandon Powell is an interesting punt at $3,200 on DraftKings. He’s averaged a 63% route share, 4.5 targets per game, and 8.3 XFP/G over the last two weeks without Justin Jefferson.

  • TJ Hockenson has missed some snaps due to injury, but he’s easily pacing the team in TPRR (0.36) since Jefferson got hurt. Travis Kelce (0.37) is the only TE with a TPRR above 0.26 over the full season.

  • Green Bay has posted a -6% PROE over the last two weeks, after a +2.3% PROE in their first four games.

  • Aaron Jones earned just 34% of snaps in Week 7 but handled 48% of backfield XFP. AJ Dillon is averaging 3.2 YPC – so expect more work for Jones this week. And we can’t forget that Jones has the 2nd-most games of 40.0 or more DraftKings points among RBs since 2019 (4).

  • Christian Watson (knee) is always in play for tournaments if he can suit up. But if he can’t go, Romeo Doubs ($4,900) had back-to-back games with 12 or more targets and 18.0 or more fantasy points in Weeks 3 and 4 when Watson was either out or very limited.

Matchups:

  • Green Bay runs single-high at a top-3 rate. That should be good news for Jordan Addison – if we think he’s a true alpha WR1.

  • Green Bay is the 6th-toughest schedule-adjusted matchup for opposing outside WRs (-5.5 FPG).

  • Minnesota is the 4th-toughest schedule-adjusted matchup for opposing RBs (-3.9 FPG) but the 9th-softest for opposing outside WRs (+5.0 FPG).

Los Angeles Rams (+6.5) @ Dallas Cowboys (O/U: 45.0)

Trends:

  • The Rams went extremely run-heavy in Week 7, posting the league’s 2nd-lowest PROE of the week (-10.2%).

  • Darrell Henderson led the new-look Rams backfield in Week 7, earning 58% of snaps and 65% of backfield XFP (15.9 XFP). He’s only $4,800 this week on DraftKings.

  • Dak Prescott has averaged 26.9 FPG as a home favorite since 2019, and 20.7 FPG as a home favorite since 2022. Those numbers rank 1st and 6th among slate-eligible QBs this season. Prescott is priced as the QB9 ($6,100) on DraftKings.

  • Tony Pollard earned his 2nd-highest snap share (81%) and 2nd-best workload (21.9 XFP) of the season in Week 6. His workload is awesome – but he’s lacked explosiveness. Pollard was 5th in 2022 in his percentage of runs to go 15 or more yards (8.8%), but that number has been cut in half this season (4.2%).

  • Offensive line play is also a concern for Pollard. Last year, the Cowboys were PFF’s 10th-highest graded run-blocking offensive line (88.2 run-blocking grade). This year? 29th (65.8).

  • Michael Gallup is $3,400 on DraftKings – that’s the cheapest he’s been since Week 6 of 2018 (1,838 days ago).

Matchups:

  • The Cowboys play man coverage and run single-high at top-3 rates. Cooper Kupp (3.40) and Puka Nacua (2.84) both rank top-20 in YPRR against single-high (of 119 qualifiers). Kupp (2.24) and Nacua (2.97) also rank top-30 against man coverage. It’s a great scheme-based matchup for both players, but a tough matchup on paper.

  • Dallas is the 5th-toughest schedule-adjusted matchup for opposing WRs (-7.1 FPG).

  • Michael Gallup leads Dallas in first-read target share (23%) against two-high defenses, which the Rams run at a top-10 rate. He should see decent volume in an otherwise tough matchup…

  • The Rams are the 3rd-toughest schedule-adjusted matchup for opposing outside WRs (-9.1 FPG). Michael Gallup (95%) and Brandin Cooks (67%) both run the majority of their routes on the outside.

Cleveland Browns (+3.5) @ Seattle Seahawks (O/U: 39.5)

Trends:

  • PJ Walker is the starter this week. That’s good news for Amari Cooper. Walker threw to his first read more than any other QB in 2022. Cooper has led the Browns in first-read target share (29%) in the two games Walker has played.

  • Expect the Browns to lean run-heavy… Their two lowest PROEs of the season came with Walker as their QB (-8.0%).

  • Kenneth Walker is averaging 19.0 FPG in Seattle’s four wins, but 14.3 FPG in their two losses this season. The Seahawks implied win probability this week is 66%.

  • DK Metcalf didn’t play in Week 7. Jake Bobo ($3,500) was quite involved – tying for the 2nd-highest route share on the team (79%), leading the team in air yards (74), and logging 12.0 XFP (2nd).

  • Jaxon Smith-Njigba finally had a more normalized role without Metcalf. JSN’s aDOT with Metcalf was just 3.7. Without Metcalf? 10.4.

Matchups:

  • The Seahawks are faced with the toughest rushing matchup of the week, based on our OL/DL tool. Cleveland is the 10th-toughest schedule-adjusted matchup for opposing RBs (-2.1 FPG). Kenneth Walker is still playable – but he may struggle with efficiency against a truly elite Cleveland front.

  • No team runs more single-high or plays more man coverage than Cleveland. That should benefit DK Metcalf – who easily leads the team with 3.0 YPRR against single-high – if he can play.

  • The Browns are the 2nd-toughest schedule-adjusted matchup for opposing WRs (-10.1 FPG).

  • Seattle is the single-softest schedule-adjusted matchup for opposing slot WRs (+6.1 FPG). Maybe we can finally get a solid game out of Elijah Moore?

Kansas City Chiefs (-7.0) @ Denver Broncos (O/U: 46.5)

Trends:

  • Isiah Pacheco has averaged 16.3 XFP/G and 18.4 FPG since Week 3 – numbers that both rank 10th-best among RBs. He also draws the best possible matchup (more below).

  • Rashee Rice set a season-high in route share (56%) – a notable feat, as he ranks 3rd among all players in TPRR (0.33). If Rice managed an 80% route share, he would average 11.1 targets per game.

  • Travis Kelce earned his best usage of the season (25.9 XFP), 2nd-highest route share of the season (71%), and he dominated the Chargers' defense with 35.9 fantasy points – the 8th-best fantasy score by a pass catcher this season. He draws the perfect matchup this week.

  • Javonte Williams led all RBs in yards after contact per attempt (4.78) in Week 7, and his 14.7 XFP was the 11th-best workload by an RB. Still, he managed a mediocre 53% snap share, and 54% of backfield XFP. He’s interesting for tournaments at just $5,200 on DraftKings, given how much room his role has to grow.

  • Marvin Mims (42%) is coming off his highest route share of the season. But it still only amounted to 13 routes.

Matchups:

  • The Chiefs use two-high at the league’s highest rate (64%). Marvin Mims ranks top-3 in every efficiency stat known to man against two-high… if only he could see the field.

  • Kansas City is the 2nd-toughest schedule-adjusted matchup for opposing QBs (-4.6 FPG), and the 7th-toughest matchup for opposing WRs (-5.5 FPG).

  • Denver is the 3rd-softest schedule-adjusted matchup for opposing QBs (+4.9 FPG), the single-softest matchup (by far) for opposing RBs (+13.8 FPG), and the single-softest matchup for TEs (+5.1 FPG). This is the perfect matchup for Isiah Pacheco and Travis Kelce.

Cincinnati Bengals (+3.5) @ San Francisco 49ers (O/U: 43.5)

Trends:

  • The Bengals posted a +23% PROE in Week 6 – the highest PROE by any team in any game this season. Cincinnati posted a +13.1% PROE in their final 12 games of 2022, and Joe Burrow averaged 23.6 FPG in those contests (1st among slate-eligible QBs this year).

  • Joe Burrow is priced at $6,000 on DraftKings (QB10) – his lowest price since Week 4 of 2021.

  • Joe Mixon is the RB13 by usage (15.8 XFP/G), but the RB31 by FPG (11.5). He’s been terrible – but he’s also the cheapest he’s been since Week 14 of 2019.

  • Speaking of discounts, Tee Higgins is the cheapest he’s been since Week 13 of 2021.

  • The Bengals returning to their pass-heavy ways of the past is a major boost for Higgins – who scored over 26.0 DraftKings points in three of the Bengals' final six games last year, when their PROE was +15.8%.

  • Sam Darnold is expected to start this week. Since the start of last season, the 49ers starting QB has averaged 16.3 DraftKings FPG – which would rank 15th-best among slate-eligible QBs. Darnold is priced as the QB54 ($4,300) – he’s one of the best QB values we’ve ever seen.

  • Darnold started 49 games from 2018 to 2021, and he ranked 12th (of 86 qualifiers) in slot WR target rate (27%). That’s worth a modest boost to Jauan Jennings (64% slot route share), who earned 12.2 XFP in Week 7 and is just $3,800 this week.

  • Christian McCaffrey played every snap in Week 7. $9,200 feels too cheap for the star RB in a contest where he should be relied on even more with no Brock Purdy.

  • George Kittle averages 22.2 FPG in his six games without Deebo Samuel since 2021. He averages 11.3 FPG outside of that split.

Matchups:

  • The 49ers are the 5th-toughest schedule-adjusted matchup for opposing QBs (-2.6 FPG), and the 4th-toughest for RBs on the ground (-3.3 rushing FPG).

  • But, the 49ers are the 7th-softest schedule-adjusted matchup for opposing WRs (+5.5 FPG). Fire up Chase and Higgins.

  • The 49ers have forced the 5th-highest defensive PROE (+5.3%) this season. The Bengals could set pass rate over expectation records in this matchup.

  • The Bengals are the 2nd-softest schedule-adjusted matchup for opposing slot WRs (+5.6 FPG) and opposing TEs (+4.5 FPG).

Baltimore Ravens (-8.5) @ Arizona Cardinals (O/U: 44.0)

Trends:

  • Lamar Jackson might be the best passer in the NFL right now. His 90.1 PFF passing grade is the 2nd-highest in the league, and by far the best of his career. And over the last four weeks, Lamar has graded as a top-4 passer three times. He also ranks top-3 in both catchable throw% and accurate throw%.

  • Oh yeah, and Jackson’s adding another 9.5 rushing FPG on top of his league-leading passing numbers. 9.5 rushing FPG is the 8th-best mark by a QB ever.

  • Zay Flowers (13.7 XFP/G) leads the Ravens pass catchers in usage over the last month. He also leads the Ravens in first-read target share (26%) over that stretch.

  • Kyler Murray is practicing in full. He’s worth consideration if he plays – Murray has averaged 21.9 DraftKings FPG across his career, which would rank 4th-best among slate-eligible QBs. Murray is priced as the QB12 on DraftKings ($5,800).

  • In Week 7, Emari Demercado earned 96% of Arizona’s backfield XFP (4th-most of any RB in any game this season). He played on 79.4% of the team’s snaps (4th-most), handling 13 of 14 carries and 5 of 5 targets out of the backfield. He looks like an outstanding value priced as the RB32 ($4,800) on DraftKings.

  • Marquise Brown ($5,200) is the 5th-best usage-based DFS value of the slate (3.1X).

  • Zach Ertz is on IR. Cardinals TEs average 13.0 FPG this season (12th-most) and nearly all of that usage should belong to Trey McBride ($2,800, TE25)

Matchups:

  • Baltimore is the single-toughest schedule-adjusted matchup for opposing QBs (-5.0 FPG), and a bottom-6 matchup for TEs (-3.5 FPG).

  • Arizona is the 2nd-softest schedule-adjusted matchup for opposing QBs (+5.6 FPG), and the 4th-softest matchup for opposing WRs (+8.7 FPG). It’s an amazing matchup for the Baltimore passing attack.

Jake Tribbey is the 2022 FSWA Football Writer of the Year and the leading Spring Football expert in the fantasy industry. He is a lifelong football fan obsessed with extracting every edge possible from DFS, Best Ball, and player props/futures.